Hedgeye REITs Cartoon of the Day: Finally Leaving the Cave
Quote of Quad 4: "The fundamental problem here is that you have entire business models and capital structures that have been built up over the past decade that were just based off of zero percent or very low levels of interest rates and now with rates and spreads where they are, and continue to go, the math just doesn’t work.” - Andrew Freedman on “The Call,” 9.27.2022
Recent Presentations:
Black Book: Active Short Digital Realty (DLR) - Replay LINK
REIT Status Deck (MPW) - LINK
1-Page "Cheat Sheet" (MPW) - PDF LINK
Prospect Rent Deferral Questions (MPW) - PDF LINK *WE TOLD YOU OVER THE TARGET*
Black Book: Active Short Iron Mountain (IRM) - Replay LINK
Overview of Priory Relationship (MPW) - Replay LINK
Prospect Restructuring Agreement Deck (MPW) - LINK *BOMBS AWAY!*
Actual Prospect Restructuring Agreement (MPW) - LINK
Black Book: Active Short Prospect Capital Corp. (PSEC) - Replay LINK
Ticker: MPW
Company Name: Active Short Medical Properties (Dis)Trust
Subsector: Liability Management Customers / Liquidating Trusts / Regional Airlines
Headline: Running list of the most important issues
- We are going to update/add to/subtract from this list once per week on a rolling basis. This list may also prove useful to new parties to the situation looking to get up to speed.
- Steward Health:
- MPW Guaranteeing Steward Payables? (New): See HERE for a UCC filing made by CME Corp. on 4.19.23. CME is a medical equipment and services company, and a vendor to Steward. MPW is listed as a debtor, in addition to Steward. Does this mean MPW is guaranteeing Steward's payables/the vendor's receivables? It appears that the vendor can enforce claims against MPW for these payments, i.e. Steward's payables are also MPW's payables and MPW has balance sheet risk. How common is this across Steward's other vendor relationships, and also MPW's other tenants? This could be a big deal. We will continue down this rabbit hole...
- Did MPW Make a 4Q23 Loan? (New): On 11.10.23 MPW, via MPT Sycamore OpCo, filed a UCC "continuation" in Texas (see Figure 1 below). This was one day after the 3Q23 10-Q was filed with the SEC. The last time MPW did this was on 4.28.22, the day of the 1Q22 earnings call, which was also the date that we believe MPW funded the ~150 million term loan facility to Steward for working capital support. Recall that MPW management told investors at the November 2023 NAREIT that they could likely have to extend more support to Steward. Did they make another working capital loan to Steward in 4Q23? Probably, but let's wait and see...
- 4Q23 Rent: Based on MPW's 3Q23 10-Q filing + NAREIT commentary + commentary at a competitor LevFin conference, it appears that Steward has paid <15% of contractual 4Q23 cash rent due to MPW. MPW did not mention late payments in the 3Q23 earnings release or on the call. MPW disclosed in the 10-Q that Steward was late on a portion of September rent (later paid) + October rent, and that they expected to receive the remaining October rent by mid-November. At NAREIT they disclosed that ~40% of the October rent was the amount paid on time. At the end of November at a LevFin conference Hamner disclosed "some payments," but that most of the ~60% from October remained unpaid and Seward had missed the target to become current again. This implies November was not paid as well. There have been no updates from the company since then.
- FY 2023 Rent: Based on simple math, it appears that Steward has paid just ~5% of cash rent on a net basis for MPW's consolidated assets for all of 2023. We estimate ~192 million due for all of 2023 based on HERE, or ~48 million per quarter and ~16 million per month due on the 12th of each month. The facts:
- 1Q23: MPW advanced ~50 million to Steward for "working capital support" and secured by Steward's business interruption insurance receivables, even though those proceeds are very much in doubt.
- 2Q23: MPW credited back ~40-50 million to Steward as a rent deferral and expressed as an A/R build. This was not discussed on the 2Q23 call, vaguely referenced in the 10-Q in relation to Norwood, and later disclosed verbally to sell-side analysts without an 8-K filing. This Steward rent was included in reported "NFFO" and "AFFO" earnings.
- 3Q23: MPW lent Steward ~45 million on an unsecured basis for "working capital support." This was part of the now-infamous "ABL refinancing," with the loan suspiciously classified and re-classified multiple times. See HERE, HERE and HERE.
- 4Q23: See above.
- Look at these numbers. See how they are close to the ~48 million quarterly cash rent owed? We think it is fair to conclude that Steward paid no rent over 1Q-3Q23!. ~40% of October = ~6.5 million. ~6.5 million / ~192 million = ~3.4%.
- As we said in early-2022, Steward (1) is effectively insolvent, (2) cannot afford its rent obligations, and (3) cannot exist without the support of MPW's balance sheet leaving (4) MPW as the effective equity owner of Steward. These two entities are effectively (or actually?) just one entity, and we think should be consolidated. MPW owns and controls the operator.
- Management also commented at NAREIT that "there is no market" and "we do not think they would sell," in response to whether or not they would sell any Steward hospitals.
- Based on U.S. CPI, we estimate Steward's cash rent obligation will escalate ~3-3.5% for 2024.
- Prospect CA Hospitals:
- Re-commenced paying ~90% of contractual cash rent (~3.3 million) in September as expected. This should not be a surprise at all, and to our minds is also questionable as "earnings." MPW advanced Prospect ~50 million via a now-forgiven convertible loan in 1Q23, as well as ~75 million via a delayed draw term loan which we believe is now likely fully-drawn. That combined ~125 million in liquidity equals nearly ~3 years of contractual cash rent owed back from the CA hospitals. It excludes the ~100 million advanced to Prospect last year. More of the same...
- PHP Holdings ("PHPH"):
- There are so many issues here.
- First, it remains an open question as to whether or not this equity transfer transaction has or should have occurred. The WSJ was the first to report it HERE. We received our most recent info request from the DMHC on 12.7.23. As of that date the equity transfer still had not been approved.
- Second, we believe Prospect was clearly shown via the restructuring agreement to have stopped paying well-before MPW disclosed in its 2022 10-K filing. See HERE, HERE and HERE. On our math there is nearly ~70 million of "deferral amounts" unaccounted for by 4Q22 or 2023 actions, or >2 quarters of contractual rent + interest obligations. We believe this clearly indicates that MPW's at the time ~11% tenant stopped paying and was not "current" well-before the 4Q22 disclosed in the 10-K. The size of the deferral amounts was disguised by MPW's use of a "marketability discount" on the PHP preferred equity and convertible loan recorded in the financials. These unpaid amounts would help explain, at least in part, the massive A/R build seen last year at MPW. If it was not Prospect, as MPW has tried to argue, then which tenant(s) caused that A/R build (see HERE)?
- Third, how does MPW not own ~100% of PHPH's equity? It is supposed to be receiving a ~49% minority and non-voting interest in the entity. The restructuring agreement clearly indicates MPW received ~721 million of total consideration for past obligations. At a ~1 billion gross enterprise valuation for PHP argued for by MPW (that we DO NOT believe, see HERE) less ~375 million of third-party debt on the PhysicianCo = ~625 million of PHP equity vs. the ~721 million "received" by MPW. Looks like ~100% to us...
