Hedgeye Cartoon of the Day: The "G" Portion of GDP Making Things Look "Good"
Hedgeye REITs Chart of the Weekend: Narrative Going Parabolic
Source: Hedgeye Macro Team
Quote of Quad 3: As Henry Ford once said, “it is well that the people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning.”
Recent Events:
Black Book: Active Short Digital Realty (DLR) - Replay LINK
Active Short MPW REIT Status Deck LINK
Tickers: Various
Company Names: Various
Subsectors: All
Headline: Position Monitor changes
- Switching BXP and COLD in the priority list on the Active Short list.
- Adding ELS, SUI, AMH, PLD and PSA to the Long Bench.
- Moving MAC and SKT up in priority on the Short Bench. Moving ARE down.
- Moving AAT, WPC, KRC and PLYM to the DMZ.
- The biggest criticism we have received over the past 18 months, and we get it, is that there have not been enough long ideas in REITs. But they have been REALLY hard to find (irrespective of the counter-trend moves within a bearish TREND) from a fundamental perspective, perhaps more challenging than at any time since we began covering REITs. That usually tells you something about where you are in the cycle. Most subsectors and individual securities have been decelerating on RoC into a rising cost of capital, which naturally and MASSIVELY raises the bar to pick longs. Now we are getting closer to that RoC inflection, so we are picking up the pace of trying to recommend both TREND and TAIL long ideas. The bar remains very high to clear, however.
Ticker: SBAC
Company Name: Active Long SBA Communications
Subsector: Towers
Headline: Expectations heading into 2Q23 results tomorrow
- 2Q23 Expectations:
- Core AFFO of $3.14/share vs. Factset consensus at $3.18/share.
- Domestic organic growth at +4.5%, inclusive of -300bps of churn
- Int'l Organic Growth at +3%, inclusive of -600bps of churn
- Domestic Tower Cash Flow (TCF) of ~$375 million, or just +2.2% y/y
- Our current expectation is for +3.5% domestic organic growth in FY24 with -250bps of drag from churn. Inclusive of that we are about -2% below FactSet consensus on Core AFFO, but more importantly see AFFO growth accelerating in FY24 over FY23. We have included ~$1 billion of share buyback activity in our numbers through the end of FY24, which obviously adds to earnings growth but also facilitates a decline in net leverage to leverage towards the ~6.5x range.
- Investors will obviously be looking for follow-on commentary on lower leasing assumptions following CCI's surprise quarter.
- Assuming SBAC remains a +3-4% unlevered compounder (we do), we think the stock is "worth" $275-300/share. This is a TAIL long idea only at this point.
Ticker: AMH
Company Name: New Long Bench AMH
Subsector: Single-Family Rentals (SFR)
Headline: Adding to Long Bench after 2Q23 results
- Adding AMH to the Long Bench and following better-than-expected 2Q23 results. Subscribers will recall that we very much prefer AMH's model to peer INVH on a number of levels, most notably (1) the strategic decision several years ago to acquire and "warehouse" land on AMH's balance sheet, which (2) created a controllable pipeline of building and delivery to match demand and (3) naturally lowers the average age of the portfolio and enhances its quality.
- Most importantly, we foresee potential for AMH's all-in earnings growth RoC to accelerate in FY24 vs. FY23. It is getting closer to the time when this name is a long again (at least on a relative basis), particularly if inflation re-accelerates again.
- 2Q23 Results:
- Reported Core FFO of $0.41/share, or +$0.01/share vs. Hedgeye and FactSet consensus.
- Core NOI: +$0.02/share, a penny each on the same store and non-same store pools.
- G&A + Other Income: -$0.01/share each.
- + rounding, so basically an "in-line" quarter.
- Unlike INVH, renewal and new lease spreads are accelerating despite the tougher comps.
- We like the capital discipline in AMH neglecting to pull the trigger on a few SFR portfolios that recently came to market (such as the Starwood portfolio acquired by INVH), as they apparently did not meet underwriting requirements in terms of returns and asset quality.
- Instead AMH continues to invest in "external" growth through the internal development pipeline.
- The one thing holding us back here is that, when underwriting the portfolio to an ~8% unlevered IRR as a going concern public entity, we get a ~$35/share stock price +/-. We think that, given we are recommending a short of the "FIRR" and absolute rates are rising again, there may be a better entry point from here amidst the next bout of REIT volatility.
- We still cannot recommend peer INVH which remains an Active Short recommendation. Historically these names trade with a very tight correlation, but its possible that there is a relative divergence here.
Figure 1: AMH 2Q23 Earnings Variances
Source: Company Reports, FactSet, Hedgeye
Ticker: DLR
Company Name: Active Short Digital Realty
Subsector: Data Centers
Headline: Awaiting 10-Q for full review of 2Q23 results
- Active Short DLR reported 2Q23 results last week that saw (1) a reduction in the FY23 Core FFO guide as expected, (2) a "below the line beat" on 2Q earnings, as consolidated NOI missed our estimate by about ~$9 million of ~$0.03/share, (3) a raise in FY23 cash leasing spreads and cash NOI guidance, (4) a further y/y and q/q reduction in cash SSNOI margins, despite two quarters of positive inflection for the first time since late-2018 (makes no sense at a high level), (5) a further rise in A/R days, (6) additional asset sales to raise capital, (7) AI mentioned ~20 times on the earnings call, and (8) to the company's credit positive cash leasing spreads on larger leasing >1MW.
- Given that this is the first quarterly print since we more actively began covering DLR, we are going to wait for the 10-Q filing next week before doing a full review. No need to rush, as we think this story is going to play out over an elongated period of time.
- Right now the bulls are focusing in on the positive headline cash leasing spreads and cash NOI "beats" and acceleration combined with a "TINA" trade, while the bears are focusing on deteriorating margins, no earnings growth, still high leverage, inferior returns, very high and increasing capital intensity and the likely need to raise additional capital if the company is to continue developing new assets. For now we side with the bears, obviously, and think that FY24 numbers are too high and need to come down.
- We estimate that shares are at least ~30-40% "overvalued" here, but again valuation is obviously not a catalyst.
Figure 2: DLR 2Q23 Earnings Variances
Source: Company Reports, FactSet, Hedgeye
Ticker: MPW
Company Names: Active Short Medical Properties Trust
Subsector: B-Tranche Triple Net Hospital PropCos / WholeCos
Headline: Preview and questions list coming closer to the earnings date
- Last week Active Short MPW announced it would be reporting 2Q23 results on Tuesday, 8/8. This is a week later than its "typical" reporting cycle, which usually occurs the Thursday after the company announces the earnings date. It is possible the company is delaying earnings a bit to be able to report either a closing of the Prospect CT-Yale transaction or the second tranche of the Healthscope Australia sale, similar to the way it delayed 4Q22 results until after the Commonspirit-Steward Utah announcement. To be clear, both of these transactions should NOT be a surprise and we have reflected them in our numbers. The company will undoubtedly try to paint a positive spin around the closings, as it does with everything, but these should be considered base case assumptions only. However, if either deal was to NOT close for whatever reason, it would be devastating.
- We are working on some analyses/thoughts pre-2Q23, and so will have more details later this week.
