THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK

TODAY’S S&P 500 SET-UP – December 8, 2014


As we look at today's setup for the S&P 500, the range is 41 points or 1.70% downside to 2040 and 0.27% upside to 2081.                                        

SECTOR PERFORMANCE

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EQUITY SENTIMENT:

 

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CREDIT/ECONOMIC MARKET LOOK:

  • YIELD CURVE: 1.66 from 1.66
  • VIX closed at 11.82 1 day percent change of -4.52%

 

MACRO DATA POINTS (Bloomberg Estimates):

  • 10am: Fed Labor Market Conditions Index Change, Nov. (pr 4)
  • 12:30pm: Fed’s Lockhart speaks in Atlanta
  • 11:30am: U.S. to sell $24b 3M bills, $26b 6M bills
  • U.S. Rates Weekly Agenda
  • FX Weekly Agenda

GOVERNMENT:

    • President Obama hosts Prince William at White House
    • 9:30am: Supreme Court issues orders on pending cases
    • 11am: House Democrats hold conf. call briefing to discuss Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations
    • 2pm: Senate Foreign Relations Cmte hearing on authorization for use of military force against Islamic State

WHAT TO WATCH:

  • Merck Said in Talks to Buy Cubist Pharmaceuticals for $7b
  • CBS, Dish Reach Multiyear Content Distribution Agreement
  • McDonald’s Nov. Comp. Sales Seen Falling for 6th Month
  • Banks Urge Big U.S. Clients to Park Deposits Elsewhere: WSJ
  • KKR, CVC Said to Lead Bidding for KFC Mideast Operator Americana
  • Blackstone to Sell California Office Portfolio for $3.5b: WSJ
  • Obama Tested for Sore Throat at Washington Army Hospital
  • United Technologies CEO Left Amid Director Concern on Priorities
  • Temasek to Buy Stake in High-Speed Trader Virtu Financial
  • PetSmart Auction Said to Be Extended to Later This Week: NY Post
  • China Blocks Review of Carbon Pledges Sought by U.S. at UN Talks
  • Madoff Aide Hired in 1960s Will Be First to Learn Prison Fate
  • China Rejects Arbitration of South China Sea Territorial Dispute
  • Hostages Killed in Yemen During Rescue Mission by Special Forces
  • NYC to Sell Public-Housing Stake to Developers: WSJ

EARNINGS:

    • ABM Industries (ABM) 5pm, $0.57
    • Diamond Foods (DMND) 4:02pm, $0.25
    • H&R Block (HRB) 4:05pm, ($0.42)
    • Photronics (PLAB) 4:30pm, $0.09
    • Triangle Petroleum (TPLM) Bef-mkt, $0.14
    • Vail Resorts (MTN) 8am, ($2.03)

COMMODITY/GROWTH EXPECTATION (HEADLINES FROM BLOOMBERG)

  • Commodity Benchmarks Seen Open to Manipulation, Law Firm Says
  • Oil Slumps to Five-Year Low as OPEC Decision Spurs Forecast Cuts
  • Gold Bulls Return as Wagers on Stimulus Accumulate: Commodities
  • Hedge Funds Betting That OPEC-Led Oil Rout Is Near End: Energy
  • Wheat Falls as Snow Seen Shielding Black Sea, U.S. Sales Slip
  • Copper Drops for Second Day as Chinese Imports Unexpectedly Fall
  • MORE: China Copper-Product Imports Rise to 7-Month High in Nov.
  • Gold Rises for First Time in Three Days After Bullish Bets Climb
  • Kuwait Plans $7 Billion Heavy-Oil Project Amid Cheaper Crude
  • Trafigura Gross Margin Improves After Oil, Metals Volumes Climb
  • Oil Slump Seen Driving M&A as Nordea Bank Monitors Valuations
  • Algeria’s Sonatrach Says Lower Oil Price Won’t Delay Investments
  • U.S. Gulf-Latin America Fuels Cargoes Rise to Record: Weber
  • Rubber Rises Most in 2 Weeks as Yen at 7-Year Low Boosts Appeal

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CURRENCIES

 

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GLOBAL PERFORMANCE

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EUROPEAN MARKETS

 

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ASIAN MARKETS

 

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MIDDLE EAST

 

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The Hedgeye Macro Team