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Editor's Note: Below are a couple charts and brief excerpt from today's Early Look written by Hedgeye Macro Analyst Christian Drake. Click here to learn more.

CHART OF THE DAY: Profit Cycle --> Emergent Risk - z 2 13 2019 9 17 18 AM

As it relates to the profit cycle, the two charts below offer a good juxtaposition of underlying developments while visually emergent risk.  

Specifically,  a late-cycle acceleration in wages alongside a progressive slowing in (global and local) growth and a fading fiscal impulse into peak earnings cycle comps, higher interest rates and residual strong dollar translation effects is not margin and profitability positive. 

CHART OF THE DAY: Profit Cycle --> Emergent Risk - CoD2 NFIB Outlook

CHART OF THE DAY: Profit Cycle --> Emergent Risk - CoD3 NFIB Compensation