- Fourth, about that ~375 million of third-party financing. MPW claimed HERE that it would "..be used to provide Prospect’s hospital operations with liquidity and capitalize its managed care business for continued growth and value creation in a vibrant market for such businesses." We believe this was a misrepresentation of the facts and economics of the situation. We strongly believe that (1) in reality, the lenders were entering PHPH at an attractive basis should Prospect file and they be forced to take the keys, (2) the interest rate being charged is in the low-double digit range, and (3) the lenders may have a "blanket lien" on all of PHPH's collateral including the health plan. From their perspective this may have been a potential or quasi "loan to own" scenario where they clip ~12-13% along the way and look like heroes. Moreover and perhaps more importantly, this seriously calls into question MPW's stated/claimed ~1 billion gross valuation for PHPH. It is more than reasonable to believe, based on the above + Apollo's recent deal, that PHPH is worth far less than ~1 billion and, perhaps, only slightly above the debt.
- Prospect CT:
- MPW removed the expectation in the 3Q23 10-Q filing (blackline HERE) that the transaction with Yale would close in 2023. The deal had originally been contemplated to close in 3Q23 as per the restructuring agreement. MPW expected cash proceeds of ~355 million which now seems very much in doubt. Prospect began paying rent again on these assets in 4Q, clearly indicating that these hospitals were not part of any "future deferrals."
- The latest HERE and HERE is that confidential negotiations are ongoing between Prospect and Yale, and that Yale has requested a purchase price reduction of some undisclosed amount.
- MPW desperately needs this transaction to close and to bring some proceeds in the door, and effectively has paired off its stranded ~300 million AUD TL debt maturing May 2024 against these assets.
- Absent a separate capital raise, if this deal is cancelled/meaningfully delayed/re-traded significantly lower we believe MPW could run out of available liquidity by Spring 2024.
- We currently model this transaction to close in 1Q24 including cash upfront of ~150 million (NEW) which is our estimate, plus an "earnout" payment valued at ~200 million tied to the performance of the hospital to get to ~350 million + any residual from PHP equity which is very much up in the air.
- To be clear, this would be a VERY bad outcome for MPW.
- (New) The first filing was made in the CON docket since April 2023. See Figure 2 below. Aside from being sad, how does this ECHN pension obligation affect any purchase price adjustments to the final transaction? We believe potential working capital adjustments are already approaching ~100 million.
- Cash Flows (New):
- Again, this is a VERY difficult exercise. Our cash flow and liquidity forecasts are presented HERE. All of the key assumptions are itemized. We use a cash sweep mechanism, and the red highlighting is meant to denote when RCF capacity could run out.
- Weighing all of the puts and takes, we believe MPW will end 2023 with ~400-450 million of available liquidity. We assume a ~250 million minimum cash balance and think the year-end RCF balance will be ~1.6-1.7 billion after additional 4Q23 draws.
- Absent a capital raise, we believe MPW will run out of available liquidity by 2Q24. That is the math. If Steward non-payment of rent continues into 1H24 and/or they file, then all bets are off and it's likely "game over."
- MPW must raise external capital NOW. The fact that it has not executed a secured debt deal yet is equal parts head-scratching, terrifying and potentially indicative of an irrational actor. It is possible they are waiting until the new year deliberately (more on that later...). Additional dividend reductions, to the extent they can be executed vis-a-vis taxable income, should be taken IMMEDIATELY.
- MPW's Debt & Liquidity:
- The remaining ~440 million of GBP 2.55% unsecured notes matured and were paid off using MPW's RCF this week. The next maturity is the said ~300 million of AUD TL debt maturing in May.
- Inclusive of the 4Q Healthscope sale and absent any capital raise, we estimate MPW's year-end available liquidity at ~400-450 million with ~1.6 of 1.7 billion drawn on the RCF.
- Under the best case and circumstances, we believe MPW must raise at least ~2 billion of external capital through mid-2024 so as to be able to address the ~1.4 billion maturity wall in 1Q25.
- We target 1H24 as these maturities will be viewed as "current" from the perspective of the ratings agencies around March-April 2024. MPW cannot just announce a deal; we believe they need proceeds in the door by then or will face a potential credit rating downgrade.
- We estimate MPW's pro forma adj. net debt-to-EBITDA above ~9x.
- Asset Sales:
- We estimate, on a weighted average basis, that MPW's consolidated assets would be priced at a >10% cap rate and are "worth" ~8 billion gross, aka significantly below MPW's carrying value on the balance sheet as well as the ~10.2 billion of consolidated debt. This estimate may be generous. They are worth even less on an NPV basis given the extremely thin market for this asset class and likely extended time to sell.
- Within that bucket there are some marketable assets - the ones that get mentioned the most are the (1) CommonSpirit Utah assets (we estimate ~1 billion), (2) Circle Health (we estimate ~1.4 billion) and (3) the UC Health FSERs (we estimate ~100 million). After that the "adverse selection" problem sets in hard and the quality, marketability and cash flow profiles of the remaining assets falls off quickly.
- In our view the question isn't whether these assets can sell or not, the questions are (1) at what price, (2) what would any impairment be vis-a-vis MPW's debt covenants, and (3) what is the timing to close?
- The follow-on question would be: What is left for MPW's remaining debt + equity after any such sale? This is the adverse selection problem - MPW would be left more exposed to inferior assets, including Steward, and its cash flow profile would be materially impaired going forward.
- MPW needs proceeds in the door NOW, and may not have the ability to wait or deal with any delays such as was seen with Healthscope and obviously Prospect.
- Secured Financing:
- MPW may need to issue a "low-hundred millions" amount of secured mortgage notes just to buy time. We estimate a rate ~10% as likely on any such deal. As we said the key variable here is time, and MPW needs capital in the door. This may be the most likely way to achieve that.
- There are obviously trade-offs here - depending on what is financed, which would likely be toward the higher-end of the quality spectrum, it would limit MPW's ability to subsequently sell those assets. It would also impair the recoveries on the longer-dated bonds and, therefore, the equity.
- It's all about buying time and "kicking the cash" right now...
- Senate Investigation:
- See HERE.
- The letter addressed to MPW is HERE.
- Key Quote: "Despite MPT’s ongoing assurances that it would cooperate with Senator Grassley and the investigation, MPT has hidden behind Lifepoint to provide relevant documents and information on its behalf and has repeatedly failed to provide its own full and complete answers, including documents, in response to his March 17 letter."
- Global HQ Construction:
- See HERE.
- Is this a good use of shareholder (or bondholder...) capital?
- As we said, we will add to this list as needed and update weekly. Please let us know if you think we are missing anything, but these seem to us to be the key issues running in parallel right now.
Figure 1: Recent MPW UCC Filings Related to Steward
Source: Texas Secretary of State
Figure 2: Latest CT CON Docket Filing
Source: CT CON docket
Please e-mail with any questions.