- In the meantime, two notes:
- Continuing a string of non-payments by largest tenant Steward that we have documented over the last year, PalAmerican Security sued Steward for $10.6 million of unpaid bills. Add that on to Conifer, Aya, Tenet, Zurich, etc. Recall that Tenet just convinced the Chancery Court of Delaware to force Steward to post ~$26 million bond on an unfavorable judgment, prior to Steward being able to appeal. This was done using Steward's own documents from discovery, which were used to convince the court there was sufficient unlikelihood of payment given Steward's finances. As a reminder (1) MPW loaned Steward ~$150 million in (we think) April 2022 when it was telling the world things were fine and getting better, (2) only ~$100 million of this amount was repaid upon the sale of the Utah OpCos this year (all was supposed to be "mandatorily repayable"), (3) Steward only secured a 1-year ABL extension through 12.31.23 which STILL has not been addressed (we thought these were easy?), (4) Steward hired Guggenheim as a financial advisor, (5) MPW lent Steward ~$28 million in 4Q22 and was called out on the 1Q23 earnings call by a sell-side analyst for misleading investors about that issue (recall Hedgeye had said it would be needed), and (6) MPW advanced a further ~$50 million to its largest tenant in 1Q23! All told, MPW has provided a net ~$128 million of financial support (that we know about) to its largest tenant since we said it would likely have to do so in April 2022. We estimate this tenant owes MPW ~$400 million in pro forma annual cash rent. We will let investors decide if that is ok or not. Hedgeye does not think it is ok or investible. That is not "ordinary course of business" for a REIT, in our view.
- In addition, MPW has provided at least ~$225 million of direct incremental liquidity support to second largest U.S. tenant Prospect, on top of canceling ~$70 million in annual cash rent between the CA and PA portfolios + canceling the term loan principal on the RI facilities in exchange for OpCo equity interests. We will have more thoughts on the Prospect restructuring later.
- Hedgeye's view has been and remains that these two entities are only being kept alive via MPW's balance sheet and, therefore, shareholder and bondholder capital.
- Moving to outside of the U.S., one of the questions we and investors have had over the past two quarters is: "Why, with MPW's bonds yielding 10%+ in some cases and leverage being too high combined with significant cash burn, would the company buy mid-single-digit unlevered cash yielding Priory/Median assets via sale leasebacks in Europe?" Taken in isolation that capital allocation decision makes absolutely no sense and is both dilutive to earnings and value destructive. It also impairs bondholder collateral. Well, perhaps we have our answer HERE from Reorg Research. Just more of the same? SLB proceeds go to the tenant and are a form of 100% financing in exchange for a lease rate (versus a coupon). We also think MPW may have established a similar RIDEA-like structure to Ernest/Capella/the International JV (?) with Priory via "Cayman TRS Holdings," which appears to have been created in 2021 coincident with the Priory acquisition. We believe "Cayman" could more or less be substituted for "Aztec" in the case of Ernest and "Camaro" in the case of Capella, just with a smaller residual interest in the OpCo as far as we can tell. MPW owns a direct ~9.9% stake in Priory and made an "acquisition loan" to the operator which was syndicated, with MPW retaining a piece on the back end. Hedgeye's view is that these RIDEA or RIDEA-like structures, combined with net lease arrangements (no one else does that), are (1) used to initially capitalize the operator and/or (2) used to capitalize them on an ongoing or as-needed basis via the "working capital loans" that MPW cites in its own filings and disclosures. Management calls these "normal course" or "ordinary operations." We do not believe they are, nor do any other current or former real estate professionals that speak to regarding the arrangements.
- Always a fun one....
Figure 3: Hedgeye REITs Position Monitor
Source: Company Reports, FactSet, Hedgeye
Figure 4: Hedgeye REITs Sentiment Monitor
Source: Company Reports, FactSet, Hedgeye
Figure 5: REIT Style Factor Performance
Source: Company Reports, FactSet, Hedgeye
Prior Notes:
7.28.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | TICKING THROUGH JOE'S 2Q23 RESULTS | 7.28.23 | (JOE)
7.27.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH + STAG 2Q23 RESULTS | 7.27.23 | (INVH, STAG)
7.26.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXV | THINKING THROUGH "INT'L JV" & REIT STATUS | 7.26.23 | (MPW)
7.25.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | NXRT 2Q23 POINTS TO RISING BAD DEBT ISSUES | 7.25.23 | (NXRT)
7.22.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | POSITION MONITOR CHANGES | 7.22.23 | (HR, CTRE, AMH, DLR, MPW)
7.21.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 7.21.23
7.20.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | REXR 2Q23 EARNINGS: WE SEE AN INTERESTING TREND | 7.20.23 (REXR)
7.18.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | DLR CHICAGO JV FINALLY COMPLETED | 7.18.23 (DLR)
7.17.23 - POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 7.17.23 | (KW)
7.16.23 - SPECIAL SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | IS MPW A REIT? | 7.16.23 | (MPW)
7.14.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SENATE LEGISLATION INTRODUCED TARGETING SFR | 7.14.23 (AMH, INVH, TCN)
7.14.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 7.14.23
7.12.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | REMOVING IRM FROM ACTIVE LONG LIST | 7.12.23 (IRM)
7.9.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | A TOUR OF SHORT IDEAS | 7.9.23 | (COLD, DLR, MPW)
7.7.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 7.7.23
7.7.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | AGGREGATE RENT ROC DECELERATING, 1ST DERIV. (-) IN JUNE | 7.7.23 (APARTMENTS)
7.4.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ADDING AVB TO ACTIVE LONG LIST | 7.4.23 (AVB)
7.2.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | LONG HUNTING IN MF, BUT NOT THERE YET ON EQR | 7.2.23 | (EQR)
6.30.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.30.23
6.29.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH ACQUIRING SREIT PORTFOLIO? | 6.29.23 (EPR, INVH)
6.27.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INITIAL FEEDBACK FROM DLR BLACK BOOK | 6.27.23 (DLR, MPW)
6.26.23 - REMINDER | BLACK BOOK - ACTIVE SHORT DIGITAL REALTY @ 10AM ET ON 6.26.23 | (DLR)
6.23.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.23.23
6.19.23 - MONDAY NIGHT REIT READ | ADDING REXR TO ACTIVE SHORT LIST | 6.19.23 | (REXR, ABR)
6.16.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.16.23
6.13.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXIII | "A MASTERCLASS IN GASLIGHTING"| 6.13.23 | (MPW)
6.13.23 - UPDATE | EVENT INVITE | ACTIVE SHORT DLR BLACK BOOK PRESENTATION | (DLR)
