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RTA Live: When to Sell, When to Buy

 

In response to a subscriber question on today's edition of RTA Live, Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough explains how he views his risk ranges relative to a security's trend, whether BULLISH or BEARISH.

 

Subscribe to Real-Time Alerts today for all of Keith’s trading signals, plus  interactive access to every edition of RTA Live.

 

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Is This the Return of Volatility? | $VIX

Volatility

 

Is This the Return of Volatility? | $VIX - z turb

 

This is one of the biggest things that gets people run over on the long side. When volatility storms back in a hurry (i.e. a volatility move of 34% yesterday on front-month VIX) that’s going to leave a mark. 

 

To put this into context, it was the first down day (of over 2%) for the S&P 500 since October which is a long time ago.  In the last two years, we’ve only had five market-down days of over 2%. Only five.

 

Is This the Return of Volatility? | $VIX - zz 06.30.15 chart

 

Now if that sounds like “not a lot of market-down days,” you’re right. If you go back to 2011, you had twenty market-down days of greater than 2%. And that’s when what was happening?

 

  • Europe was slowing
  • Europe went into crisis
  • US blamed their own slowing on Europe
  • Bonds went up

 

Oh the memories, the memories… 



the macro show

what smart investors watch to win

Hosted by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough at 9:00am ET, this special online broadcast offers smart investors and traders of all stripes the sharpest insights and clearest market analysis available on Wall Street.

HIBB: Removing Hibbett Sports from Investing Ideas (SHORT)

Takeaway: We are removing Hibbett Sports (HIBB) from Investing Ideas (SHORT).

Please be advised that we are removing HIBB (as a short) from Investing Ideas today. According to Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough:

 

Oversold, finally – and I wanted to take the short idea off after a big market correction. We can always put it back on higher. Retail Sector Head Brian McGough's research view has not changed.

 

HIBB: Removing Hibbett Sports from Investing Ideas (SHORT) - z hibb


The #1 Thing In My Macro Notebook Today (No, It's Not Greece)

Editor's Note: This is an excerpt from Hedgeye morning research. Click here for more info.

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The #1 Thing In My Macro Notebook Today (No, It's Not Greece) - z china 06.30.15 chart

 

Some sneaky central planning dudes in Beijing stole the Greek headlines overnight by floating some rumor action (National Pension Fund buying!) out there. Yep. That’ll get your attention in an illiquid market. This fueled the biggest intraday move in the Shanghai Composite Casino since 1992!

 

Shanghai closed up +5.5% after being down 14% in the three prior days. Ex-Thailand (down -0.9%) Asian Equities were pretty much green across the board.

 

If you’re trading China and you don’t have your seat-belt on, please fasten it.

 

Also, in case you were wondering, the Chinese are doing this because the economic data there continues to be a disappointment.

 

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RTA Live: June 30, 2015

 

 

Get involved! There are two ways you can ask Keith questions:

  • Tweet us your questions via @Hedgeye with the #RTALive hashtag 
  • Ask questions in the chat box below the video player

If you are unable to watch this live, the replay will be available at the same link immediately following the completion of the show.


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