THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK

TODAY’S S&P 500 SET-UP – March 20, 2013


As we look at today's setup for the S&P 500, the range is 27 points or 0.67% downside to 1538 and 1.08% upside to 1565.            

SECTOR AND GLOBAL PERFORMANCE


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EQUITY SENTIMENT:


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CREDIT/ECONOMIC MARKET LOOK:

  • YIELD CURVE: 1.69 from 1.66
  • VIX  closed at 14.39 1 day percent change of 7.71%

MACRO DATA POINTS (Bloomberg Estimates):

  • 7am: MBA Mortgage Applications, March 15 (prior -4.7%)
  • 10:30am: DOE Energy Inventories
  • 2pm: FOMC announces rate decision, releases summary of economic projections
  • 2:30pm: Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke holds news conference

GOVERNMENT:

    • Obama’s first visit to Israel; 3-day trip includes mtgs, news conferences with Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, Jordanian King Abdullah II in Amman
    • 10am: Sen. Judiciary Cmte hold hearing on domestic drones, law enforcement, privacy issues
    • 11am: Interior Dept opens bids to lease 38.6m acres off coasts of La., Miss., Ala., for exploration that may tap 1b barrels of oil, 4t cubic feet of natural gas
    • 2:30pm: FAA Admin. Michael Huerta, NTSB Chairman Debbie Hersman testify at Senate Commerce Cmte hearing on FAA’s safety initiatives and the effect of sequestration
    • 3pm: Japan Intl Transport Inst forum on vehicle safety w/ speakers from NHTSA, Japanese regulator and Toyota

WHAT TO WATCH

  • Bernanke seen keeping QE pace until 4Q as Fed meets
  • Freddie Mac sues BofA, UBS, JPMorgan for alleged Libor rigging
  • Europe weighs Cyprus’s fate after lawmakers reject bank levy
  • BlackRock’s CEO Fink says Cyprus is not major problem
  • HP holds annual meeting amid dismay over Autonomy purchase
  • Apple may face sanctions in privacy suit over document sharing
  • Hostess wins approval of asset sales of more than $800m
  • MF Global trustee reaches agreement with JPMorgan
  • Chesapeake trial over $1.3b bond call set for April 23
  • Wall Street may win swap-rule reprieve in House legislation
  • Vodafone said to be ready to accept lower debt rating on M&A
  • Yahoo may buy stake in France Telecom’s Dailymotion: WSJ
  • Norwegian Air plans follow-on order for stricken Boeing 787
  • Transocean “should have done more” before blowout, CEO says
  • Los Angeles to halt purchases of coal-generated electric power

EARNINGS:

    • Lennar (LEN) 6am, $0.16 - Preview
    • General Mills (GIS) 6:59am, $0.57
    • FedEx (FDX) 7:30am, $1.38 - Preview
    • Actuant (ATU) 7:30am, $0.37
    • Herman Miller (MLHR) 4pm, $0.28
    • Oracle (ORCL) 4:01pm, $0.66
    • Tumi (TUMI) 4:01pm, $0.26
    • Guess (GES) 4:03pm, $0.87
    • Jabil Circuit (JBL) 4:30pm, $0.54
    • Clarcor (CLC) After-mkt, $0.46

COMMODITY/GROWTH EXPECTATION (HEADLINES FROM BLOOMBERG)

  • WTI Crude Oil Rebounds in New York After Biggest Drop in a Month
  • Arabica’s Allure Returning for Roasters After Rout: Commodities
  • Gold Trades Below Three-Week High as Investors Weigh Cyprus, Fed
  • Gold Falls From Three-Week High as Investors Weigh Fed, Cyprus
  • Wheat Gains on Signs of Increasing Demand, U.S. Weather Concerns
  • Biggest Exporter Australia Increases Iron Ore Forecast on China
  • European Council Votes to End Sugar Quotas in 2017, EU Says
  • Physical Lead Market Seen by Macquarie Under Downward Pressure
  • Rebar Rises for Second Day as Moving Average Signals Rebound
  • Milk Jumps to Record on New Zealand’s Worst Drought in Decades
  • Russia, Egypt Yet to Contribute to AMIS Farm-Commodity Database
  • Wheat Buying by Bangladesh to Climb as Price Drop Boosts Demand
  • Olam Shares Top Level Last Reached Before Carson Block Attacked
  • Arabica Coffee Gains as Roasters May Switch Blends; Sugar Rises          

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CURRENCIES


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EUROPEAN MARKETS

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ASIAN MARKETS

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MIDDLE EAST


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The Hedgeye Macro Team