6.12.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | STOPPED OUT ON ABR | 6.12.23 (ABR)
6.11.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | UPDATING UHAL NUMBERS FOLLOWING 10-K FILING | 6.11.23 | (UHAL)
6.9.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.9.23
6.8.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | DLR BOARD LETTER MAKES WAVES AT NAREIT | 6.8.23 (DLR, INVH, TCN, REXR)
6.6.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH NAREIT UPDATE NOT GREAT | 6.6.23 (INVH, AMH, AVB, IRT)
6.5.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | APARTMENT UPDATES, BOTH EQUITY & DEBT | 6.5.23 (ABR, AVB, EQR, ESS, UDR)
6.4.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | NAREIT DECKS ROLLING OUT | 6.4.23 | (MPW, REXR, ESS, AMH, INVH, CPT)
6.2.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.2.23
6.1.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXXI | ANOTHER TENANT FILES BK WITHIN A YEAR OF SLB | 6.1.23 | (MPW)
5.31.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UHAL DELAYS 2023 10-K FILING | 5.31.23 (UHAL, MPW)
5.29.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | QUI TAM JOINT DISCOVERY PLAN FILED | 5.29.23 | (INVH)
5.26.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 5.26.23
5.26.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SBAC OUR FAVORITE TAIL LONG IDEA | 5.26.23 (SBAC, BXP)
5.24.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXX | MORE PROSPECT RESTRUCTURING DETAILS EMERGE | 5.24.23 (MPW)
5.23.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXIX | ARTICLE FROM TAP ON MPW & STEWARD | 5.23.23 (MPW)
5.23.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UHAL MOVES EARNINGS + DEBT REFERENCE POINT | 5.23.23 (UHAL, AMT, DLR, MPW)
5.22.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | ADDING DLR TO ACTIVE SHORT LIST | 5.22.23 | (DLR, OFC, MPW)
5.19.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 5.19.23
5.18.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXVII| | SEC WHISTLEBLOWER CASE FILED IN MALTA ORDEAL | 5.18.23 (MPW)
5.17.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATING AMH ESTIMATES + PRIME DOWNGRADED | 5.17.23 (AMH, MPW)
5.16.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATING INVH ESTIMATES | 5.16.23 (CPT, INVH)
5.14.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | FLORIDA IMMIGRATION BILL's IMPACT ON CONSTRUCTION | 5.14.23 | (JOE)
5.12.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 5.12.23
5.11.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | QUI TAM SETTLEMENT INCOMING? | 5.11.23 (INVH)
5.11.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXVII | 1Q23 10-Q REVIEW + FULL CASH FLOW MODEL | 5.11.23 (MPW)
5.9.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | REMOVING EPR FROM ACTIVE SHORT LIST | 5.9.23 (EPR)
5.7.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | NOTES FROM THE ABR CALL + ADDING A PILE OF CASH | 5.7.23 | (ABR, EQC, SLG)
5.6.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXVI | COMING IN OVER THE TOP... | 5.6.23 (MPW)
5.5.23 - AMH 1Q23 RESULTS | 5.5.23 (AMH)
5.4.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH FILES TO DISMISS IMPLEADER CLAIMS | 5.4.23 (INVH)
5.4.23 - PSA 1Q23 RESULTS | 5.4.23 (PSA)
5.23.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH 1Q23 RESULTS + COMMONSPIRIT DEAL CLOSED | 5.2.23 (INVH, MPW, NSA, JOE)
4.28.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXV | 1Q23 REVIEW + 2023 PROXY REVIEW | 4.28.23 (MPW)
4.27.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | VNO DIVIDEND SUSPENSION + JOE ROC DECELERATION AS EXPECTED | 4.27.23 (VNO, JOE)
4.26.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXIV | GET SOME USEFUL INFO, ALONG WITH 1Q23 EARNINGS | 4.26.23 (MPW)
4.24.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | CBRE OFFICE SUBLEASE STATS | 4.24.23 (OFFICE)
4.20.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXII | NO, WE HAVEN'T FORGOTTEN YOU - 1Q23 PREVIEW | 4.20.23 (MPW)
4.20.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 4.20.23
4.18.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ABR LAWSUIT REVEALS POTENTIAL GOVERNANCE ISSUES | 4.18.23 (ABR, PLD)
4.17.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | APARTMENT RENT TRACKER + ANOTHER ABR SPONSOR ISSUE? | 4.17.23 (MF, ABR, MPW)
4.16.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | UPDATING SFR MODELS | 4.16.23 | (AMH, INVH, WY)
4.14.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 4.14.23
4.13.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATED BLACK BOOK CALENDAR INVITES | 4.13.23 (JOE, SBAC)
4.9.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | ADDING NSA TO ACTIVE LONG LIST | 4.9.23 | (NSA, MPW)
4.7.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LXI | NO DAYS OFF... THE ONLY EASY DAY WAS YESTERDAY | 4.7.23 (MPW)
4.6.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 4.6.23
4.5.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ABR SPONSOR COVERAGE + INVH IMPLEADER RESPONSE | 4.5.23 (ABR, INVH)
4.5.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LX | SENATOR SENDS LETTER TO MPW & OTHERS | 4.5.23 (MPW)
4.4.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SELF-STORAGE ESTIMATES | 4.4.23 (PSA, CUBE)
4.3.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LVIV | LAWSUIT CHECK POINTS TO MORE STEWARD UNPAID BILLS | 4.3.23 (MPW)
4.3.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SIMILAR ROC STORY, BUT MOVING CUBE TO DMZ | 4.3.23 (CUBE, EXR, LSI, PSA, UHAL)
4.2.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | UPDATING STORAGE NUMBERS | 4.2.23 | (CUBE, EXR, PSA)
3.31.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | A FEW NEWS ITEMS BEFORE THE WEEKEND | 3.31.23 (WY, PGRE)
3.31.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 3.31.23
3.30.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | STANDARD "SIDE SHOW" IN QUI TAM CASE | 3.30.23 (INVH)
3.29.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | HEALTHSCOPE SALE DETAILS EMERGING | 3.29.23 (MPW, ABR)
3.26.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | GOOD TIMES ALL AROUND | 3.26.23 | (ABR, MPW, NTST)
3.24.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 3.24.23
3.23.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE - MOVING NTST TO DMZ | 3.23.23 (NTST)
3.23.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE - MOVING NTST TO DMZ | 3.23.23 (NTST)
3.21.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATE ON ABR - WORSE THAN WE FIRST PUBLISHED | 3.22.23 (ABR, SLG)
3.21.23 - SAVE THE DATE | BLACK BOOK PRESENTATION - ACTIVE SHORT ST. JOE CO. | 4.6.23 | (JOE)
3.19.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | SHORT ARBOR - BV DEGRADATION COMING | 3.19.23 | (ABR, SLG, VNO)
3.18.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 3.18.23
3.16.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | GOING BACK TO THE SECURITIZATIONS... | 3.16.23 (INVH)
3.15.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LVII | WHY A COMP CONSULTANT AS SENIOR ADVISOR TO CEO? | 3.15.23 (MPW)
3.15.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | TREMORS IN MREIT LAND | 3.15.23 (ABR, BRT, AMT, SBAC)
