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Takeaway: Still trending about -40% for March GGR

CALL TO ACTION

Following the slight uptick the week prior, table revenues took another dive down. However, the downturn was anticipated in our model so no change to our -39-40% YoY growth forecast. Looking ahead, the last week of March is typically stronger but the comparison (+28%) is the most difficult of the month.

No change to our cautious investment thesis. Street GGR forecasts have come down and are not far from ours (HE estimate at -24% for 2015). However, we fear the Street is underestimating the Mass revenue deterioration which will adversely impact margins. Consensus EBITDA estimates remain well above Hedgeye.

Please see our detailed note: http://docs.hedgeye.com/HE_Macau_3.23.15.pdf