Rob Simone, CFA
Managing Director
Twitter: @HedgeyeREITs
Prior Notes:
12.11.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CXVI | CAN'T MAKE IT UP... | 12.11.23 | (MPW)
12.10.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | UPDATING OUR DLR MODEL FOR JVS | 12.10.23 | (DLR)
12.8.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | THE DLR DEVLP'T JV IS A TRADE-OFF | 12.8.23 | (DLR)
12.8.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CXV | TRACKING WHERE THE KEY ISSUES STAND | 12.8.23 | (MPW)
12.7.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CXIV | ARTICLES + LETTERS ON SENATE INVESTIGATION | 12.7.23 | (MPW)
12.7.23 - "THE OTHER PROSPECT" SERIES | VOL. I | PSEC'S PGX MARKS APPEAR "AGGRESSIVE" | 12.7.23 | (PSEC)
12.6.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CXIII | CIRCULATING NBC ARTICLE | 12.6.23 | (MPW)
12.5.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATING OUR MAA MODEL | 12.5.23 | (MAA)
12.4.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | APT. RENT 2ND DERIVATIVE APPEARS TURNING... | 12.4.23 | (APARTMENTS)
12.1.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATING OUR CPT MODEL | 12.1.23 | (CPT)
12.1.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 12.1.23
11.30.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CXII | PUBLIC FILING ON STEWARD ABL PARTICIPATION | 11.30.23 | (MPW)
11.30.23 - REMINDER: THE REITS SHOW - TODAY, 11.30.23 @ 11AM ET
11.29.23 - REPLAY | BLACK BOOK - NEW ACTIVE SHORT PROSPECT CAPITAL CORP. (PSEC)
11.29.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CXI | FLASH: IMPORTANT CONFERENCE FEEDBACK | 11.29.23 | (MPW)
11.29.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | LARGE MECHANICS LIEN SHOWS UP IN MA | 11.29.23 | (MPW)
11.26.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | A FEW INITIAL THOUGHTS ON "THE OTHER PROSPECT" | 11.26.23 | (PSEC, MPW)
11.17.23 - INVITE | BLACK BOOK - NEW ACTIVE SHORT PROSPECT CAPITAL CORP. (PSEC)
11.17.23 - CIRCULATING YESTERDAY'S CT MIRROR ARTICLE ON PROSPECT CT/YALE SITUATION | 11.17.23 | (MPW)
11.17.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 11.17.23
11.16.23 - REPLAY: THE REITS SHOW - THURSDAY, 11.16.23 @ 11AM ET
11.16.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CX | UPDATING LIQUIDITY FORECASTS | 11.16.23 | (MPW)
11.14.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CIX | SOMETHING NEEDS TO BE ANSWERED CLEARLY... | 11.14.23 | (MPW)
11.14.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UHAL 2Q24 REVIEW + MPW NAREIT QUESTIONS LIST | 11.14.23 | (UHAL, MPW)
11.13.23 - EVENT | BB - NEW ACTIVE SHORT PROSPECT CAPITAL CORP. (PSEC) | WEDNESDAY, 11.29.23 @ 10AM ET
11.13.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | DLR 3Q23 10-Q REVIEW + IMPORTANT TENET LETTER | 11.13.23 | (DLR, MPW)
11.12.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CVIII | PROSPECT NOT "CURRENT" THROUGHOUT 2022 | 11.12.23 | (MPW)
11.11.23 - REPLAY: THE REITS SHOW - TODAY, 11.9.23 @ 11AM ET
11.10.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CVII | FULL 3Q23 10-Q REVIEW | 11.10.23
11.8.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CV | WHAT'S BASIS FOR ~1 BILLION GROSS FOR PHPH? | 11.8.23 | (MPW)
11.8.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | EXR 3Q23 RESULTS | 11.8.23 | (EXR)
11.7.23 - REMINDER: THE REITS SHOW - THURSDAY, 11.9 @ 11AM ET
11.7.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | APARTMENT RENT TRACKER + MPW 10-Q QUESTIONS | 11.7.23 | (APARTMENTS, MPW)
11.6.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ABR 3Q23 10-Q & OTHER NOTES | 11.6.23 | (ABR)
11.5.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | WE SEE AVB AS THE "FASTEST HORSE" IN MF | 11.5.23 | (AVB, IRM, DLR, MPW)
11.3.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | MORE 3Q23 RESULTS | 11.3.23 | (AMH, SBAC)
11.2.23 - REPLAY: THE REITS SHOW - THURSDAY, 11/2 @ 11AM ET
11.2.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | NSA 3Q23 REVIEW + NEW REALPAGE LAWSUIT | 11.2.23 | (NSA, MULTIFAMILY)
11.1.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CIV | DID PROSPECT PAY ANY RENT IN 2022? | 11.1.23 | (MPW)
11.1.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | PSA 3Q23 REVIEW + DOC TO "DMZ" | 11.1.23 | (PSA, DOC)
10.31.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CIII | DID PROSPECT PAY ANY RENT IN 2022? | 10.31.23 | (MPW)
10.30.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | MERGER MONDAY | 10.30.23 (DOC, HR)
10.29.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 3Q23 WAS THE WORST JOE QTR SINCE THE SHORT REC | 10.29.23 | (JOE, MPW)
10.29.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CII | BACK DOWN THE PROSPECT RABBIT HOLE | 10.29.23 | (MPW)
10.28.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | DLR 3Q23 RESULTS | 10.28.23 (DLR)
10.27.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | FLASH UPDATE | KEY QUESTION (FOR NOW) COMING OUT OF 3Q23 | 10.27.23 | (MPW)
10.26.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | FLASH | KEY QUESTION (FOR NOW) COMING OUT OF 3Q23 | 10.26.23 | (MPW)
10.26.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME CI | 3Q23 RESULTS FIRST IMPRESSIONS | 10.26.23 | (MPW)
10.25.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF PART II | INVH 3Q23 TAX MESS + ANOTHER YALE ARTICLE | 10.25.23 (INVH, MPW)
10.25.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | DLR 3Q23 EARNINGS PREVIEW | 10.25.23 (DLR, MPW)
10.24.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | REXR 10-Q REVIEW/UPDATE + MPW 3Q23 PREVIEW | 10.24.23 (REXR, MPW)
10.23.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | FLASH CALL REPLAY | WTF IS GOING ON W/ PRIORY? | 10.23.23 | (MPW)
10.20.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.20.23
10.19.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXXX | NO "OLD WALL" GASLIGHTING ALLOWED HERE | 10.19.23 (MPW)
10.18.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | REXR 3Q23 RESULTS | 10.18.23 (REXR)
10.18.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH SETTLEMENT COMING? + YALE/PROSPECT UPDATE | 10.18.23 (INVH, MPW)
10.17.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXXIX | YALE REQUESTING CT PRICE REDUCTION? | 10.17.23 (MPW)
10.16.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | JOE IS TRADING >2x OUR NAV HEADING INTO QUAD 3 | 10.16.23 (JOE)
10.15.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | IRM CASH CONVERSION + COLD TO DMZ | 10.15.23 | (COLD, IRM, MPW)
10.13.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.13.23
10.12.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | PLD PRE-3Q23 EXPECTATIONS; QUARTER SHOULD BE "QUIET" | 10.12.23 (PLD)
10.11.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXXVIII | MPW IS BURNING CASH AT AN ALARMING RATE | 10.11.23 (MPW)
