Editor's Note: Below is a brief excerpt from today's Early Look written by CEO Keith McCullough. Click here to learn more about the Early Look. 

Oil: How to Spot a "Phase Transition" - 11.13.17 EL Chart

Looking at Commodity Reflation more broadly you’ll see that ex-Ag (Corn down another -1.4% last week to -9.6% YTD), commodities have had an impressive run in the last 3 months with the CRB Commodities Index and WTI Oil +7.1% and +15.8%, respectively:

  1. CRB Commodities Index – was up another +1.2% last week to -0.4% YTD = Bullish TREND @Hedgeye
  2. Oil (WTI) – was up another +2.0% last week to -0.6% YTD = Bullish TREND @Hedgeye
  3. Natural Gas – broke out +7.7% last week to -13.3% YTD = Bullish TREND @Hedgeye
  4. Lumber – inflated another +4.5% last week to +24.5% YTD = Bullish TREND @Hedgeye
  5. Gold – bounced +0.4% last week to +9.3% YTD = Bearish TREND @Hedgeye

As you can see, just because something is “up” or “down” YTD doesn’t make it a Bullish or Bearish TREND @Hedgeye.


Oil: How to Spot a "Phase Transition" - Email graphic   Cyber Monday