3.11.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | COMPLETING THE SBAC PIVOT | 3.11.23 (SBAC, MPW)
3.10.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 3.10.23
3.9.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LVI | "PROSPECT NEUTRAL" = "PROSPECT ZERO?" | 3.9.23 (MPW)
3.7.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LV | ANOTHER EXEC DEPARTURE AT STEWARD? | 3.7.23 (MPW)
3.6.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | MORE RESI CONFERENCE THOUGHTS... | 3.6.23 (AVB, ESS, INVH)
3.5.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | A FEW PRESENTATION CALL-OUTS | 3.5.23 | (MAA, CPT, EXR/LSI/PSA)
3.3.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 3.3.23
3.2.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | REMOVING RADI FROM ACTIVE LONG LIST | 3.2.23 (RADI, INVH)
3.2.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LIV | 2022 10-K FILING REVIEW | 3.2.23 (MPW)
3.1.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | THOUGHTS FOLLOWING AMC'S 4Q22 RESULTS | 3.1.23 (EPR)
2.28.23 - CORRECTION: REITS DAILY BRIEF | RADI SALE SAGA FINALLY CONCLUDING? | 2.28.23 (RADI)
2.27.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LIII | STOP WASTING OUR TIME | 2.27.23 (MPW)
2.26.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | EPR 4Q22 CALL NOTES | 2.26.23 | (EPR)
2.26.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LII | "FRAUD" IN MALTA | 2.26.23 (MPW)
2.24.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 2.24.23
2.24.23 - AMH 4Q22 RESULTS | DISAPPOINTING FY23 GUIDE SHOULDN'T BE A SURPRISE... | 2.24.23 (AMH)
2.24.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. LI | MPW'S EQUITY REMAINS WORTHLESS | 2.24.23 (MPW)
2.23.23 - EPR 4Q22 RESULTS | BETTER 4Q, BUT NO FY23 OUTLOOK THE FOCUS | 2.23.23 (EPR)
2.22.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. L | NEW FILINGS IN TENET/STEWARD LITIGATION | 2.22.23 (MPW)
2.21.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | PSA 4Q22 + INVH CASE + OFFICE LOANS | 2.22.23 (PSA, INVH, OFFICE)
2.21.23 - NXRT 4Q22 RESULTS | MOVING TO SHORT BENCH | 2.21.23 (NXRT)
2.20.23 - MONDAY NIGHT REIT READ | NXRT 4Q + STAG MODEL + MIKE PAPA WHISKEY | 2.20.23 | (NXRT, STAG, MPW)
2.17.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 2.17.23
2.16.23 - COLD 4Q22 RESULTS | 2.16.23 (COLD)
2.16.23 - STAG 4Q22 RESULTS | THINK THE FY23 GUIDE IS CONSERVATIVE | 2.16.23 (STAG)
2.16.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLIX | PUTTING ALL THE MOVING PARTS TOGETHER, AGAIN | 2.16.23 (MPW)
2.15.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLVIII | COMMONSPIRIT DISCLOSED THE PURCHASE PRICE | 2.15.23 (MPW)
2.15.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH EARNINGS + MPW FOLLOW-UP | 2.15.23 (INVH, MPW)
2.15.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLVI | NO-NONSENSE TAKE ON STEWARD UTAH | 2.15.23 (MPW)
2.13.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLV | TOO MUCH V'CNCY IN BIRMINGHAM... SO BUILD A HQ | 2.13.23 (MPW)
2.12.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | NEW ACTIVE SHORT ST. JOE COMPANY | 2.12.23 | (JOE, IRT, DOC)
2.10.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATED CPT NUMBERS + REGAL LEASE NEGOTIATIONS | 2.10.23 (CPT, EPR, O)
2.9.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLIV | ALL OF YOUR MODELS ARE BROKEN... | 2.9.23 (MPW)
2.9.23 - UHAL 3Q23 RESULTS | U-MISS'ED THE QUARTER | 2.9.23 (UHAL)
2.8.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ESS 4Q RESULTS + UHAL + POSITION MONITOR UPDATES | 2.8.23 (ESS, IRT, UHAL)
2.7.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | STORAGE DEAL + UDR RESULTS + INVH CLASS ACTION | 2.7.23 (LSI, PSA, INVH, UDR)
2.5.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | WHO BLINKS FIRST? WE THINK SELLERS AS WELL | 2.5.23 | (CPT, EPR, MPW)
2.3.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 2.3.23
2.3.23 - CPT 4Q22 RESULTS | OUTRIGHT MISS ON THE QUARTER AND FY23 GUIDE | 2.3.23 (CPT)
2.3.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLIII | CHERNOBYL IS REBUILDING | 2.3.23 (MPW)
2.2.23 - MAA 4Q22 RESULTS | MIXED BAG, BUT WE LEAN SLIGHT "MISS" ON FY23 GUIDE VS. EXPECTATIONS | (MAA)
2.1.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLII FLASH | STEWARD'S PRESIDENT DEPARTING | 2.1.23 (MPW)
2.1.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SFR "PRICING POWER" NARRATIVE TO BE TESTED | 2.1.23 (AMH, INVH, TCN)
1.31.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH CFO DEPARTURE + ADDING AMH TO ACTIVE SHORT LIST | 1.31.23 (AMH, INVH)
1.29.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | "RENTER BILL OF RIGHTS" + STEWARD WTF | 1.29.23 | (APARTMENTS, SFR, MPW)
1.27.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 1.27.23
1.27.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XLI | REBUTTING THE SHASTA REBUTTAL | 1.27.23 (MPW)
1.26.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | RADI SALE PROCESS CONCLUDING NEXT MONTH? | 1.26.23 (EPR/AMC, RADI, SLG)
1.22.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | POTENTIAL FY23 BEATS & MISSES | 1.22.23 (AMH, CUBE, INVH, IRM, MPW, STAG)
1.20.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 1.20.23
1.20.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | OUR NOTES FROM THE PLD CALL | 1.20.23 (PLD)
1.20.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XXXX | PROSPECT CROZER MIGHT BE A TOTAL LOSS | 1.20.23 (MPW)
1.16.23 - MONDAY NIGHT REIT READ | MULTIFAMILY UNDERWRITING + EPR + PIPELINE | 1.16.23 (EPR, APARTMENTS, MPW)
1.13.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XXXIX | PIPELINE HEALTH IS SIMPLY INCREDIBLE | 1.13.23 (MPW)
1.13.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 1.13.23
1.13.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | UPDATING SFR #s FOR HIGHER NC PROPERTY TAXES | 1.13.23 (AMH, INVH)
1.12.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATES | 1.12.23 (AMT, HIW, MAA, NSA, SBAC, VTR)
1.10.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ADDING/REMOVING CUBE/SBAC TO ACTIVE SHORT LIST | 1.10.23 (CUBE, EXR, SBAC, WPC)
1.8.23 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | SD WHISTLEBLOWER CASE ACTIVITY + EPR FEEDBACK | 1.8.23 (INVH, EPR, MPW)
1.7.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOL. XXXVIII | ADD'L STEWARD VENDOR COMPLAINTS | 1.7.23 (MPW)
1.6.23 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 1.6.23
1.6.23 - EVENT REPLAY | NEW ACTIVE SHORT EPR PROPERTIES BLACK BOOK | 1.6.23 (EPR)
1.4.23 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXXVII | ARTICLE ON "PONZI HOSPITALS" | 1.4.23 (MPW)
1.4.23 - FLASH | JUDGE DENIES INVH'S MTD | 1.4.23 (INVH)
1.3.23 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INITIAL THOUGHTS ON EPR | 1.3.23 (EPR)
1.1.23 - EVENT INVITE UPDATE | EPR PROPERTIES (EPR) BLACK BOOK | THURSDAY, 1/5 @ 12:30 PM ET
12.30.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 12.30.22
12.26.22 - MONDAY NIGHT REIT READ | MPW "CHEAT SHEET" | 12.26.22 (EPR, MPW)
12.23.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 12.23.22