10.10.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXXVII | WHAT DOES A CAP RATE EVEN MEAN FOR MPW? | 10.10.23 (MPW)
10.10.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 3Q23 MANHATTAN OFFICE STATS | 10.10.23 (ABR, PLD, TRNO, NYC OFFICE)
10.8.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | FEEDBACK POINTS ON IRM SHORT | 10.8.23 | (IRM, SFR, BIG "G")
10.6.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.6.23
10.4.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXXVI | TENET REQUESTING FINAL JUDGMENT/SECURITY | 10.4.23
10.3.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | IRM BLACK BOOK REPLAY + DID YOU KNOW? | 10.3.23 (IRM)
9.30.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | APARTMENT RENTS + STORAGE + MPW CF FORECASTS | 9.30.23 | (MF, STORAGE, MPW)
9.29.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXXV | ANOTHER ARTICLE ON PROSPECT CT/YALE TRANSACTION | 9.29.23
9.29.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 9.29.23
9.28.23 - [BONUS] REITS DAILY BRIEF | 4Q MACRO THEMES | 9.28.23
9.28.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | THURSDAY MUSINGS ON IRM & MPW | 9.28.23 (IRM, MPW)
9.27.23 - UPDATED EVENT INVITE | NEW ACTIVE SHORT IRON MOUNTAIN BLACK BOOK | (IRM)
9.25.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXXIV | MORE QUESTIONS ABOUT PROSPECT RESTRUCTURING | 9.25.23 (MPW)
9.24.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | ADD'L MACRO SLIDES - CREDIT | 9.24.23
9.23.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXXIII | AGAIN, THE WHOLE THING JUST STINKS... | 9.23.23 (MPW)
9.22.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 9.22.23
9.21.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXXII | ARTICLE ON PROSPECT CT/YALE | 9.21.23 (MPW)
9.20.23 - EVENT INVITE | NEW ACTIVE SHORT IRON MOUNTAIN BLACK BOOK | (IRM)
9.20.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXXI | PROSPECT CT/YALE A 4Q23 EVENT AT BEST | 9.20.23 (MPW)
9.19.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH PUBLISHES 3QTD OPERATIONAL UPDATE | 9.19.23 (AMH, INVH)
9.17.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | APARTMENT RENTS + IRM TO SHORT BENCH | 9.17.23 (APARTMENTS, IRM)
9.15.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 9.15.23
9.14.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXX | DUSTING OFF OUR MPW VALUATION | 9.14.23 (MPW)
9.13.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | GATEWAY OFFICE "STUB" EQUITIES | 9.13.23 (HPP, JBGS, DEI)
9.13.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATING: VALUATION IS NOT A CATALYST! | 9.12.23 (UHAL)
9.11.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXIX | TENET FILES MOTION FOR PARTIAL JUDGMENT UNDER SEAL | (MPW)
9.11.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXVIII | DID PROSPECT PAY ALL OF ITS 3Q22 RENT + INTEREST? | 9.11.23
9.9.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 9.8.23
9.8.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 3Q MACRO THEMES SELECT SLIDES | 9.8.23
9.7.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXVII | LIFTING THE CURTAIN ON PRIORY/MEDIAN QUESTIONS | 9.7.23
9.7.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | CONFERENCE UPDATES ROLLING IN | 9.7.23 | (AMH, INVH)
9.6.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXVI | PROSPECT CT WATCH | 9.6.23 (MPW)
9.3.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | ADDING EXR TO ACTIVE LONG, ABR BACK TO SHORT | 9.3.23 (EXR, ABR)
9.2.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXV | INCREDIBLY PROFOUND ON A FRIDAY BEFORE LABOR DAY | 9.2.23 (MPW)
9.1.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 9.1.23
8.31.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ADDING PLD TO ACTIVE LONG LIST | 8.31.23 (PLD)
8.30.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ADDING ESRT TO ACTIVE SHORT LIST | 8.30.23 (ESRT)
8.29.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXIV | THE EQUITY IS THE SACRIFICIAL LAMB | 8.29.23 (MPW)
8.29.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXIII | "OPPORTUNISTIC" | 8.29.23 (MPW)
8.29.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | A FEW POINTS ON DLR COMING AWAY FROM 2Q23 | 8.29.23 (DLR)
8.27.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | NARROWING OUR FOCUS IN TRIPLE-NETS | 8.27.23 | (O, EXR, STAG)
8.25.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 8.25.23
8.24.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXII | ANOTHER UNFAVORABLE STEWARD JUDGMENT? | 8.24.23 (MPW)
8.23.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | JULY APARTMENT RENT TRACKER | 8.23.23
8.23.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXXI | THINKING THROUGH THE DIVIDEND REDUCTION | 8.21.23
8.20.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | ADDING PSA TO ACTIVE LONG LIST | 8.20.23 (PSA, MPW, JOE, DLR)
8.19.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXX | MPW CHOSE TO PUT ITSELF OUT OF ITS OWN MISERY | 8.19.23 | (MPW)
8.18.23 - UPDATE: FLASH | MPW SELLS ~105 MILLION OF STEWARD ABL PARTICIPATION | 8.18.23 | (MPW)
8.18.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 8.18.23
8.17.23 - FLASH | MPW SELLS ~105 MILLION OF STEWARD ABL PARTICIPATION | 8.17.23 | (MPW)
8.17.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR | 8.17.23 | (AMH, INVH)
8.14.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ADDING AMH TO ACTIVE LONG LIST | 8.14.23 | (AMH)
8.13.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | LOOKING FORWARD TO NEW IDEAS | 8.13.23 (STORAGE, MF, TOWERS, MPW)
8.10.23 - UPDATE: THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXIX | JUST SHOCKINGLY BAD; 10-Q REVIEW | 8.10.23 | (MPW)
8.8.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXVIII | PUBLISHING OUR VARIANCE TABLE PRE-CALL | 8.8.23 | (MPW)
8.7.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | NSA 2Q23 RESULTS REALLY BAD | 8.7.23 | (NSA)
8.6.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | PROSPECT CYBER ATTACK + DLR 10-Q REVIEW & MODEL UPDATE | 8.6.23 (MPW, DLR)
8.6.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXVII | WHAT IS THIS NEWLY-CREATED TRS ENTITY? | 8.6.23 | (MPW)
8.4.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | CPT 2Q23 RESULTS RIGHT DOWN THE MIDDLE | 8.4.23 | (CPT)
8.3.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | COLD 2Q23 RESULTS | 8.3.23 | (COLD)
8.3.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | PSA + KW 2Q23 RESULTS | 8.3.23 | (PSA, KW)
8.1.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXVI | 2Q23 EARNINGS PREVIEW | 8.1.23 | (MPW)
7.31.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SBAC + AVB 2Q23 RESULTS | 7.31.23 | (SBAC, AVB)
7.31.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ADDING KW AS ACTIVE SHORT | 7.31.23 | (KW)
