THURSDAY, JUNE 21ST, 2018

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PRESENTATION OUTLINE

  • Why declining business dynamism matters: Slowing productivity growth
  • Nine indicators of declining business dynamism
    • 1) declining rates of job creation and destruction 
    • 2) declining rates of job churn and geographic mobility
    • 3) declining rates of company start-ups and firm turnover 
    • 4) declining number of total firms and (especially) listed firms 
    • 5) growing age and size of typical firm
    • 6) declining turnover/turbulence in S&P 100 giants 
    • 7) weakening firm response to productivity gaps
    • 8) rising market concentration
    • 9) a widening divide between winners and losers
  • Possible causes of decline
  • Implications for policy and for market performance