FDX and ADBE kicked off #BlackOut Day (last day for Corporate Buybacks) with #Quad4 REV #decel Reality (now far more important than inflation)…
- EUROPE – what a #Quad4 mess – all of our Top 5 Signal Strength Shorts in European Equities = Italy (EWI), Germany (EWG), France (EWQ), Poland (EPOL), Austria (EWO) paying whoever had the #patience/process to re-load on them last week (GOOGL and AAPL have 30% and 24% of their respective REVENUES in Europe, don’t forget – bottom pickers got smoked in GOOGL, META, ADBE, etc. = Lower-lows)
- EPS – oh, so you’re REVENUES are #slowing faster than INFLATION is coming down? That’s the point in #Quad4. With most Tourists still hoping for Down Bond Yields, Down Inflation, we’re reiterating that what FDX and ADBE just did is far more important to your P&L than CPI going down 20 basis points. Q4 in particular is an extremely difficult compare due to last year’s #Quad2 GDP and REV acceleration
- NASDAQ – hammered yesterday (because consensus is still LONG it) and now many hedge funds are taking DOWN their GROSS EXPOSURE – that means their LOWER SHORT INTEREST consensus MEGA CAP Longs are going down while their consensus SHORTS get covered and squeezed (GS “Most Short” Basket was +0.25% on big QQQ down day… so now you can re-short those HIGH SHORT INTEREST names too)
Immediate-term @Hedgeye Risk Ranges: SP500 = 3; UST 10yr Yield = 3.20-3.51%
- KM