Today at 11:00AM ET we will host our highly-anticipated Quarterly Macro Themes conference call. Led by CEO Keith McCullough, the presentation will detail the THREE MOST IMPORTANT MACRO TRENDS we have identified for the quarter and the associated investment implications.
CLICK HERE to watch this presentation live.
Q2 2016 MACRO THEMES OVERVIEW:
#TheCycle: With the recessionary industrial data ongoing, employment, income and consumption growth decelerating, corporate profits facing a 3rd quarter of negative growth and Commercial and Industrial credit tightening, the domestic economic, profit and credit cycles are all past peak and continue to traverse their downslope. We’ll update our cycle view and detail why growth slowing – and its associated allocations – remains the call as the U.S. economy faces its toughest GDP comp of the cycle in 2Q16.
#BeliefSystem: The notion that central bankers are increasingly pushing on a string is being progressively priced into global financial markets – with one lone holdout: U.S. equities. While we admire the blind faith of domestic stock market operators in Yellen’s ability to keep “the game” going, we are keen to cite specific risks that marginally dovish policy in the U.S. will fail to overcome the depths of the domestic economic, credit and corporate profit cycles.
#DemographyDebates: We’re entering an election season that could hugely impact markets – and probably not in a good way! What’s the impact of a Clinton or Trump victory and how will market practitioners react? We’ll also discuss housing and the impact of millennials and immigrants in shifting demand. Finally, we’ll exam a recurring theme of U.S. growth slowing – what’s under the hood for earnings and inflation expectations in 2016?
As always, our prepared remarks will be followed by a live, anonymous Q&A session. Please submit your questions to . Also, for those of you who cannot join us live, we will be distributing a replay video of the call shortly after it concludes.
-The Hedgeye Macro Team