THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK

TODAY’S S&P 500 SET-UP – November 22, 2013


As we look at today's setup for the S&P 500, the range is 20 points or 0.60% downside to 1785 and 0.51% upside to 1805.                                                         

                                                                      

SECTOR PERFORMANCE

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 1

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 2

 

EQUITY SENTIMENT:

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 10                                                                                                                                                                  

 

CREDIT/ECONOMIC MARKET LOOK:

  • YIELD CURVE: 2.50 from 2.51
  • VIX closed at 12.66 1 day percent change of -5.52%

MACRO DATA POINTS (Bloomberg Estimates):

  • 8:40am: Fed’s George speaks in Paris
  • 10am: JOLTs Job Openings, Sept., est. 3.840m (prior 3.883m)
  • 11am: Kansas City Fed Mfg Activity, Nov., est. 6 (prior 6)
  • 11am: Fed to purchase $1.25b-$1.75b in 2036-2043 sector
  • 12:15pm: Fed’s Tarullo speaks in Washington
  • 1pm: Baker Hughes rig count

GOVERNMENT:

    • President Obama hosts King Mohammed VI of Morocco at White House
    • 10:15am: Sec. of Defense Chuck Hagel meets with Canadian counterpart Rob Nicholson to discuss defense relations, sign Canada-U.S. Asia-Pacific Defense Policy Cooperation Framework

WHAT TO WATCH:

  • J&J said to narrow bidder list to 3 for diagnostics business
  • Robin Hood conf. continues today w/ Ackman, Druckenmiller
  • Paulson changes tone to say he won’t add more to gold fund
  • Apple recoups most Samsung damages cut from 2012 verdict
  • Gap’s profit forecast signals holiday quarter may disappoint
  • EMA monthly CHMP announcements today from 7am NY time
  • Novartis to buy back $5b in stock, add business segments
  • German business confidence rises in sign recovery on track
  • Apple supplier Foxconn to invest $40m in Pennsylvania
  • Party City readies for IPO in early 2014, Reuters says

EARNINGS:

    • Ann Inc. (ANN) 7:45am, $0.87
    • Foot Locker (FL) 7am, $0.66 - Preview
    • Hibbett Sports (HIBB) 6:30am, $0.65
    • PetSmart (PETM) 9:05am, $0.86 - Preview
    • Sirona Dental Systems (SIRO) 6:30am, $0.80

COMMODITY/GROWTH EXPECTATION (HEADLINES FROM BLOOMBERG)

  • Paulson Changing Tone Said to Say He Won’t Add More to Gold Fund
  • Gold Analysts Most Bearish Since June on Fed Taper: Commodities
  • Codelco ‘Optimistic’ on China Copper Demand on Middle Class
  • Gold Swings Near Four-Month Low as Investors Weigh Fed Tapering
  • WTI Crude Set for First Weekly Gain in Seven; Iran Deal Falters
  • Taylor, Jamison Outpace Commodity Hedge Funds Seeing Losses
  • Aluminum Fees in Japan Seen Near Record in First Quarter on Abe
  • Copper Poised for Weekly Gain on Stockpiles, China: LME Preview
  • Rebar Caps First Weekly Gain in Three on Mill Price, Inventory
  • Western Bulk Says China Minor-Bulks Rose 19%; Supramaxes to Gain
  • Shale Boom Pits U.S. LPG Against Mideast in Asia: Energy Markets
  • South African White Corn Climbs to Highest in More Than 7 Months
  • Gold Option Wagers on Surge to $3,000 Was Most-Active Yesterday
  • German Gold Assets Drop 0.1% in October in First Cut Since June
  • Copper Gains Amid Signs Recovery Picking Up as Stockpiles Shrink

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 5

 

CURRENCIES

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 6

 

GLOBAL PERFORMANCE

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 3

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 4

 

EUROPEAN MARKETS

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 7

 

ASIAN MARKETS

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 8

 

MIDDLE EAST

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 9

 

 

The Hedgeye Macro Team

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Cartoon of the Day: Acrophobia

"Most people who are making a ton of money right now are focused on growth companies seeing accelerations," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough wrote in today's Early Look. "That’s what happens in Quad 1."

read more

People's Bank of China Spins China’s Bad-Loan Data

PBoC Deputy Governor Yi says China's non-performing loan problem has “pretty much stabilized." "Yi is spinning. China’s bad-debt problem remains serious," write Benn Steil and Emma Smith, Council on Foreign Relations.

read more

UnderArmour: 'I Am Much More Bearish Than I Was 3 Hours Ago'

“The consumer has a short memory.” Yes, Plank actually said this," writes Hedgeye Retail analyst Brian McGough. "Last time I heard such arrogance was Ron Johnson."

read more

Buffalo Wild Wings: Complacency & Lack of Leadership (by Howard Penney)

"Buffalo Wild Wings has been plagued by complacency and a continued lack of adequate leadership," writes Hedgeye Restaurants analyst Howard Penney.

read more

Todd Jordan on Las Vegas Sands Earnings

"The quarter actually beat lowered expectations. Overall, the mass segment performed well although base mass lagging is a concern," writes Hedgeye Gaming, Lodging & Leisure analyst Todd Jordan on Las Vegas Sands.

read more

An Update on Defense Spending by Lt. Gen Emo Gardner

"Congress' FY17 omnibus appropriation will fully fund the Pentagon's original budget request plus $15B of its $30B supplemental request," writes Hedgeye Potomac Defense Policy analyst Lt. Gen Emerson "Emo" Gardner USMC Ret.

read more

Got Process? Zero Hedge Sells Fear, Not Truth

Fear sells. Always has. Look no further than Zero Hedge.

read more

REPLAY: Review of $EXAS Earnings Call (A Hedgeye Best Idea Long)

Our Healthcare Team made a monster call to be long EXAS - hear their updated thoughts.

read more

Capital Brief: 5 Things to Watch Right Now In Washington

Here's a quick look at some key issues investors should keep an eye on from Hedgeye's JT Taylor and our team of Washington Policy analysts in D.C.

read more

Premium insight

[UNLOCKED] Today's Daily Trading Ranges

“If I could only have one thing of the many things we have it would be my daily ranges." Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough said recently.

read more

We'll Say It Again: Leave Your Politics Out of Your Portfolio

If your politics dictates your portfolio positioning, the Democrats and #NeverTrump crowd out there have had a hell of a week.

read more

Cartoon of the Day: 'Biggest Tax Cut Ever'

President Donald Trump's economic team unveiled what he called last week, "the biggest tax cut we’ve ever had.” Before you get too excited about that hang on a sec. "Trump Tax Reform ain’t gettin’ done anytime soon," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough wrote in today's Early Look.

read more