12.22.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXXVI | STEWARD ABL EXTENSION + OUR QUESTIONS | 12.22.22 (MPW)
12.22.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 12.22.22 (EPR)
12.20.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.20.22 (CUBE, EXR, LSI, NSA, PSA, MPW)
12.18.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | TAKING AN "L" ON HR | 12.18.22 (HR, DOC)
12.16.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXXV | GOAL POSTS TORN DOWN? | 12.16.22 (MPW)
12.16.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 12.16.22
12.15.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | FLORIDA REINSURANCE BILL + MPW/STEWARD WTF? | 12.15.22 (AMH, INVH, TCN, MPW)
12.14.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | RENT CONTROL MEASURES + CEO CHANGE AT DLR | 12.14.22 (APARTMENTS, DLR)
12.14.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXXIV | GOALPOSTS CONSTANTLY MOVING... | 12.14.22 (MPW)
12.12.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXXIII | PIPELINE AUCTION CALLED OFF | 12.12.22 (MPW)
12.11.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | APARTMENT ITEMS + BREIT/SREIT + MPW MUSINGS | 12.11.22 (APARTMENTS, MPW)
12.9.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 12.9.22
12.9.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | INVH TAKES OUT 2018-1 SECURITIZATION | 12.9.22 (INVH)
12.6.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXXII | CIRCULATING THE CBS REPORT ON PROSPECT | 12.6.22 (MPW)
12.2.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 12.2.22
12.1.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | EQT "IN DISCUSSIONS" TO ACQUIRE RADI? | 12.1.22 (RADI)
11.29.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | HEALTHSCOPE PUSHED BACK + INDT BID | 11.29.22 (MPW, INDT)
11.28.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXX | PIPELINE BK UPDATE + STOCK IS NOT "CHEAP" | 11.28.22 (MPW)
11.27.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | POSITION MONITOR + VAL HANDBOOK | 11.27.22 (DLR, EQIX, HR, DOC, SBAC, MPW)
11.22.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | RESI NEWS ITEMS | 11.22.22
11.20.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | UHAL NUMBERS + POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 11.20.22 (UHAL)
11.19.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXIX | UPON FURTHER REVIEW... | 11.19.22 (MPW)
11.18.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 11.18.22
11.16.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | NOTES FROM NAREIT DAY #1 | 11.16.22
11.14.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXVII | HEALTHSCOPE PORTFOLIO SALE UPDATE | 11.14.22 (MPW)
11.13.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 11.13.22 (IRM, PGRE)
11.11.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 11.11.22
11.9.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | 3Q22 10-Q REVIEW | 11.9.22 (MPW)
11.9.22 - RADI 3Q22 RESULTS | 11.9.22
11.7.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | HEADING BACK TO CHERNOBYL... | 11.7.22 (MPW)
11.6.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE + SBAC REVIEW | 11.6.22 (ADC, O, NTST, SBAC)
11.5.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXIV | OPERATIONS SUSPENDED AT DCMH | 11.5.22 (MPW)
11.4.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SOME FOLLOW UP ITEMS, INCLUDING ON INVH | 11.4.22
11.4.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 11.4.22
11.3.22 - AMH 3Q22 RESULTS | MORE PROPERTY TAX MEDICINE | 11.3.22
11.3.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 11.3.22
11.2.22 - LSI 3Q22 RESULTS | LSI TO THE RESCUE? | 11.2.22 (LSI)
11.2.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | OCTOBER APARTMENT RENT TRACKER | 11.2.22
11.2.22 - EXR 3Q22 RESULTS | OOF | 11.2.22 (EXR)
11.2.22 - PSA 3Q22 RESULTS | 11.2.22 (PSA)
11.1.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXIII | REAL-TIME LOOK AT TEXARKANA | 11.1.22 (MPW)
11.1.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXII | PIPELINE UNSECURED CREDITOR OBJECTION | 11.1.22 (MPW)
10.31.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | WE MADE A MISTAKE - ADJUSTING INVH NUMBERS | 10.31.22 (INVH)
10.31.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XXI | PIPELINE BK UPDATE | 10.31.22 (MPW)
10.30.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | UPDATED INVH MODEL ASSUMPTIONS | 10.30.22 (INVH, MPW)
10.28.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XX | BACK TO THAT DRY HOLE IN TX... | 10.28.22 (MPW)
10.28.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.28.22
10.28.22 - STAG 3Q22 RESULTS | 10.28.22 (STAG)
10.27.22 - INVH POST-3Q22 CALL THOUGHTS | 10.27.22 (INVH)
10.26.22 - MAA 3Q22 RESULTS | 10.27.22 (MAA)
10.26.22 - INVH 3Q22 RESULTS | PERHAPS THE WORST QTR IN RECENT MEMORY FOR A "BLUE CHIP" | 10.26.22 (INVH)
10.26.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XIX | 3Q22 PREVIEW | 10.26.22 (MPW)
10.26.22 - EQR 3Q22 RESULTS | ANOTHER DECEL IN LEASING SPREADS | 10.26.22 (EQR)
10.25.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | THOUGHTS ON NXRT'S 3Q22 | 10.25.22 (NXRT)
10.25.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XVIII | I'M THE CAPTAIN NOW... | (MPW)
10.25.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XVII | THAT'S SOME EXPENSIVE GRASS! | (MPW)
10.23.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | LOT'S TO READ ON SFR | 10.23.22 (VRE, AMH, INVH, TCN, MPW, SBAC)
10.21.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.21.22
10.21.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | THC NEGATIVE READ ACROSS FOR STEWARD ET AL | 10.21.22 (MPW)
10.20.22 - REITS CLIENT ALERT | 10.20.22 (MPW)
10.20.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 3Q22 EARNINGS NOTES | 10.20.22 (REXR, CCI)
10.19.22 - CLARIFICATION ON MAA PORTION OF PRIOR NOTE | 10.19.22 (MAA)
10.19.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | NOTES FROM PLD'S 3Q + SUDDEN MAA CHANGE | 10.19.22 (PLD, MAA, MPW)
10.17.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | ELS MISS + SFR CONSIDERATIONS AROUND QUARTERRA | 10.18.22 (ELS, AMH, INVH, TCN)
10.16.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | ADDING STAG TO ACTIVE LONG LIST | 10.16.22 (STAG, MPW)
10.15.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XV | RESPONDING TO CEO INTERVIEW | (MPW)
10.14.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.14.22
10.11.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 10.11.22 (CPT, INVH, MPW)
10.10.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XIV | WE CALL YOUR BLUFF | (MPW)
10.10.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XIII | HEALTHSCOPE SALE WOULD LIKELY BE DILUTIVE | (MPW)
10.9.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 10.9.22 (RE FUND FLOWS, MPW, VNO)
10.7.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.7.22
10.7.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XII | WHAT EXACTLY IS "CREF?" | (MPW)
10.6.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME XI | PROSPECT BUYING BACK CT HOSPITALS FROM MPW | (MPW)
10.5.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | FACEBOOK TERMINATING 225 PARK AVE LEASE | 10.5.22 (GATEWAY OFFICE, MAA)
