×
LIVE NOW
The Call @ Hedgeye | May 3, 2024

JT TAYLOR: CAPITAL BRIEF   - JT   Potomac banner 2

ON THE SENATE FLOOR: Now that the Senate has acquitted President Trump on both articles of impeachment, it’s back to regularly scheduled programming; i.e., the Senate will resume consideration of nominations. There is also the possibility of a floor vote on a resolution that would limit the president’s military actions in Iran. When the House and Senate finish their legislative business at the end of the week, they will recess for Presidents’ Day and return to session the week of February 24. 

IN THE HOUSE: Among other votes this week, the House will consider a joint resolution that would remove the 1979 deadline for ratifying the Equal Rights Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.

THE PRESIDENT'S BUDGET:  The president unveiled an FY 2021 budget plan that conforms to the defense spending number ( check out General Emo Gardner's analysis here) both parties agreed to last year but cuts domestic spending below the level set by the budget deal.  As with all presidential budgets, the Trump plan is a statement of Administration policy rather than a proposal that Congress will vote to adopt.  In fact, House Democrats don’t even plan to put forth their own FY 2021 budget resolution and will consider the levels set by the 2019 spending deal as their budget for the year.  Among the Administration officials going to Capitol Hill this week to explain the president’s budget is Acting Office of Management and Budget Director Russell Vought, who will testify Wednesday at a House Budget Committee hearing.

CORPORATE TAXES: Ways and Means will also be busy this week examining “the disappearing corporate income tax.”  At a hearing this morning, the committee will hear from Democratic witnesses who can be expected to criticize the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and make the case that IRS enforcement funding is too low.  The Republican witness will likely make the point that both Democrats and Republicans agreed in the past that the corporate tax system was in need of reform.

 

COMMITTEE ACTION OF NOTE:

February 11

  • House Education and Labor Committee Markup of H.R. 5800, the Ban Surprise Billing Act.
  • House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Consumer Protection and Commerce Hearing: “Autonomous Vehicles: Promises and Challenges of Evolving Automotive Technologies.”
  • House Ways and Means Committee Hearing: “The Disappearing Corporate Income Tax.”
  • House Transportation & Infrastructure Subcommittee on Aviation Hearing: “Looking Forward: The Future of America’s Aviation Maintenance and Manufacturing Workforce.”

February 12 

  • House Ways and Means Committee Markup of surprise billing legislation.
  • House Science, Space, & Technology Committee Markup of Energy Storage, Industrial Emissions Reduction, and Other Legislation.
  • House Budget Committee Hearing: “The President’s Fiscal Year 2021 Budget” with Acting OMB Director Russell Vought.
  • House Financial Services Subcommittee on Diversity and Inclusion Hearing: “A Review of Diversity and Inclusion at America’s Large Banks.”
  • House Energy and Commerce Committee Hearing: “Saving Energy: Legislation to Improve Energy Efficiency and Storage.”
  • House Financial Services Task Force on Artificial Intelligence Hearing: “Equitable Algorithms: Examining Ways to Reduce AI Bias in Financial Services.”
  • Senate Banking Committee Hearing: “The Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress” with Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome H. Powell.
  • Senate Finance Committee Hearing: “The President’s Fiscal Year 2021 Budget” with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.

February 13 

  • House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere, Civilian Security and Trade Hearing: “Assessing U.S. Security Assistance to Mexico.”
  • Senate Finance Committee Hearing: “The President’s Fiscal Year 2021 Budget” with HHS Secretary Alex Azar.
  • Senate Banking Committee Nomination Hearing: “Ms. Jessie K. Liu, Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Crimes-Designate, Department of the Treasury; The Honorable Judy Shelton, Member-Designate, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Dr. Christopher Waller, Member-Designate, The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.”

 

POLITICS: 

Ranking Member Changes.  Following Rep. Doug Collins’ (R-GA) announcement that he would run for the Senate, the House Republican Steering Committee met Thursday to choose a new ranking member for the Judiciary Committee.  Under House Republican Conference rules, a Member running for another elected office is required to step down as a committee’s chairman or ranking member unless he or she obtains a waiver from the Republican Steering Committee.  

The Steering Committee agreed to give Collins until March 12 to transition his staff, at which point, Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH) will take Collins’ place as the top Republican on Judiciary. The Steering Committee then chose Rep. Mark Meadows (R-NC) to fill Jordan’s spot as ranking member of the Oversight Committee. The Steering Committee’s choices must be approved by the full Republican Conference, but that will just be a formality. In other action, the Steering Committee gave a waiver to Rep. Rob Bishop (R-UT), who is running for lieutenant governor.  The waiver will allow Bishop to remain as ranking member of the Natural Resources Committee for the rest of the year.

 

Maryland Special Election.  In last Tuesday’s special primary election to choose party nominees to fill the seat of the late Rep. Elijah Cummings (D), the Democratic winner was former Rep. Kweisi Mfume, who held the seat for nine years before resigning to head the NAACP.  Mfume is expected to prevail in the special general election on April 28 and, if so, would then hold the seat for the remainder of the year. 

Also on April 28, both parties will hold primaries to nominate candidates for the two-year term that begins in January.  As with the February 4 special primary there will be numerous candidates on both the Democratic and Republican ballots.  The second- and third-place Democratic finishers – Maya Rockeymoore Cummings, who is Elijah Cummings’ widow, and state Sen. Jill Carter – are among those who will be challenging Mfume for the Democratic nomination.

 

Tonight's New Hampshire Primary.  Polling numbers released Sunday night showed Sen. Bernie Sanders at 27%; Pete Buttigieg, 19%; Sen. Amy Klobuchar, 14%; and a tie at 12% between former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Elizabeth Warren. The Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk poll was conducted Saturday and Sunday with calls to 500 likely voters. Sanders is the favorite going in once again while Buttigieg and Klobuchar have climbed significantly over the past week due to the Iowa results and a solid debate performance over the weekend. Biden and Warrren continue to struggle and will likely have a rough night, but New Hampshire almost always has a surprise in store - not to mention a good chunk of undecided voters.