Election Outlook: Last week, the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter raised its projection of House Republican gains from 10 to 20 seats to between 12 and 25 seats. As for the Senate, five races are in Cook’s toss-up category – three Democratic-held seats (Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada) and two Republican-held seats (Pennsylvania and Wisconsin).
Many analysts point to the outcomes in Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania as key to which party will end up in the majority in the Senate. If Republicans win two of those three (and hold their other seats), they will control the Senate in the next Congress. Others predict that whichever party wins three of four races (add Ohio to the list) will be the majority party. If a runoff is needed in Georgia, the election will be December 6.
2022 Polling: According to FiveThirtyEight, there is less polling of individual races this year than in previous midterms, and more of those polls are conducted by partisan pollsters or sponsored by partisan organizations. Also, fewer pollsters are conducting surveys – over the past six months or so, 150 different pollsters have surveyed Senate, House, and gubernatorial elections, down from roughly 190 in 2018.
Polling, trolling and a lot of cajoling are underway in the final stretch of campaign 2022. Join Hedgeye Potomac's Chief Political Strategist JT Taylor and Director of Research Daryl Jones as they host David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report - the preeminent campaign handicapper in the U.S. five days before Election Day. With the Biden Agenda hanging in the balance, we'll cover the growing prospect of a Republican House as well as where the hottest Senate races are trending as Republicans and Democrats and their campaign cash slug it out in the final stretch.
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 3, 2022 AT 11:00 AM
CLICK HERE for event details (includes video and materials link).