10.4.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | WHERE ARE INVH'S + SUI'S IAN UPDATES? | 10.4.22 (INVH, SUI, MPW)
10.3.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME X | TAKEAWAYS FROM INITIAL PIPELINE FILINGS | (MPW)
10.3.22 - FLASH | THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME IX | MPW's ~#12 TENANT FILES IN BK COURT | (MPW)
10.3.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ (ON MONDAY MORNING) | 10.3.22 (SBAC, WY)
10.1.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 10.1.22
9.30.22 - FLASH | (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME VIII - DID STEWARD JUST BLOW UP? | (MPW)
9.30.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME VII - NOTHING TO SAY? | (MPW)
9.29.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | DIVVY HOMES LAYOFFS / GENERAL EXTERNAL GROWTH SLOWDOW | 9.29.22 (AMH, INVH, TCN)
9.28.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | WEN STEWARD CREDIT FACILITY? | 9.28.22 (MPW, APARTMENTS)
9.28.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME VI - A FAMILY AFFAIR (MPW)
9.26.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | IAN MUCH MORE THREATENING | 9.26.22 (ELS, SUI, AMH, INVH)
9.25.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | TS IAN SWINGING WEST | 9.25.22 (RESIDENTIAL)
9.23.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME V - THE CURIOUS CASE OF DISAPPEARING WORK EXPERIENCE | 9.23.22
9.23.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 9.23.22
9.20.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME IV - SO... ABOUT THAT ~$335 MILLION LOAN | 9.20.22 (MPW)
9.18.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME III - I'M ON A BOAT! | 9.18.22 (MPW)
9.18.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | SFR MODELING ASSUMPTIONS | 9.18.22 (AMH, INVH, TCN)
9.16.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK & POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 9.16.22 (STOR)
9.15.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME 2 - WHATS A WHISTLEBLOWER TO DO? | 9.15.22 (MPW)
9.15.22 - THE (DIS)TRUST SERIES | VOLUME 1 - SEMC NLRB COMPLAINT | 9.15.22 (MPW)
9.14.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 9.14.22 (CPT, MAA, NXRT)
9.13.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | RESIDENTIAL UPDATES FLOODING IN | 9.13.22 (AMH, INVH)
9.9.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 9.9.22
9.7.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF PART II | WHAT REALLY HAPPENED W/ WATSONVILLE? | 9.7.22 (MPW)
9.7.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | LOOK AT RENT CONTROL MEASURES ON THE NOV BALLOT | 9.7.22 (RESIDENTIAL)
9.5.22 - MONDAY NIGHT REIT READ | INVH ADDED TO S&P 500 + MORE MPW THOUGHTS | 9.5.22 (INVH, MPW)
9.2.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 9.2.22
9.1.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF PART II | PROBABILITY UP THAT COMPLAINT GOES MULTI-STATE | 9.1.22 (INVH)
9.1.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATES | 9.1.22 (EQR, PGRE)
8.30.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | THOUGHTS ON SPRINGSTONE/LIFEPOINT TRANSACTION | 8.30.22 (MPW)
8.29.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POST-SBAC BLACK BOOK FEEDBACK | 8.29.22 (SBAC, MPW)
8.27.22 - SATURDAY NIGHT REIT READ | IS MPW ACTUALLY A RURAL DVLPM'T BANK? | 8.27.22 (MPW)
8.26.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK + MPW NARRATIVE SHIFT! | 8.26.22 (MPW)
8.25.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | FULL SBAC SHORT DECK + REPLAY | 8.25.22 (SBAC)
8.21.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | REAL-TIME LOOK AT TRIPLE-NET CREDIT RISK IMPACTS | 8.21.22 | (EPR, MPW)
8.19.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | PROSPECT STILL HOLDING THE CROZER BAG | 8.19.22 (MPW)
8.19.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 8.19.22
8.16.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 8.16.22 (SBAC)
8.14.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | WHY ARE MPW's COVERAGES SERIALLY REVISED DOWN? | 8.14.22 (MPW)
8.12.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | RADI MODEL / NAV UPDATE | 8.12.22
8.12.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 8.12.22
8.9.22 - FOLLOW-UP THOUGHTS TO MPW'S 2Q22 RESULTS & CALL | 8.9.22 | (MPW)
8.8.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | APARTMENT RENT TRACKER | 8.8.22
8.8.22 - G&A-DRIVEN "MISS," BUT DEPLOYED MORE CAPITAL THAN WE MODELED | 8.8.22 | (RADI)
8.8.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 8.8.22
8.7.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | STYLE FACTOR PERFORMANCE | 8.7.22
8.5.22 - PSA MISSED OUR TOP-LINE ON 2Q | 8.5.22 | (PSA)
8.4.22 - ANOTHER HIGH-QUALITY TOP-LINE DRIVEN BEAT-AND-RAISE IN STORAGE | 8.4.22 | (LSI)
8.3.22 - HIGH-QUALITY F1Q23 BEAT OUT OF UHAL, BUT WE THINK OVER-EARNING | 8.3.22 | (UHAL)
8.3.22 - INITIAL THOUGHTS ON MPW'S 2Q RESULTS | 8.3.22 | (MPW)
8.2.22 - EXR KEEPS CRUSHING EXPECTATIONS, JUST STANDING ASIDE | 8.2.22 | (EXR)
8.1.22 - INVH MODEL UPDATE - HITTING PEAK MARGINS | 8.1.22 | (INVH)
7.31.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | STEWARD TRYING TO "STIFF" ITS VENDORS? | 7.31.22 | (MPW)
7.29.22 - CPT 2Q22 RESULTS IN-LINE | 7.29.22 | (CPT)
7.28.22 - EVENT REPLAY | MPW's EQUITY IS WORTHLESS | 7.28.22 | (MPW)
7.28.22 - INVH IS "STAGFLATION REIT" | 7.28.22 | (INVH 2Q22 RESULTS)
7.26.22 - HIGH QUALITY 2Q22 BEAT OUT OF EQR | 7.26.22 | (EQR)
7.26.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 7.26.22 | (NXRT 2Q22 RESULTS)
7.25.22 - EVENT INVITE | MEDICAL PROPERTIES TRUST (MPW) FLASH CALL | THURSDAY, 7/28 @ 10:00AM ET
7.24.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 7.24.22 | (NXRT, POSITION MONITOR CHANGES)
7.22.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 7.22.22
7.21.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | (MPW, REXR 2Q22 RESULTS)
7.19.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 7.19.22 | (INVH, PLD)
7.18.22 - IS MPW RUNNING AFOUL OF SEC TOPIC 2, SECTION 2340? | 7.18.22 | (MPW)
7.17.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 7.17.22 | (FINANCIAL STRAIN INDEX)
7.16.22 - CORRECTION: IS MPW MANAGEMENT GETTING DESPERATE? | 7.16.22 | (MPW)
7.15.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 7.15.22
7.14.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 7.14.22 | (AVB, CTRE, IHS TCN)
7.13.22 - SELL INVITATION HOMES | 7.13.22 | (INVH)
7.10.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 7.10.22 | (HR, HTA, INVH)
7.8.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 7.8.22
7.8.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 7.8.22 | (INVH - TWO CITIES OPPOSE MOTION TO DISMISS, STILL MORE MPW)
7.6.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 7.6.22 | (STEWARD'S LIQUIDITY & MPW'S OPTIONS)
7.3.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 7.3.22 | (HR, HTA, WELL, MPW, NXRT)
7.1.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 7.1.22
6.30.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 6.30.22 | (APARTMENT RENTS, MPW)