7.30.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | POSITION MONITOR UPDATES + SBAC + AMH | 7.30.23 | (AMH, SBAC, DLR, MPW)
7.28.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | TICKING THROUGH JOE'S 2Q23 RESULTS | 7.28.23 | (JOE)
7.27.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH + STAG 2Q23 RESULTS | 7.27.23 | (INVH, STAG)
7.26.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXV | THINKING THROUGH "INT'L JV" & REIT STATUS | 7.26.23 | (MPW)
7.25.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | NXRT 2Q23 POINTS TO RISING BAD DEBT ISSUES | 7.25.23 | (NXRT)
7.22.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | POSITION MONITOR CHANGES | 7.22.23 | (HR, CTRE, AMH, DLR, MPW)
7.21.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 7.21.23
7.20.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | REXR 2Q23 EARNINGS: WE SEE AN INTERESTING TREND | 7.20.23 (REXR)
7.18.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | DLR CHICAGO JV FINALLY COMPLETED | 7.18.23 (DLR)
7.17.23 - POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 7.17.23 | (KW)
7.16.23 - SPECIAL SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | IS MPW A REIT? | 7.16.23 | (MPW)
7.14.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SENATE LEGISLATION INTRODUCED TARGETING SFR | 7.14.23 (AMH, INVH, TCN)
7.14.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 7.14.23
7.12.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | REMOVING IRM FROM ACTIVE LONG LIST | 7.12.23 (IRM)
7.9.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | A TOUR OF SHORT IDEAS | 7.9.23 | (COLD, DLR, MPW)
7.7.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 7.7.23
7.7.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | AGGREGATE RENT ROC DECELERATING, 1ST DERIV. (-) IN JUNE | 7.7.23 (APARTMENTS)
7.4.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ADDING AVB TO ACTIVE LONG LIST | 7.4.23 (AVB)
7.2.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | LONG HUNTING IN MF, BUT NOT THERE YET ON EQR | 7.2.23 | (EQR)
6.30.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.30.23
6.29.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH ACQUIRING SREIT PORTFOLIO? | 6.29.23 (EPR, INVH)
6.27.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INITIAL FEEDBACK FROM DLR BLACK BOOK | 6.27.23 (DLR, MPW)
6.26.23 - REMINDER | BLACK BOOK - ACTIVE SHORT DIGITAL REALTY @ 10AM ET ON 6.26.23 | (DLR)
6.23.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.23.23
6.19.23 - MONDAY NIGHT REIT READ | ADDING REXR TO ACTIVE SHORT LIST | 6.19.23 | (REXR, ABR)
6.16.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.16.23
6.13.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXIII | "A MASTERCLASS IN GASLIGHTING"| 6.13.23 | (MPW)
6.13.23 - UPDATE | EVENT INVITE | ACTIVE SHORT DLR BLACK BOOK PRESENTATION | (DLR)
6.12.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | STOPPED OUT ON ABR | 6.12.23 (ABR)
6.11.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | UPDATING UHAL NUMBERS FOLLOWING 10-K FILING | 6.11.23 | (UHAL)
6.9.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.9.23
6.8.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | DLR BOARD LETTER MAKES WAVES AT NAREIT | 6.8.23 (DLR, INVH, TCN, REXR)
6.6.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH NAREIT UPDATE NOT GREAT | 6.6.23 (INVH, AMH, AVB, IRT)
6.5.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | APARTMENT UPDATES, BOTH EQUITY & DEBT | 6.5.23 (ABR, AVB, EQR, ESS, UDR)
6.4.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | NAREIT DECKS ROLLING OUT | 6.4.23 | (MPW, REXR, ESS, AMH, INVH, CPT)
6.2.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.2.23
6.1.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXI | ANOTHER TENANT FILES BK WITHIN A YEAR OF SLB | 6.1.23 | (MPW)
5.31.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UHAL DELAYS 2023 10-K FILING | 5.31.23 (UHAL, MPW)
5.29.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | QUI TAM JOINT DISCOVERY PLAN FILED | 5.29.23 | (INVH)
5.26.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 5.26.23
5.26.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SBAC OUR FAVORITE TAIL LONG IDEA | 5.26.23 (SBAC, BXP)
5.24.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXX | MORE PROSPECT RESTRUCTURING DETAILS EMERGE | 5.24.23 (MPW)
5.23.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXIX | ARTICLE FROM TAP ON MPW & STEWARD | 5.23.23 (MPW)
5.23.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UHAL MOVES EARNINGS + DEBT REFERENCE POINT | 5.23.23 (UHAL, AMT, DLR, MPW)
5.22.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | ADDING DLR TO ACTIVE SHORT LIST | 5.22.23 | (DLR, OFC, MPW)
5.19.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 5.19.23
5.18.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXVII| | SEC WHISTLEBLOWER CASE FILED IN MALTA ORDEAL | 5.18.23 (MPW)
5.17.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATING AMH ESTIMATES + PRIME DOWNGRADED | 5.17.23 (AMH, MPW)
5.16.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATING INVH ESTIMATES | 5.16.23 (CPT, INVH)
5.14.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | FLORIDA IMMIGRATION BILL's IMPACT ON CONSTRUCTION | 5.14.23 | (JOE)
5.12.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 5.12.23
5.11.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | QUI TAM SETTLEMENT INCOMING? | 5.11.23 (INVH)
5.11.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXVII | 1Q23 10-Q REVIEW + FULL CASH FLOW MODEL | 5.11.23 (MPW)
5.9.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | REMOVING EPR FROM ACTIVE SHORT LIST | 5.9.23 (EPR)
5.7.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | NOTES FROM THE ABR CALL + ADDING A PILE OF CASH | 5.7.23 | (ABR, EQC, SLG)
5.6.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXVI | COMING IN OVER THE TOP... | 5.6.23 (MPW)
5.5.23 - AMH 1Q23 RESULTS | 5.5.23 (AMH)
5.4.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH FILES TO DISMISS IMPLEADER CLAIMS | 5.4.23 (INVH)
5.4.23 - PSA 1Q23 RESULTS | 5.4.23 (PSA)
5.23.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH 1Q23 RESULTS + COMMONSPIRIT DEAL CLOSED | 5.2.23 (INVH, MPW, NSA, JOE)
4.28.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXV | 1Q23 REVIEW + 2023 PROXY REVIEW | 4.28.23 (MPW)
4.27.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | VNO DIVIDEND SUSPENSION + JOE ROC DECELERATION AS EXPECTED | 4.27.23 (VNO, JOE)
4.26.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXIV | GET SOME USEFUL INFO, ALONG WITH 1Q23 EARNINGS | 4.26.23 (MPW)
4.24.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | CBRE OFFICE SUBLEASE STATS | 4.24.23 (OFFICE)
4.20.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXII | NO, WE HAVEN'T FORGOTTEN YOU - 1Q23 PREVIEW | 4.20.23 (MPW)
4.20.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 4.20.23
