Oil: How to Spot a "Phase Transition"

11/13/17 07:48AM EST

Editor's Note: Below is a brief excerpt from today's Early Look written by CEO Keith McCullough. Click here to learn more about the Early Look. 

Oil: How to Spot a "Phase Transition" - 11.13.17 EL Chart

Looking at Commodity Reflation more broadly you’ll see that ex-Ag (Corn down another -1.4% last week to -9.6% YTD), commodities have had an impressive run in the last 3 months with the CRB Commodities Index and WTI Oil +7.1% and +15.8%, respectively:

  1. CRB Commodities Index – was up another +1.2% last week to -0.4% YTD = Bullish TREND @Hedgeye
  2. Oil (WTI) – was up another +2.0% last week to -0.6% YTD = Bullish TREND @Hedgeye
  3. Natural Gas – broke out +7.7% last week to -13.3% YTD = Bullish TREND @Hedgeye
  4. Lumber – inflated another +4.5% last week to +24.5% YTD = Bullish TREND @Hedgeye
  5. Gold – bounced +0.4% last week to +9.3% YTD = Bearish TREND @Hedgeye

As you can see, just because something is “up” or “down” YTD doesn’t make it a Bullish or Bearish TREND @Hedgeye.


Oil: How to Spot a "Phase Transition" - Email graphic   Cyber Monday

© 2024 Hedgeye Risk Management, LLC. The information contained herein is the property of Hedgeye, which reserves all rights thereto. Redistribution of any part of this information is prohibited without the express written consent of Hedgeye. Hedgeye is not responsible for any errors in or omissions to this information, or for any consequences that may result from the use of this information.