Takeaway: The early data for July does not look good

Knapp estimates the comparable Casual Dining restaurant sales change in a four-week period for June 2020 as -27.3% and -27.3% for guest counts, with a meaningful deceleration in California sales heading into July.

KNAPP | JUNE 2020  - 7.16.1

In June, California comparable restaurant sales are estimated at -33.5%, -6.2% worse than the US average.

July 1, 2020, California closed indoor dining in 19 counties accounting for a little more than 70% of the state’s population. The chart below shows the beginning impact. On July 13, 2020, the order was expanded to all counties in California. 

KNAPP | JUNE 2020  - 7.16.2

In June 2020:

  • Texas comparable restaurant sales are estimated at -17.5%, 9.8 above the US average.
  • Florida, comparable restaurant sales are estimated at -23.1%, 4.2% above the US average.
  • Comparable fast-casual dining restaurant sales results decreased by -15.2%.
  • The High-End steakhouse segment decreased by -52.7%.

KNAPP | JUNE 2020  - 7.16.3