4.18.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ABR LAWSUIT REVEALS POTENTIAL GOVERNANCE ISSUES | 4.18.23 (ABR, PLD)
4.17.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | APARTMENT RENT TRACKER + ANOTHER ABR SPONSOR ISSUE? | 4.17.23 (MF, ABR, MPW)
4.16.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | UPDATING SFR MODELS | 4.16.23 | (AMH, INVH, WY)
4.14.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 4.14.23
4.13.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATED BLACK BOOK CALENDAR INVITES | 4.13.23 (JOE, SBAC)
4.9.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | ADDING NSA TO ACTIVE LONG LIST | 4.9.23 | (NSA, MPW)
4.7.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXI | NO DAYS OFF... THE ONLY EASY DAY WAS YESTERDAY | 4.7.23 (MPW)
4.6.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 4.6.23
4.5.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ABR SPONSOR COVERAGE + INVH IMPLEADER RESPONSE | 4.5.23 (ABR, INVH)
4.5.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LX | SENATOR SENDS LETTER TO MPW & OTHERS | 4.5.23 (MPW)
4.4.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SELF-STORAGE ESTIMATES | 4.4.23 (PSA, CUBE)
4.3.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LVIV | LAWSUIT CHECK POINTS TO MORE STEWARD UNPAID BILLS | 4.3.23 (MPW)
4.3.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SIMILAR ROC STORY, BUT MOVING CUBE TO DMZ | 4.3.23 (CUBE, EXR, LSI, PSA, UHAL)
4.2.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | UPDATING STORAGE NUMBERS | 4.2.23 | (CUBE, EXR, PSA)
3.31.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | A FEW NEWS ITEMS BEFORE THE WEEKEND | 3.31.23 (WY, PGRE)
3.31.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 3.31.23
3.30.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | STANDARD "SIDE SHOW" IN QUI TAM CASE | 3.30.23 (INVH)
3.29.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | HEALTHSCOPE SALE DETAILS EMERGING | 3.29.23 (MPW, ABR)
3.26.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | GOOD TIMES ALL AROUND | 3.26.23 | (ABR, MPW, NTST)
3.24.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 3.24.23
3.23.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE - MOVING NTST TO DMZ | 3.23.23 (NTST)
3.23.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE - MOVING NTST TO DMZ | 3.23.23 (NTST)
3.21.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATE ON ABR - WORSE THAN WE FIRST PUBLISHED | 3.22.23 (ABR, SLG)
3.21.23 - SAVE THE DATE | BLACK BOOK PRESENTATION - ACTIVE SHORT ST. JOE CO. | 4.6.23 | (JOE)
3.19.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | SHORT ARBOR - BV DEGRADATION COMING | 3.19.23 | (ABR, SLG, VNO)
3.18.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 3.18.23
3.16.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | GOING BACK TO THE SECURITIZATIONS... | 3.16.23 (INVH)
3.15.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LVII | WHY A COMP CONSULTANT AS SENIOR ADVISOR TO CEO? | 3.15.23 (MPW)
3.15.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | TREMORS IN MREIT LAND | 3.15.23 (ABR, BRT, AMT, SBAC)
3.11.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | COMPLETING THE SBAC PIVOT | 3.11.23 (SBAC, MPW)
3.10.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 3.10.23
3.9.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LVI | "PROSPECT NEUTRAL" = "PROSPECT ZERO?" | 3.9.23 (MPW)
3.7.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LV | ANOTHER EXEC DEPARTURE AT STEWARD? | 3.7.23 (MPW)
3.6.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | MORE RESI CONFERENCE THOUGHTS... | 3.6.23 (AVB, ESS, INVH)
3.5.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | A FEW PRESENTATION CALL-OUTS | 3.5.23 | (MAA, CPT, EXR/LSI/PSA)
3.3.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 3.3.23
3.2.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | REMOVING RADI FROM ACTIVE LONG LIST | 3.2.23 (RADI, INVH)
3.2.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LIV | 2022 10-K FILING REVIEW | 3.2.23 (MPW)
3.1.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | THOUGHTS FOLLOWING AMC'S 4Q22 RESULTS | 3.1.23 (EPR)
2.28.23 - CORRECTION: REITS DAILY BRIEF | RADI SALE SAGA FINALLY CONCLUDING? | 2.28.23 (RADI)
2.27.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LIII | STOP WASTING OUR TIME | 2.27.23 (MPW)
2.26.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | EPR 4Q22 CALL NOTES | 2.26.23 | (EPR)
2.26.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LII | "FRAUD" IN MALTA | 2.26.23 (MPW)
2.24.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 2.24.23
2.24.23 - AMH 4Q22 RESULTS | DISAPPOINTING FY23 GUIDE SHOULDN'T BE A SURPRISE... | 2.24.23 (AMH)
2.24.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LI | MPW'S EQUITY REMAINS WORTHLESS | 2.24.23 (MPW)
2.23.23 - EPR 4Q22 RESULTS | BETTER 4Q, BUT NO FY23 OUTLOOK THE FOCUS | 2.23.23 (EPR)
2.22.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. L | NEW FILINGS IN TENET/STEWARD LITIGATION | 2.22.23 (MPW)
2.21.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | PSA 4Q22 + INVH CASE + OFFICE LOANS | 2.22.23 (PSA, INVH, OFFICE)
2.21.23 - NXRT 4Q22 RESULTS | MOVING TO SHORT BENCH | 2.21.23 (NXRT)
2.20.23 - MONDAY NIGHT REIT READ | NXRT 4Q + STAG MODEL + MIKE PAPA WHISKEY | 2.20.23 | (NXRT, STAG, MPW)
2.17.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 2.17.23
2.16.23 - COLD 4Q22 RESULTS | 2.16.23 (COLD)
2.16.23 - STAG 4Q22 RESULTS | THINK THE FY23 GUIDE IS CONSERVATIVE | 2.16.23 (STAG)
2.16.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLIX | PUTTING ALL THE MOVING PARTS TOGETHER, AGAIN | 2.16.23 (MPW)
2.15.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLVIII | COMMONSPIRIT DISCLOSED THE PURCHASE PRICE | 2.15.23 (MPW)
2.15.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH EARNINGS + MPW FOLLOW-UP | 2.15.23 (INVH, MPW)
2.15.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLVI | NO-NONSENSE TAKE ON STEWARD UTAH | 2.15.23 (MPW)
2.13.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLV | TOO MUCH V'CNCY IN BIRMINGHAM... SO BUILD A HQ | 2.13.23 (MPW)
2.12.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | NEW ACTIVE SHORT ST. JOE COMPANY | 2.12.23 | (JOE, IRT, DOC)
2.10.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATED CPT NUMBERS + REGAL LEASE NEGOTIATIONS | 2.10.23 (CPT, EPR, O)
2.9.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLIV | ALL OF YOUR MODELS ARE BROKEN... | 2.9.23 (MPW)
2.9.23 - UHAL 3Q23 RESULTS | U-MISS'ED THE QUARTER | 2.9.23 (UHAL)
2.8.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ESS 4Q RESULTS + UHAL + POSITION MONITOR UPDATES | 2.8.23 (ESS, IRT, UHAL)
2.7.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | STORAGE DEAL + UDR RESULTS + INVH CLASS ACTION | 2.7.23 (LSI, PSA, INVH, UDR)