6.28.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 6.28.22 | (INVH) | PLAINTIFF FILES RESPONSE
6.26.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 6.26.22 | (COLD)
6.24.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.24.22
6.23.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 6.23.22 | (PGRE)
6.22.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 6.22.22 | (PGRE)
6.20.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 6.20.22 | (POSITION MONITOR UPDATE)
6.17.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 6.17.22 | (MPW - MORE BAD NEWS)
6.17.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.17.22
6.16.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 6.16.22 | EXPLORING MPW'S PRIORY TRANSACTION (MPW)
6.12.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 6.12.22 | (FR, PGRE, NXRT)
6.10.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.10.22
6.8.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 6.8.22 | (NAREIT, POSITION MONITOR UPDATE)
6.6.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 6.6.22 | (MPW)
6.5.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 6.5.22 | (JUNE NAREIT PRESENTATIONS HITTING)
6.3.22 - REITS WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK | 6.3.22
6.3.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 6.3.22 | (ANOTHER ONE ON MPW)
6.2.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 6.2.22 | (MPW)
6.1.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 6.1.22 | (CPT TO BEST IDEA SHORT LIST)
5.30.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ (ON MONDAY) | 5.30.22 | (UHAL, FIRST WEEKLY VALUATION HANDBOOK)
5.26.22 - UHAL F4Q22 RESULTS - BIG OOF ON DIY | 5.26.22 | (UHAL)
5.25.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 5.25.22 | (MPW MUST LIVE ON ANOTHER PLANET)
5.24.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 5.24.22 | (REMOVING COLD FROM BEST IDEA SHORT)
5.22.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 5.22.22 | (OFC, STYLE FACTORS)
5.20.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 5.20.22 | (MPW)
5.18.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 5.18.22 | (POSITION MONITOR UPDATE)
5.17.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 5.17.22 | (MPW)
5.16.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ, A LITTLE LATE | 5.16.22 | (CUBE, PSA, EXR, LSI, UHAL)
5.12.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 5.12.22 | (APARTMENT RENT TRACKER)
5.10.22 - RADI 1Q22 RESULTS | TIMING IMPACT DRAG; POTENTIAL DEAL ALL THAT MATTERS | 5.10.22 | (RADI)
5.8.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 5.8.22 | (RADI)
5.6.22 - COLD 1Q22 RESULTS | SETTING UP ANOTHER GUIDANCE CUT? | 5.6.22 | (COLD)
5.5.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 5.5.22 | (HR/HTA/WELL, LSI, NSA)
5.4.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 5.4.22 | (EXR/PSA 1Q22 RESULTS)
5.3.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 5.3.22 | (HR, HTA)
5.1.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 5.1.22 | (AMH, MPW)
4.29.22 - MPW HEARING FOOTSTEPS? | 4.29.22 | (MPW)
4.28.22 - AVB 1Q22 RESULTS | BIG BEAT DIDN'T HAPPEN, BUT FY22 OUTLOOK RAISED | 4.28.22 | (AVB)
4.27.22 - INVH 1Q22 RESULTS | ROC ROLLING OVER EVERYWHERE | 4.27.22 | (INVH, AMH)
4.26.22 - EQR 1Q22 RESULTS | DISAPPOINTING QUARTER | 4.26.22 | (EQR)
4.26.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 4.26.22 | (AVB 1Q22 PREVIEW)
4.25.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 4.25.22 | (EQR 1Q22 PREVIEW)
4.24.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 4.24.22 | (AMH, INVH, TCN)
4.22.22 - EVENT REPLAY: MPW BEST IDEA SHORT BLACK BOOK (MPW)
4.21.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF - LATE EDITION | 4.21.22 | (MPW)
4.19.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 4.19.22 | (PLD 1Q22 RESULTS)
4.17.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 4.17.22 | (MPW)
4.13.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 4.13.22 | (OFFICE UTILIZATION)
4.12.22 - EVENT INVITE | MEDICAL PROPERTIES TRUST (MPW) BLACK BOOK | THURSDAY, 4/21 @ 10:00AM ET
4.10.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 4.10.22 | (MACRO STYLE FACTORS)
4.8.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 4.8.22 | (PLD)
4.7.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 4.7.22 | (OFFICE UTILIZATION, PGRE)
4.5.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 4.5.22 | (AMH, MAA, MPW)
4.3.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 4.3.22 | (CXW)
4.1.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 4.1.22 | (CPT, INVH)
3.31.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 3.31.22 | (APARTMENT RENT TRACKER)
3.30.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SELF-STORAGE ASSUMPTIONS | 3.30.22 | (CUBE, EXR, LSI, NSA, PSA)
3.27.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 3.27.22 | (CXW, INVH, ONL, WE)
3.22.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | PGRE REJECTS MONARCH OFFER | 3.22.22 | (PGRE)
3.20.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 3.20.22 | (INVH)
3.18.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | COLD REMAINS TOP SHORT IDEA | 3.18.22 | (COLD)
3.16.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | SFR ASSUMPTIONS SHEET | 3.16.22 | (AMH, INVH)
3.15.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 3.15.22 | (SUI)
3.13.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 3.13.22 | (INVH)
3.11.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 3.11.22 | (WE)
3.9.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 3.9.22 | (OFFICE UTILIZATION)
3.8.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 3.8.22 | (APARTMENT RENT TRACKER, AMH, INVH, TCN, ILPT)
3.6.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 3.6.22 | (WE)
3.4.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 3.4.22 | (WE)
3.4.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 3.4.22 | (RADI MODEL UPDATE)
3.1.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 3.1.22 | (WE)
3.1.22 - FOLLOWING UP W/ ADDITIONAL THOUGHTS ON HR | 2.28.22 | (HR, HTA)
2.28.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 2.28.22 | (HR, HTA)
2.27.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 2.27.22 | (HR, HTA)
2.26.22 - UPDATE FOLLOWING MONARCH BID | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 2.26.22 | (PGRE)
2.24.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 2.24.22 | (COLD 4Q21 RESULTS)
2.24.22 - UPDATE ON INVH COURT CASE | 2.24.22 | (INVH)
2.24.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 2.24.22 | (PGRE)
2.23.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 2.23.22 | (INVH, COLD)
2.20.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ (A LITTLE EARLY FOR FUN!) | 2.20.22 | (INVH SHORT)
2.17.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 2.17.22 | (INVH)
2.16.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 2.16.22 | (UHAL)
2.15.22 - INVH 4Q21 RESULTS | JUST NOT ENOUGH | 2.15.22 | (INVH)
2.13.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ - SUPER BOWL EDITION | 2.13.22 | (UHAL)
2.11.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 2.11.22 | (OFC 4Q21 RESULTS)
