CLIENT TALKING POINTS

Europe

1 down day for European stocks and then straight back up this morning with Italy +1.1% still leading the squeeze; especially with the EUR/USD at the top-end of its $1.03-1.06 risk range, this is healthy as the inverse correlation should get European Equity Bulls paid on any USD strength.

Commodities

Straight back up +1.4% to 196 yesterday puts the CRB Index right back at 3-month highs – that all but ensures that both DEC and JAN PPIs (Producer Prices) continue to ramp in rate of change terms; you’ll get the DEC PPI print this morning, but this is central to #InflationAccelerating to a y/y crescendo throughout Q1.

US Financials

Led losers -0.85% (XLF) yesterday, but we wouldn’t be betting on the bear side of that continuing with both rates and USD testing the low-end of their respective risk ranges; we're a buyer of XLF on any correction below $23 as US growth and inflation accelerating pay to be long that macro exposure.

Asset Allocation

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
1/12/17 30% 18% 13% 12% 0% 27%
1/13/17 29% 19% 14% 11% 0% 27%

Asset Allocation as a % of Max Preferred Exposure

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
1/12/17 30% 55% 39% 36% 0% 82%
1/13/17 29% 58% 42% 33% 0% 82%
The maximum preferred exposure for cash is 100%. The maximum preferred exposure for each of the other assets classes is 33%.

THREE FOR THE ROAD

TWEET OF THE DAY

China’s Exorbitant Detriment, Mirror Image of America’s Exorbitant Privilege, Is Costing It Dearly by @BennSteil app.hedgeye.com/feed_items/565

@Hedgeye

QUOTE OF THE DAY

“Ability is what you’re capable of doing.  Motivation determines what you do.  Attitude determines how well you do it.”

-Lou Holtz

STAT OF THE DAY

The San Diego Chargers are moving to Los Angeles to become the Los Angeles Chargers.