2.5.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | WHO BLINKS FIRST? WE THINK SELLERS AS WELL | 2.5.23 | (CPT, EPR, MPW)
2.3.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 2.3.23
2.3.23 - CPT 4Q22 RESULTS | OUTRIGHT MISS ON THE QUARTER AND FY23 GUIDE | 2.3.23 (CPT)
2.3.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLIII | CHERNOBYL IS REBUILDING | 2.3.23 (MPW)
2.2.23 - MAA 4Q22 RESULTS | MIXED BAG, BUT WE LEAN SLIGHT "MISS" ON FY23 GUIDE VS. EXPECTATIONS | (MAA)
2.1.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLII FLASH | STEWARD'S PRESIDENT DEPARTING | 2.1.23 (MPW)
2.1.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SFR "PRICING POWER" NARRATIVE TO BE TESTED | 2.1.23 (AMH, INVH, TCN)
1.31.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH CFO DEPARTURE + ADDING AMH TO ACTIVE SHORT LIST | 1.31.23 (AMH, INVH)
1.29.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | "RENTER BILL OF RIGHTS" + STEWARD WTF | 1.29.23 | (APARTMENTS, SFR, MPW)
1.27.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 1.27.23
1.27.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLI | REBUTTING THE SHASTA REBUTTAL | 1.27.23 (MPW)
1.26.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | RADI SALE PROCESS CONCLUDING NEXT MONTH? | 1.26.23 (EPR/AMC, RADI, SLG)
1.22.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | POTENTIAL FY23 BEATS & MISSES | 1.22.23 (AMH, CUBE, INVH, IRM, MPW, STAG)
1.20.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 1.20.23
1.20.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | OUR NOTES FROM THE PLD CALL | 1.20.23 (PLD)
1.20.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XXXX | PROSPECT CROZER MIGHT BE A TOTAL LOSS | 1.20.23 (MPW)
1.16.23 - MONDAY NIGHT REIT READ | MULTIFAMILY UNDERWRITING + EPR + PIPELINE | 1.16.23 (EPR, APARTMENTS, MPW)
1.13.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XXXIX | PIPELINE HEALTH IS SIMPLY INCREDIBLE | 1.13.23 (MPW)
1.13.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 1.13.23
1.13.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATING SFR #s FOR HIGHER NC PROPERTY TAXES | 1.13.23 (AMH, INVH)
1.12.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATES | 1.12.23 (AMT, HIW, MAA, NSA, SBAC, VTR)
1.10.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ADDING/REMOVING CUBE/SBAC TO ACTIVE SHORT LIST | 1.10.23 (CUBE, EXR, SBAC, WPC)
1.8.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | SD WHISTLEBLOWER CASE ACTIVITY + EPR FEEDBACK | 1.8.23 (INVH, EPR, MPW)
1.7.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XXXVIII | ADD'L STEWARD VENDOR COMPLAINTS | 1.7.23 (MPW)
1.6.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 1.6.23
1.6.23 - EVENT REPLAY | NEW ACTIVE SHORT EPR PROPERTIES BLACK BOOK | 1.6.23 (EPR)
1.4.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXXVII | ARTICLE ON "PONZI HOSPITALS" | 1.4.23 (MPW)
1.4.23 - FLASH | JUDGE DENIES INVH'S MTD | 1.4.23 (INVH)
1.3.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INITIAL THOUGHTS ON EPR | 1.3.23 (EPR)
1.1.23 - EVENT INVITE UPDATE | EPR PROPERTIES (EPR) BLACK BOOK | THURSDAY, 1/5 @ 12:30 PM ET
12.30.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 12.30.22
12.26.22 - MONDAY NIGHT REIT READ | MPW "CHEAT SHEET" | 12.26.22 (EPR, MPW)
12.23.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 12.23.22
12.22.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXXVI | STEWARD ABL EXTENSION + OUR QUESTIONS | 12.22.22 (MPW)
12.22.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 12.22.22 (EPR)
12.20.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.20.22 (CUBE, EXR, LSI, NSA, PSA, MPW)
12.18.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | TAKING AN "L" ON HR | 12.18.22 (HR, DOC)
12.16.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXXV | GOAL POSTS TORN DOWN? | 12.16.22 (MPW)
12.16.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 12.16.22
12.15.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | FLORIDA REINSURANCE BILL + MPW/STEWARD WTF? | 12.15.22 (AMH, INVH, TCN, MPW)
12.14.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | RENT CONTROL MEASURES + CEO CHANGE AT DLR | 12.14.22 (APARTMENTS, DLR)
12.14.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXXIV | GOALPOSTS CONSTANTLY MOVING... | 12.14.22 (MPW)
12.12.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXXIII | PIPELINE AUCTION CALLED OFF | 12.12.22 (MPW)
12.11.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | APARTMENT ITEMS + BREIT/SREIT + MPW MUSINGS | 12.11.22 (APARTMENTS, MPW)
12.9.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 12.9.22
12.9.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH TAKES OUT 2018-1 SECURITIZATION | 12.9.22 (INVH)
12.6.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXXII | CIRCULATING THE CBS REPORT ON PROSPECT | 12.6.22 (MPW)
12.2.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 12.2.22
12.1.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | EQT "IN DISCUSSIONS" TO ACQUIRE RADI? | 12.1.22 (RADI)
11.29.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | HEALTHSCOPE PUSHED BACK + INDT BID | 11.29.22 (MPW, INDT)
11.28.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXX | PIPELINE BK UPDATE + STOCK IS NOT "CHEAP" | 11.28.22 (MPW)
11.27.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | POSITION MONITOR + VAL HANDBOOK | 11.27.22 (DLR, EQIX, HR, DOC, SBAC, MPW)
11.22.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | RESI NEWS ITEMS | 11.22.22
11.20.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | UHAL NUMBERS + POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 11.20.22 (UHAL)
11.19.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXIX | UPON FURTHER REVIEW... | 11.19.22 (MPW)
11.18.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 11.18.22
11.16.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | NOTES FROM NAREIT DAY #1 | 11.16.22
11.15.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXVIII | IMPORTANT UPDATES FROM CMAX | 11.15.22 (MPW)
11.14.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXVII | HEALTHSCOPE PORTFOLIO SALE UPDATE | 11.14.22 (MPW)
11.13.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 11.13.22 (IRM, PGRE)
11.11.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 11.11.22
11.9.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | 3Q22 10-Q REVIEW | 11.9.22 (MPW)
11.9.22 - RADI 3Q22 RESULTS | 11.9.22
11.7.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | HEADING BACK TO CHERNOBYL... | 11.7.22 (MPW)
11.6.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE + SBAC REVIEW | 11.6.22 (ADC, O, NTST, SBAC)
11.5.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXIV | OPERATIONS SUSPENDED AT DCMH | 11.5.22 (MPW)