2.10.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 2.10.22 | (REXR 4Q21 FOLLOW-UP)
2.9.22 - REXR'S FY22 OUTLOOK DISAPPOINTING | 2.9.22 | (REXR)
2.9.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 2.9.22 | (EGP)
2.8.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 2.8.22 | (REXR, APARTMENT RENT TRACKER)
2.6.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 2.6.22 | (RADI)
2.4.22 - EVENT REPLAY | RADIUS GLOBAL INFRASRUCTURE (RADI) BLACK BOOK
2.2.22 - AVB FY22 GUIDANCE CONSERVATIVE | 2.2.22 | (AVB)
2.1.22 - EQR 4Q21 EARNINGS BEAT | 2.1.22 | (EQR)
1.31.22 - POSITION MONITOR UPDATE | 1.31.22 | (O, NNN, WY, CUBE, LSI)
1.30.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 1.30.22 (AVB, EQR, WE)
1.27.22 - EVENT INVITE | RADIUS GLOBAL INFRASRUCTURE (RADI) BLACK BOOK | FRIDAY, 2/4 @ 10:00AM ET
1.27.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 1.27.22 | (OFC)
1.26.22: REITS DAILY BRIEF PART II | 1.26.22 | (RADI)
1.26.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 1.26.22 | (COLD)
1.25.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 1.25.22 | (APARTMENTS, OFFICE UTILIZATION)
1.25.22 - Will $MSTR Be Forced To Sell Their Bitcoin? (Bonus)
1.23.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 1.23.22
1.22.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 1.21.22 | (COLD)
1.21.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 1.19.22 | (AMH, WE)
1.19.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 1.19.22 | (PLD, COLD)
1.17.22 - MONDAY NIGHT HOLIDAY REIT READ | 1.17.22 (RADI, PLD)
1.12.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 1.12.22 | (APARTMENT RENT TRACKER)
1.11.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 1.11.22 | (POSITION MONITOR UPDATE)
1.10.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 1.10.22 | (WE, REXR)
1.9.22 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 1.9.22
1.6.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 1.6.22 | (PSA, POSITION MONITOR)
1.5.22 - ESRT <--> PGRE: A WIN-WIN ALL AROUND? | 1.5.22 | (ESRT, PGRE)
1.4.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 1.4.22 | (PGRE)
1.3.22 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 1.3.22 | (POSITION MONITOR UPDATE, PGRE)
12.29.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.29.21 | (Position Monitor, TCN, DLR, EQIX, ELS, SUI)
12.23.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.23.21 | (AVB, CPT, EQR, MAA)
12.21.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.21.21 | (BRG, U.S. OFFICE UTILIZATION)
12.19.21 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 12.19.21 | (PSA)
12.17.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.17.21 | (Storage, Manhattan Office)
12.16.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.16.21 | (FR)
12.15.21 - EVENT REPLAY | FIRESIDE CHAT W/ WEWORK CEO SANDEEP MATHRANI
12.14.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.14.21 | (U.S. OFFICE UTILIZATION)
12.12.21 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 12.12.21 | (WE)
12.11.21 - EVENT REMINDER | FIRESIDE CHAT W/ WEWORK CEO SANDEEP MATHRANI
12.10.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.10.21 | (ESRT)
12.8.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.8.21 | (APARTMENT RENT TRACKER, U.S. OFFICE UTILIZATION)
12.7.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.7.21 | (SLG)
12.6.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.6.21 | (WE NOVEMBER OPERATIONS UPDATE)
12.5.21 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 12.5.21 | (PGRE, EGP, PLYM, MAA, CPT, O, EPR)
12.2.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.2.21 | (WE)
12.1.21 - IGNORE CNBC RE: WEWORK RESTATEMENT | 12.1.21 | (WE)
12.1.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 12.1.21 | (U.S. OFFICE UTILIZATION, WE)
11.30.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 11.30.21 | (AMH)
11.28.21 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 11.28.21 | (COLD)
11.23.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 11.23.21 | (U.S. OFFICE UTILIZATION, WE)
11.21.21 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 11.21.21 | (WE)
11.19.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 11.19.21 | (CUBE)
11.17.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 11.17.21 | (STYLE FACTOR WORK)
11.16.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 11.16.21 | (U.S. OFFICE UTILIZATION)
11.15.21 - CUBE ANNOUNCES STABILIZED ACQUISITION | 11.15.21
11.15.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 11.15.21 | (WE, ILPT)
11.14.21 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 11.14.21 | (CUBE, EXR, LSI, NSA)
11.11.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 11.11.21 | (LSI, NYC CBD OFFICE)
11.10.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 11.10.21 | (UHAL, CONE, COR, NSA, PSA)
11.9.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 11.9.21 | (U.S. OFFICE UTILIZATION, SFR)
11.7.21 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 11.7.21 | (APARTMENT RENTAL RATE TRACKER, POSITION MONITOR UPDATE)
11.4.21 - REIT RECAP | 11.4.21 | AMH 3Q21 RESULTS
11.4.21 - REIT RECAP | 11.4.21 | CUBE 3Q21 RESULTS
11.4.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 11.4.21 | (COLD, IRM, EARNINGS SURPRISE MONITOR)
11.3.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 11.2.21 | (LSI, POSITION MONITOR UPDATE)
11.2.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 11.2.21 | (PSA, U.S. OFFICE UTILIZATION)
11.1.21 - REIT RECAP | 11.1.21 | PSA 3Q21 RESULTS
10.31.21 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 10.31.21 | (3Q21 EARNINGS SURPRISES, POSITION MONITOR)
10.28.21 - REIT RECAP | 10.28.21 | CPT 3Q21 RESULTS
10.28.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 10.28.21 | (EXR)
10.28.21 - REIT RECAP | 10/28/21 | INVH 3Q21 RESULTS
10.28.21 - REIT RECAP | 10/27/21 | AVB 3Q21 RESULTS
10.27.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 10.27.21 | (3Q21 Earnings, AVB, EXR, Office)
10.26.21 - REIT RECAP | 10/26/21 | EXR 3Q21 RESULTS
10.26.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 10.26.21 | (EQR, REXR)
10.25.21 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 10.24.21 | (POSITION MONITOR)
10.21.21. - REIT RECAP | 10/21/21 | REXR 3Q21 RESULTS
10.20.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 10.20.21 | (EGP, PLYM, REXR, ILPT)
10.19.21 - VIDEO | American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) Thesis
10.19.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 10.19.21 | (COLD, SLG, VNO, AMH, U.S. Office Utilization)
10.18.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 10.18.21 | (PLD)
10.17.21 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 10.17.21 | (PLD, POSITION MONITOR)
10.15.21 - REIT RECAP | 10/15/21 | PLD 3Q21 RESULTS
10.13.21 - REITS DAILY BRIEF | 10.13.21 | (PLD)
10.10.21 - SUNDAY NIGHT REIT READ | 10.10.21 | (POSITION MONITOR UPDATE)
10.8.21 - BLACK BOOK ROUND-UP | AMERCO (UHAL)
10.7.21 - BEST IDEA ROUND-UP | AMERICOLD REALTY TRUST (COLD)
Please e-mail with any questions.
Rob Simone, CFA
Managing Director
Twitter: @HedgeyeREITs
