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Friday's Red Hot GDP Report & What It Means For Long Bonds

Takeaway: I’d be a seller of long-term bonds into this GDP report (hoping to buy the 10-yr back again around 1.65-1.70%).

Worldwide long-term yields lower in the last 48 hours and with the UST 10yr at 1.50%, I’d be a seller of long-term bonds into this GDP report (hoping to buy the 10-yr back again around 1.65-1.70%); plenty of people will get sucked into this GDP print if it’s as big as we think it’s going to look (our estimates are +4.8% q/q SAAR – that’s +2.3% y/y – then we’re straight back down to 0.8% for Q3).

 

Friday's Red Hot GDP Report & What It Means For Long Bonds - 10yr treasury 7 28

 

Editor's Note: The snippet above is from a note Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough wrote for subscribers this morning. Click here to learn more.


CHART OF THE DAY | Housing: Behind The Treasury's Shell Company Crackdown

Editor's Note: Below is a brief excerpt and chart from today's Early Look written by Hedgeye U.S. Macro analyst Christian Drake. Click here to learn more.

 

"... A couple weeks ago, I highlighted a Treasury Department initiative aimed at tracking high end real estate transactions in Miami and Manhattan in an attempt to crackdown on money laundering in the ultra high-end real estate markets.  

 

With foreign demand having an outsized impact on prices in select markets and nearly 50% of foreign buyers purchasing properties over $5mn doing so through shell company LLCs, someone thought illegal activity was getting a little too frothy."

 

CHART OF THE DAY | Housing: Behind The Treasury's Shell Company Crackdown - 7 28 16 CoD2


Under 60 Seconds: 3 Takeaways From Hilton's Earnings Report

Hedgeye Gaming, Lodging & Leisure analyst Todd Jordan shares three key conclusions from Hilton's earnings report and why it remains on the Best Ideas list as a short.


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