11.4.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SOME FOLLOW UP ITEMS, INCLUDING ON INVH | 11.4.22
11.4.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 11.4.22
11.3.22 - AMH 3Q22 RESULTS | MORE PROPERTY TAX MEDICINE | 11.3.22
11.3.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 11.3.22
11.2.22 - LSI 3Q22 RESULTS | LSI TO THE RESCUE? | 11.2.22 (LSI)
11.2.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | OCTOBER APARTMENT RENT TRACKER | 11.2.22
11.2.22 - EXR 3Q22 RESULTS | OOF | 11.2.22 (EXR)
11.2.22 - PSA 3Q22 RESULTS | 11.2.22 (PSA)
11.1.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXIII | REAL-TIME LOOK AT TEXARKANA | 11.1.22 (MPW)
11.1.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXII | PIPELINE UNSECURED CREDITOR OBJECTION | 11.1.22 (MPW)
10.31.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | WE MADE A MISTAKE - ADJUSTING INVH NUMBERS | 10.31.22 (INVH)
10.31.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXI | PIPELINE BK UPDATE | 10.31.22 (MPW)
10.30.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | UPDATED INVH MODEL ASSUMPTIONS | 10.30.22 (INVH, MPW)
10.28.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XX | BACK TO THAT DRY HOLE IN TX... | 10.28.22 (MPW)
10.28.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.28.22
10.28.22 - STAG 3Q22 RESULTS | 10.28.22 (STAG)
10.27.22 - INVH POST-3Q22 CALL THOUGHTS | 10.27.22 (INVH)
10.26.22 - MAA 3Q22 RESULTS | 10.27.22 (MAA)
10.26.22 - INVH 3Q22 RESULTS | PERHAPS THE WORST QTR IN RECENT MEMORY FOR A "BLUE CHIP" | 10.26.22 (INVH)
10.26.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XIX | 3Q22 PREVIEW | 10.26.22 (MPW)
10.26.22 - EQR 3Q22 RESULTS | ANOTHER DECEL IN LEASING SPREADS | 10.26.22 (EQR)
10.25.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | THOUGHTS ON NXRT'S 3Q22 | 10.25.22 (NXRT)
10.25.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XVIII | I'M THE CAPTAIN NOW... | (MPW)
10.25.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XVII | THAT'S SOME EXPENSIVE GRASS! | (MPW)
10.23.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | LOT'S TO READ ON SFR | 10.23.22 (VRE, AMH, INVH, TCN, MPW, SBAC)
10.21.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.21.22
10.21.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | THC NEGATIVE READ ACROSS FOR STEWARD ET AL | 10.21.22 (MPW)
10.20.22 - REITS CLIENT ALERT | 10.20.22 (MPW)
10.20.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 3Q22 EARNINGS NOTES | 10.20.22 (REXR, CCI)
10.19.22 - CLARIFICATION ON MAA PORTION OF PRIOR NOTE | 10.19.22 (MAA)
10.19.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | NOTES FROM PLD'S 3Q + SUDDEN MAA CHANGE | 10.19.22 (PLD, MAA, MPW)
10.17.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ELS MISS + SFR CONSIDERATIONS AROUND QUARTERRA | 10.18.22 (ELS, AMH, INVH, TCN)
10.16.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | ADDING STAG TO ACTIVE LONG LIST | 10.16.22 (STAG, MPW)
10.15.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XV | RESPONDING TO CEO INTERVIEW | (MPW)
10.14.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.14.22
10.11.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 10.11.22 (CPT, INVH, MPW)
10.10.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XIV | WE CALL YOUR BLUFF | (MPW)
10.10.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XIII | HEALTHSCOPE SALE WOULD LIKELY BE DILUTIVE | (MPW)
10.9.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 10.9.22 (RE FUND FLOWS, MPW, VNO)
10.7.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.7.22
10.7.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XII | WHAT EXACTLY IS "CREF?" | (MPW)
10.6.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XI | PROSPECT BUYING BACK CT HOSPITALS FROM MPW | (MPW)
10.5.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | FACEBOOK TERMINATING 225 PARK AVE LEASE | 10.5.22 (GATEWAY OFFICE, MAA)
10.4.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | WHERE ARE INVH'S + SUI'S IAN UPDATES? | 10.4.22 (INVH, SUI, MPW)
10.3.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME X | TAKEAWAYS FROM INITIAL PIPELINE FILINGS | (MPW)
10.3.22 - FLASH | THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME IX | MPW's ~#12 TENANT FILES IN BK COURT | (MPW)
10.3.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ (ON MONDAY MORNING) | 10.3.22 (SBAC, WY)
10.1.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.1.22
9.30.22 - FLASH | (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME VIII - DID STEWARD JUST BLOW UP? | (MPW)
9.30.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME VII - NOTHING TO SAY? | (MPW)
9.29.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | DIVVY HOMES LAYOFFS / GENERAL EXTERNAL GROWTH SLOWDOW | 9.29.22 (AMH, INVH, TCN)
9.28.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | WEN STEWARD CREDIT FACILITY? | 9.28.22 (MPW, APARTMENTS)
9.28.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME VI - A FAMILY AFFAIR (MPW)
9.26.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | IAN MUCH MORE THREATENING | 9.26.22 (ELS, SUI, AMH, INVH)
9.25.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | TS IAN SWINGING WEST | 9.25.22 (RESIDENTIAL)
9.23.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME V - THE CURIOUS CASE OF DISAPPEARING WORK EXPERIENCE | 9.23.22
9.23.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 9.23.22
9.20.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME IV - SO... ABOUT THAT ~335 MILLION LOAN | 9.20.22 (MPW)
9.18.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME III - I'M ON A BOAT! | 9.18.22 (MPW)
9.16.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK & POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 9.16.22 (STOR)
9.15.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME 2 - WHATS A WHISTLEBLOWER TO DO? | 9.15.22 (MPW)
9.15.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME 1 - SEMC NLRB COMPLAINT | 9.15.22 (MPW)
9.14.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 9.14.22 (CPT, MAA, NXRT)
9.13.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | RESIDENTIAL UPDATES FLOODING IN | 9.13.22 (AMH, INVH)
9.9.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 9.9.22
9.7.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF PART II | WHAT REALLY HAPPENED W/ WATSONVILLE? | 9.7.22 (MPW)
9.7.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | LOOK AT RENT CONTROL MEASURES ON THE NOV BALLOT | 9.7.22 (RESIDENTIAL)
9.5.22 - MONDAY NIGHT REIT READ | INVH ADDED TO S&P 500 + MORE MPW THOUGHTS | 9.5.22 (INVH, MPW)
9.2.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 9.2.22
9.1.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF PART II | PROBABILITY UP THAT COMPLAINT GOES MULTI-STATE | 9.1.22 (INVH)
9.1.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATES | 9.1.22 (EQR, PGRE)
