Daily Market Data Dump: Friday

Takeaway: A closer look at global macro market developments.

Editor's Note: Below are complimentary charts highlighting global equity market developments, S&P 500 sector performance, volume on U.S. stock exchanges, rates and bond spreads, key currency crosses, and commodities. It's on the house. For more information on how Hedgeye can help you better understand the markets and economy (and stay ahead of consensus) check out our array of investing products




Daily Market Data Dump: Friday - equity markets 7 29


Daily Market Data Dump: Friday - sector performance 7 29


Daily Market Data Dump: Friday - volume 7 29


Daily Market Data Dump: Friday - rates and spreads 7 29


Daily Market Data Dump: Friday - currencies 7 29


Daily Market Data Dump: Friday - commodities 7 29

Oil Bulls Are Getting Pummeled as Long-Term Bears Get Paid

Takeaway: Oil bulls are getting pummeled while the long-term bears continue to get paid.

Double #Ouchy here - don’t look now but this morning’s drop towards the $40-handle for WTI puts it down -15% in the last month alone; was it the Dollar? Supply? Demand? A bird or a plane? With Durable Goods and Capex careening to the downside, the bullish narrative on “Global Cyclical Demand has bottomed” is very hard to follow. 


Oil Bulls Are Getting Pummeled as Long-Term Bears Get Paid - Oil cartoon 04.07.2016 


Editor's Note: The snippet above is from a note Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough wrote for subscribers this morning. Click here to learn more.

[From The Vault] Cartoon of the Day: Fallen...

[From The Vault] Cartoon of the Day: Fallen... - Oil cartoon 12.09.2014


Our inimitable, in-house cartoonist Bob Rich is on a much-deserved summer vacation. While he kicks back and relaxes, we're going into the Hedgeye Vault and highlighting some of his best work. With oil tumbling -25% off the recent high, we bring you another audience favorite

Daily Trading Ranges

20 Proprietary Risk Ranges

Daily Trading Ranges is designed to help you understand where you’re buying and selling within the risk range and help you make better sales at the top end of the range and purchases at the low end.

6 Charts: A Closer Look At Wall Street's Nonsense Narratives

Takeaway: Crashing global equity markets continue to trounce long held Old Wall narratives.

6 Charts: A Closer Look At Wall Street's Nonsense Narratives - global bear 12.11.2014 

"Near-term risks to the economic outlook have diminished."

-Federal Reserve, July 27, 2016




Nothing to see here. It's fine. The S&P 500 is hitting all-time highs on no volume, earnings sucks, economic indicators continue to slide and there's this general economic malaise that's caused equity markets to crash globally. Forget all that.


But for posterity's sake consider a few evolving realities (with Old Wall narratives in italics).


Narrative #1: "European equities are really cheap."

1. Italy 


2. Spain 



"Stop talking about global equities we're long commodities..."



3. Commodities



"... But, but oil stocks."

4. OIL



"Come on now, the U.S. consumer is strong."

5. Ford



"Listen, the S&P 500 chart looks great. We broke above the all-time high."

6. no Volume



Stop believing Old Wall Fairy Tales.

Capital Brief | 3 Takeaways: Passing The Torch, Obama To Clinton

Takeaway: Passing The Torch; Mark of Kaine; Climbing Capital Hill;

Editor's Note: Below is a brief excerpt from Hedgeye Potomac Chief Political Strategist JT Taylor's Capital Brief sent to institutional clients each morning. For more information on how you can access our institutional research please email


Capital Brief | 3 Takeaways: Passing The Torch, Obama To Clinton - JT   Potomac under 1 mb


“Things don't turn up in this world until somebody turns them up.”

-James A. Garfield


Day three was immensely important for Democrats as it signified a passing of the party torch from President Obama to Hillary Clinton. In his speech, Obama emphasized Clinton’s vast experience as a leader in public office, touting her ability to adapt to any situation, while imploring voters to defend his legacy by electing her as president. VP Joe Biden vouched for Clinton’s character, recalling weekly breakfasts with Clinton, where he learned her true passions, intellect, and toughness.


Both hit on Donald Trump for his lack of substance and reluctance – even inability – to expand his limited knowledge of policy and international affairs, despite the information being at his fingertips. But the most vital speaker of the night was veep pick Tim Kaine, who introduced himself to an unfamiliar nation and highlighted the reasons why he was the right choice to round out the ticket.


In a year when the veep choice matters so much, two questions remain – can Kaine make enough of a positive impact and is he liberal enough to woo leftist voters? Clinton took the safe route by tapping Kaine as her running mate, but it’s yet to be seen if he’s too safe of a pick. His style is anything but electric and he really doesn’t ignite progressives or other party factions.


The Wall Street crowd is pleased with him because he is not Warren, and his pros ultimately outweigh his cons since VA is a highly contested swing state, his moderate views can corral undecided voters, and he speaks fluent Spanish. However, the pick is still a direct slap in the face to progressives as they feel they are not adequately represented.


Veep pick Mike Pence, a former congressman with close ties to the Hill, has helped Trump and his campaign step up its courtship of wary Republicans - and the efforts appear to be fruitful. The charm offensive comes after months of Trump picking on other Republicans and is aimed at rewarding surrogates who make the case for him around the Hill.


Pence is working hard to reel in Republicans who’ve kept an arm’s length – even extending an olive branch to those once against Trump. If this is any indication of how Pence will perform in the future, Trump has made the right decision in choosing him. It’s imperative he grows his army as he will need all the backup he can get in the coming months.


REPLAY | About Everything with Neil Howe: Earnings Smaller Than They Appear

REPLAY | About Everything with Neil Howe: Earnings Smaller Than They Appear - Slide1

In this complimentary edition of About Everything, Hedgeye Demography Sector Head Neil Howe discusses the growing use of "pro forma" accounting and explains the broader implications for investors.

Hedgeye Statistics

The total percentage of successful long and short trading signals since the inception of Real-Time Alerts in August of 2008.

  • LONG SIGNALS 80.38%
  • SHORT SIGNALS 78.41%