The Best of This Week From Hedgeye

Takeaway: Here's a quick look at some of the top videos, cartoons, market insights and more from Hedgeye this past week.

HEDGEYE TV

Quarterly Macro Themes Q&A

Here’s the question and answer portion from Thursday’s Macro Themes call. Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough answers questions on a host of topics including #Quad4, #Bubbles and more.

 

One-Minute Video | McCullough: We Haven’t Seen This Bearish Market Signal In Over 18 Months

In this brief excerpt from Thursday's Morning Macro Call, Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough warns investors that the Russell 2000 and S&P 500 are both bearish trend and tail in our model for the first time in at least 18 months.

 

ONE-MINUTE VIDEO | McCullough: ‘Quad 4’ Matters A Lot More to Your Portfolio than a 50-Day Moving Monkey

In this brief excerpt from Tuesday's Morning Macro Call, Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough discusses the recent move into Quad 4 in our proprietary model and why it matters to markets ahead of Hedgeye’s Q4 Macro Themes call this Thursday.

CARTOON

Deflation (Got #Quad4 Yet?)

The Best of This Week From Hedgeye - Deflantion quad4 10.01.14

Our models are forecasting a continued slowing in the pace of domestic economic growth, as well as a further deceleration in inflation here in Q4. The confluence of these two events is likely to perpetuate a rise in volatility across asset classes as broad-based expectations for a robust economic recovery and tighter monetary policy are met with bearish data that is counter to the consensus narrative.

 

Sweet Success?

The Best of This Week From Hedgeye - Jobs sweetsuccess 10.3.14

Hedgeye reiterates its long bond call (in $TLT terms), and to stay away from small caps.

 

Tweedledee & Tweedledum

The Best of This Week From Hedgeye - techbubble itsdifferentthistime 9.30.14

CHART

Legislating Deflation? (10YR Yield vs. U.S. Dollar Index)

The Best of This Week From Hedgeye - COD 9.29.14

 

#Quad4 [U.S. Growth and Inflation (In Rate of Change Terms) Slowing at Same Time]

The Best of This Week From Hedgeye - COD 10.2.14

 

Need. Moarr. Drugs. $DXY

The Best of This Week From Hedgeye - COD 10.3.14

Mario Draghi’s Drugs proved to be impotent in yesterday’s real-time market voting session. Germany’s DAX closed down -2% on the day. That puts every major European Equity market index in bearish TREND signal mode @Hedgeye.

POLL OF THE DAY 

Tech Bubble: Who's Right Peter Thiel or Keith McCullough?


Entrepreneur Peter Thiel made headlines Monday telling Fox Business anchor Deidre Bolton that we are not in a tech bubble. Thiel said, “I’m investing in tech stocks to hide from the government bond bubble.” Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough replied in a tweet to @peterthiel, “I’m hiding in the Long Bond so that I can be short the Tech Bubble.” So, who's right?


Cartoon of the Day: 'Biggest Tax Cut Ever'

President Donald Trump's economic team unveiled what he called last week, "the biggest tax cut we’ve ever had.” Before you get too excited about that hang on a sec. "Trump Tax Reform ain’t gettin’ done anytime soon," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough wrote in today's Early Look.

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Neurofinance: The Psychology Behind When To Sell A Bull Market

"Most momentum investors stay invested too long, under-reacting and holding tight after truly bad news finally arrives to break the trend," writes MarketPsych's Richard Peterson.

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Energy Stocks: Time to Buy the Dip? | $XLE

What the heck is happening in the Energy sector (XLE)? Energy stocks have trailed the S&P 500 by a whopping 15% in 2017. Before you buy the dip, here's what you need to know.

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Cartoon of the Day: Hard-Headed Bears

How's this for "hard data"? So far, 107 of 497 S&P 500 companies have reported aggregate sales and earnings growth of 4.4% and 13.2% respectively.

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Premium insight

McCullough [Uncensored]: When People Say ‘Everyone is Bullish, That’s Bulls@#t’

“You wonder why the performance of the hedge fund indices is so horrendous,” says Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough, “they’re all doing the same thing, after the market moves. You shouldn’t be paid for that.”

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SECTOR SPOTLIGHT Replay | Healthcare Analyst Tom Tobin Today at 2:30PM ET

Tune in to this edition of Sector Spotlight with Healthcare analyst Tom Tobin and Healthcare Policy analyst Emily Evans.

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Ouchy!! Wall Street Consensus Hit By Epic Short Squeeze

In the latest example of what not to do with your portfolio, we have Wall Street consensus positioning...

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Cartoon of the Day: Bulls Leading the People

Investors rejoiced as centrist Emmanuel Macron edged out far-right Marine Le Pen in France's election day voting. European equities were up as much as 4.7% on the news.

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McCullough: ‘This Crazy Stat Drives Stock Market Bears Nuts’

If you’re short the stock market today, and your boss asks why is the Nasdaq at an all-time high, here’s the only honest answer: So far, Nasdaq company earnings are up 46% year-over-year.

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Who's Right? The Stock Market or the Bond Market?

"As I see it, bonds look like they have further to fall, while stocks look tenuous at these levels," writes Peter Atwater, founder of Financial Insyghts.

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Poll of the Day: If You Could Have Lunch with One Fed Chair...

What do you think? Cast your vote. Let us know.

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Are Millennials Actually Lazy, Narcissists? An Interview with Neil Howe (Part 2)

An interview with Neil Howe on why Boomers and Xers get it all wrong.

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