Join our Hedgeye Demography analyst Neil Howe on a monthly research odyssey, as we dive into the latest news that loomed largest on his radar screen the past month.
Last month we saw new 2020 Census data, a surge at the US-Mexico border, and a rise in opioid overdoses.
Here are my top insights from April 2021.
In our annual review of the demographic outlook of the US we examined: fertility, mortality, mobility, population projections, cities, and intergenerational living. We looked at how these trends were moving before the pandemic, and how Covid-19 has changed their trajectory.
The number of working-age Mexicans apprehended at the border has more than doubled in recent months. The increase coincides with a surge in unaccompanied children and family migrants, presenting a major quandary for the Biden administration.
According to op-ed writer Ross Douthat, there are three ways the U.S. can raise birthrates: faster economic growth, a stronger safety net, and rising social conservatism. He also hints that it may take two of these three--or maybe even all three--to get the job done.
New data suggest that the rise in opioid deaths during the pandemic was even more dramatic than previously thought. The final death toll for 2020 is on track to exceed 90,000, compared to just over 70,000 the year before.
Top Podcast Episode
As always, I encourage you to visit Demography World where you can find an archive of all our work. Your subscription includes daily NewsWires, other reports, and videos.
Managing Director, Demography
* * *
ABOUT NEIL HOWE
Neil Howe is a renowned authority on generations and social change in America. An acclaimed bestselling author and speaker, he is the nation's leading thinker on today's generations—who they are, what motivates them, and how they will shape America's future.
A historian, economist, and demographer, Howe is also a recognized authority on global aging, long-term fiscal policy, and migration. He is a senior associate to the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington, D.C., where he helps direct the CSIS Global Aging Initiative.
Howe has written over a dozen books on generations, demographic change, and fiscal policy, many of them with William Strauss. Howe and Strauss' first book, Generations is a history of America told as a sequence of generational biographies. Vice President Al Gore called it "the most stimulating book on American history that I have ever read" and sent a copy to every member of Congress. Newt Gingrich called it "an intellectual tour de force." Of their book, The Fourth Turning, The Boston Globe wrote, "If Howe and Strauss are right, they will take their place among the great American prophets."
Howe and Strauss originally coined the term "Millennial Generation" in 1991, and wrote the pioneering book on this generation, Millennials Rising. His work has been featured frequently in the media, including USA Today, CNN, the New York Times, and CBS' 60 Minutes.
Previously, with Peter G. Peterson, Howe co-authored On Borrowed Time, a pioneering call for budgetary reform and The Graying of the Great Powers with Richard Jackson.
Howe received his B.A. at U.C. Berkeley and later earned graduate degrees in economics and history from Yale University.