Takeaway: We invite you to join us Monday, May 17th 2021 at 10am ET for a timely update to our macro risk management views.

CLICK HERE to access the webcast and associated slides, which will become available to stream and download just prior to the start of the presentation. 

INVITE | Q2 2021 MACRO THEMES MID-QUARTER UPDATE - Fed Price Discovery

2Q21 Macro Themes:

  • USA Still #Quad2:  The U.S. is poised to enter its fourth consecutive #Quad2 quarter in Q2 with some of the easiest economic comparisons we’ve seen in our lifetimes. These base effect dynamics are aided by ongoing Fed-Fiscal support and promise a continuation of the historic reflationary environment that has already been on discrete display across cyclical, rate and inflation sensitive assets. We'll detail how much juice remains in Quad 2 exposures and how we'll risk mange the prospective inflection towards Quad 4. 
  • Macro Signals and Divergences: There has been a lot of Brownian motion in the markets in recent weeks, especially with rates breaking out and various #Quad2 exposures taking a breather.  We will review what our Trade / Trend / Tail model is saying in aggregate from quantitative perspective as it relates to where we are in the cycle.  
  • Rates & Housing . . . Peak Cycle?:  As they typically do, rates have been rising as the #Quad2 economic rate of change data accelerates. The question of course is: what will this ultimately mean for the cycle? In particular housing, which has been en fuego.  Our colleague Josh Steiner will be on the call to discuss the cross-dynamics at play currently while contextualizing both the near and longer-term setup. 

Participant Dialing Instructions: 

  • Toll Free:

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  • UK: 0

  • Confirmation Number: 13719754

As always, our prepared remarks will be followed by a live, anonymous Q&A session. Please submit your questions to . For those of you who cannot join us live, we will be distributing a replay of the webcast along with the associated slides shortly after the presentation concludes.

Best of luck out there,

-The Hedgeye Macro Team