Takeaway: Texas restaurants, retailers and other businesses can reopen Friday!

We believe that market prices for large-cap restaurant stocks are fully baking in an immediate and total recovery with no second wave and unlimited stimulus support.  Given how some states are currently re-opening, by June/July we could be seeing the start of rolling second waves of COVID-19 and the reality of a much slower pace of sales recovery even in states like Texas.

The following slides are taken from Governor Abbott’s guidance to re-open the restaurant industry in Texas.  It is important to note that Texas was relatively unaffected by COVID-19. The Houston area and to a lesser degree Dallas and El Paso is where most of the caseload occurred.

THE PATH TO RECOVERY | IS TEXAS OPENING TOO SOON? - TX.1

THE PATH TO RECOVERY | IS TEXAS OPENING TOO SOON? - TX.2

THE PATH TO RECOVERY | IS TEXAS OPENING TOO SOON? - TX.3

THE PATH TO RECOVERY | IS TEXAS OPENING TOO SOON? - TX.4

For our Black Book presenting what the Road to Recovery would look like REPLAY VIDEO AND MATERIALS: CLICK HERE