Takeaway: We remain Long GH in the Hedgeye Health Care Position Monitor.

OVERVIEW

Our proprietary claims data, which we factor into both a Claims Index and Patient Index, indicates upside to 4Q19 in clinical sample volume.  Compared to 3Q19 trends, there is less upside heading into 4Q19 earnings where company guidance calls for 48,000 tests for the year and an implied clinical test volume of 13,345 for the quarter.   Sequentially the trend continues to ramp steadily even before the announcement of Medicare's final LCD covering advanced tumors which was announced a this afternoon.  Going forward it will be useful to see the trend in non lung cancer testing according to the diagnosis code on the submitted claim.

GH | Claims Analysis and Forecast | 4Q19 Upside, but More Modest Than 3Q19 - GH4

GH | Claims Analysis and Forecast | 4Q19 Upside, but More Modest Than 3Q19 - GH3

GH | Claims Analysis and Forecast | 4Q19 Upside, but More Modest Than 3Q19 - GH1

GH | Claims Analysis and Forecast | 4Q19 Upside, but More Modest Than 3Q19 - GH2

Thomas Tobin
Managing Director


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Emily Evans
Managing Director – Health Policy



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