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PREMIUM INSIGHT

[UNLOCKED] Keith's Daily Trading Ranges

[UNLOCKED] Keith's Daily Trading Ranges - Bull and bear extra cartoon

We've made some new enhancements to Daily Trading Ranges - our proprietary buy and sell levels on major markets, commodities and currencies sent to subscribers weekday mornings by CEO Keith McCullough. Click here to view a brief video of McCullough explaining how to use it most effectively.


PREMIUM INSIGHT

About Everything: The End of Monetary Policy?

About Everything: The End of Monetary Policy? - monetarypolicy1

In this complimentary edition of About Everything, Hedgeye Demography Sector Head Neil Howe discusses whether central bank monetary policy has finally reached its limits. Howe explains the broader implications for investors.


Q: How Should Investors Risk Manage Presidential Election Volatility?

Takeaway: Don't be distracted by political narratives and focus on the data.

With so many distracted by their own political spew, Long Bond Bulls roar ahead by focusing on the data. One thing is clear, neither Presidential candidate will be able to change our GDP tracker which is currently at 0.4% Q/Q for Q4.

 

So who do you love? Do you let your politics influence how you risk manage your portfolio? I predict volatility wins into election day; immediate-term risk range for front-month VIX = 12.01-18.78. I'm staying with Long-term Bonds, Utes, Gold, and Low-Beta as a style factor.

Why?

 

As I've said before, there's a ton of risk that could come out of Donald Trump's mouth between now and Election Day (see video below), not to mention more causal macro considerations like earnings season and continued U.S. #GrowthSlowing.

 

While I'm On #growthslowing...

 

Was the pre-Fed Day hyperventilation the last big fat pitch of a buying opportunity for those who have missed #GrowthSlowing and Lower-For-Longer on rates? I think so. US Treasury 10-year yield slammed back down to 1.56%; 10s/2s spread right back to the YTD lows at 81bps and Financials (XLF) -4.4% in SEP vs. our beloved Utes (XLU) +3.2% SEP to-date.

 

Q: How Should Investors Risk Manage Presidential Election Volatility? - buy bonds

 

 

Editor's Note: The snippet above is from a note written by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough and sent to subscribers this morning. Click here to learn more.


Daily Trading Ranges

20 Proprietary Risk Ranges

Daily Trading Ranges is designed to help you understand where you’re buying and selling within the risk range and help you make better sales at the top end of the range and purchases at the low end.

CHART OF THE DAY: How Will Last Night’s Debate Alter The Presidential Race?

Editor's Note: Below is a brief excerpt from today's Early Look written by Hedgeye Director of Research Daryl Jones. Click here to learn more.

 

"... Going into last night’s brouhaha, the polls basically had the Presidential race at a statistical tie. In fact, at one point yesterday in fivethirtyeight.com’s now-cast simulator, which projects as if the election were held today, Trump was ahead of Clinton. At the moment in that same simulator, Clinton’s probability of winning sits at 52.1 and Trump’s is at 47.9.

 

How will last night’s debate alter the race?

 

No doubt, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump dropped the gloves last night. The debate was much less about a discussion of policy, but rather personal attack after personal attack. As it relates to strictly grading the debate, it’s hard not to give Clinton the win as she was prepared, coherent, and largely stayed on point. As for The Donald, well, he was The Donald."

 

CHART OF THE DAY: How Will Last Night’s Debate Alter The Presidential Race? - EL trump clinton


Nike: What Investors Are Missing & Why We’re Bullish

In this brief excerpt from a HedgeyeTV video presentation, our Retail team explains why Nike remains a Best Idea Long heading into tomorrow’s earnings report. Analysts Brian McGough and Alexander Richards discuss an underappreciated bullish catalyst.


Cartoon of the Day: Snail's Pace

Cartoon of the Day: Snail's Pace - growth slowing cartoon 09.26.2016

 

Why did the Fed put rate hikes on hold yet again? U.S. #GrowthSlowing.


investing ideas

Risk Managed Long Term Investing for Pros

Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough handpicks the “best of the best” long and short ideas delivered to him by our team of over 30 research analysts across myriad sectors.

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