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Takeaway: We again reiterate our call for slowing growth in the Eurozone beginning in Q2.

Got #GrowthSlowing? European Equities Hammered - growth cartoon 10.08.2014

Below is analysis from our Macro team in a note sent to subscribers earlier today:


"Got #GrowthSlowing? We again reiterate our call for slowing growth in the Eurozone beginning in Q2 and today got classic "late to the party" confirmation from the German economy ministry who said the country’s economy had a decent start to the Q2 but its growth pace is likely to slow during the course of the April-June period."

The 1yr drawdowns in European equities are unequivocally terrible:

Got #GrowthSlowing? European Equities Hammered - european equities 6 10

This isn't a trend exclusive to Europe:

"No matter what side of the reflation/deflation trade you’re on, the growth in global demand continues to decelerate on a trending basis. Only 35% of country and regional PMI figures across manufacturing, services and composite readings are both expanding (i.e. > 50) and accelerating sequentially as of last month. The rest are either expanding but decelerating or in outright contraction (i.e. < 50).


With continued evidence of economic contraction, we’re confident stick with growth-slowing allocations (TLT, XLU) while waiting and watching on deflation/reflation exposure."


Here's the S&P sector scorecard:


Got #GrowthSlowing? European Equities Hammered - sector performance 6 10