CLIENT TALKING POINTS

USD

Good #StrongDollar morning to all (if you get paid in Dollars, that is!) with USD coming off back-to-back weekly gains and the EUR/USD getting sold -0.7% to $1.05 again – the 15-day correlation b/t USD and SP500 = +0.83; 180-day = +0.73.

Europe

Equity markets love Down Euro and they’re getting both that and Greek Bailout action this morning with Greece’s 10yr Yield down -35bps to 6.93% (that’s -336bps y/y); Greek stocks +1.5% as EuroStoxx50 +0.6% ramps to 1yr highs. 

Oil

+1.1% WTI move this morning as Oil’s Volatility (OVX) signal continues to crash to new 1yr lows (24-25); the CFTC net long position in crude is consensus (+2.23x on a 1yr z-score) but consensus can remain right longer than bears can remain solvent.

Asset Allocation

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
2/20/17 42% 15% 13% 11% 0% 19%
2/21/17 40% 16% 14% 12% 0% 18%

Asset Allocation as a % of Max Preferred Exposure

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
2/20/17 42% 45% 39% 33% 0% 58%
2/21/17 40% 48% 42% 36% 0% 55%
The maximum preferred exposure for cash is 100%. The maximum preferred exposure for each of the other assets classes is 33%.

THREE FOR THE ROAD

TWEET OF THE DAY

“The virtuous cycle of capital has broken down,” says @DanielAlpert in this interview w/ @KeithMcCullough. app.hedgeye.com/feed_items/572

@Hedgeye

QUOTE OF THE DAY

“Never be a spectator while in the game. Be doing something at all times, even if it is only a decoy”.

–John Wooden

STAT OF THE DAY

The Kansas Jayhawks have won their 13th consecutive basketball Big 12 regular season title.