CLIENT TALKING POINTS

Nasdaq

Not the 1st thing we opted to signal buy-more of yesterday (XOP was) as it was the 1st down day from the all-time closing high; the implied volatility premiums in both the Nasdaq and SP500 remain +24-25% (vs. 30-day realized); that’s one of the many reasons why we think the Pain Trade (from the right price) remains up, not down.

Oil & Gas Stocks (XOP)

Down -2.8% on the day, XOP signaled immediate-term TRADE oversold yesterday and the 30-day implied volatility signal in XOP is even higher than SPX at +30% (as a buyer on red, I like that); Oil’s Volatility signal (OVX) continues to signal a bullish-to-bearish TREND reversal (that’s bullish for Energy assets in general).

Russia (RSX)

Obviously a levered bet on both Oil and #InflationAccelerating, the Russian stock market has corrected for a few days after signaling immediate-term TRADE overbought last week in Real-Time Alerts; 1145 on the RTSI is the level we're interested in buying some of that exposure back – patience pays in this macro market.

Asset Allocation

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
1/30/17 34% 17% 14% 11% 0% 24%
1/31/17 30% 19% 15% 13% 0% 23%

Asset Allocation as a % of Max Preferred Exposure

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
1/30/17 34% 52% 42% 33% 0% 73%
1/31/17 30% 58% 45% 39% 0% 70%
The maximum preferred exposure for cash is 100%. The maximum preferred exposure for each of the other assets classes is 33%.

THREE FOR THE ROAD

TWEET OF THE DAY

Cartoon of the Day: Faster Than A Speeding Bullet app.hedgeye.com/feed_items/569

@Hedgeye

QUOTE OF THE DAY

“Venus told me the other day that champions don't get nervous in tight situations. That really helped me a lot. I decided I shouldn't get nervous and just do the best I can.”

–Serena Williams

STAT OF THE DAY

Dion Lewis only has 64 carries for 283 yards this season.