Let’s start with the obvious: There’s a ton of noise in markets right now.
Some investors are chasing U.S. tech stocks. Others are trying to time Bitcoin breakouts. And still more are glued to mainstream headlines about “soft landings” and “targeted tariffs.”
At Hedgeye, we do things differently. We follow a repeatable, data-driven process that helps serious investors cut through the noise and stay on the right side of the major moves.
Right now, we’re asking one simple question: Where is the economic momentum in the world right now?
And here’s what the data is telling us…
Strength Abroad
The clearest signal we’re seeing right now isn’t coming from the U.S.—it’s coming from overseas. Europe is picking up steam, both in economic growth and market performance.
Investors who’ve been following our lead are already getting paid:
- Poland (EPOL): +21.8% over the last 3 months
- Germany (EWG): +15.1%
- Singapore (EWS): +11.8%
Meanwhile, back home…
- S&P 500: -4.4%
- NASDAQ: -9.1%
- Russell 2000: -8.3%
Translation? The money isn’t where the headlines are. It’s where the data says the economy is improving. And that’s mostly outside the U.S. right now.
What to Avoid
If you’re still overweight U.S. small caps, speculative tech, or markets like Indonesia (-8.0% in the last month), it might be time to ask: What’s your process?
We’ve already sidestepped those landmines. That’s not luck. It’s discipline.
Bitcoin & Gold: Watching the Leaders
Want to know where the next big shift in investor sentiment might show up? Keep an eye on Bitcoin.
It’s flashing breakout signals again, with short-term momentum building. If it holds above key levels, we’ll ride that trend. If not, we’ll move on.
Gold? Still leading. It was up again last week and has quietly climbed +15.3% over the last 3 months. Silver corrected a bit (-2.8%)—so we bought that dip too.
What Smart Investors Are Doing Right Now
They’re not guessing. They’re rotating. Instead of “buy and hope,” they’re:
- Taking profits where the data is turning down
- Adding exposure where economies and markets are accelerating
- Staying flexible and unemotional
Here’s a small sample of how we’re positioned:
- Gold & Silver: Bullish signal, hedge against Quad 4 volatility in stocks
- European Equities: Economic momentum (growth + inflation accelerating)
- U.S. Fixed Income: Stable opportunities, risk management
We also remain short on underperforming global markets like Indonesia and watching high-risk names in U.S. tech with skepticism.
What This Means for You
If your portfolio feels like it’s spinning its wheels right now… you’re not alone.
But you don’t have to settle for mediocre returns or vague advice from Wall Street talking heads.
We built Hedgeye to give self-directed investors an institutional-grade advantage. Every move we make is backed by data, not gut feel or headlines.
And when our signals say it’s time to shift, we shift.
You can do that too.
Want more?
- Watch The Macro Show for a daily deep dive into what we’re seeing now
- Read the Early Look to start every day with a clear game plan (5-10 minutes max)
- Subscribe to ETF Pro Plus for our top ETF ideas and signals
No conflicts of interest. No narratives. Just a better process to protect and grow your portfolio.
