RTA Live: When to Sell, When to Buy


In response to a subscriber question on today's edition of RTA Live, Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough explains how he views his risk ranges relative to a security's trend, whether BULLISH or BEARISH.


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Is This the Return of Volatility? | $VIX



Is This the Return of Volatility? | $VIX - z turb


This is one of the biggest things that gets people run over on the long side. When volatility storms back in a hurry (i.e. a volatility move of 34% yesterday on front-month VIX) that’s going to leave a mark. 


To put this into context, it was the first down day (of over 2%) for the S&P 500 since October which is a long time ago.  In the last two years, we’ve only had five market-down days of over 2%. Only five.


Is This the Return of Volatility? | $VIX - zz 06.30.15 chart


Now if that sounds like “not a lot of market-down days,” you’re right. If you go back to 2011, you had twenty market-down days of greater than 2%. And that’s when what was happening?


  • Europe was slowing
  • Europe went into crisis
  • US blamed their own slowing on Europe
  • Bonds went up


Oh the memories, the memories… 

Hedgeye Statistics

The total percentage of successful long and short trading signals since the inception of Real-Time Alerts in August of 2008.

  • LONG SIGNALS 80.52%
  • SHORT SIGNALS 78.67%

HIBB: Removing Hibbett Sports from Investing Ideas (SHORT)

Takeaway: We are removing Hibbett Sports (HIBB) from Investing Ideas (SHORT).

Please be advised that we are removing HIBB (as a short) from Investing Ideas today. According to Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough:


Oversold, finally – and I wanted to take the short idea off after a big market correction. We can always put it back on higher. Retail Sector Head Brian McGough's research view has not changed.


HIBB: Removing Hibbett Sports from Investing Ideas (SHORT) - z hibb

The #1 Thing In My Macro Notebook Today (No, It's Not Greece)

Editor's Note: This is an excerpt from Hedgeye morning research. Click here for more info.

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The #1 Thing In My Macro Notebook Today (No, It's Not Greece) - z china 06.30.15 chart


Some sneaky central planning dudes in Beijing stole the Greek headlines overnight by floating some rumor action (National Pension Fund buying!) out there. Yep. That’ll get your attention in an illiquid market. This fueled the biggest intraday move in the Shanghai Composite Casino since 1992!


Shanghai closed up +5.5% after being down 14% in the three prior days. Ex-Thailand (down -0.9%) Asian Equities were pretty much green across the board.


If you’re trading China and you don’t have your seat-belt on, please fasten it.


Also, in case you were wondering, the Chinese are doing this because the economic data there continues to be a disappointment.


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RTA Live: June 30, 2015



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