• It's Here!

    Etf Pro

    Get the big financial market moves right, bullish or bearish with Hedgeye’s ETF Pro.

  • It's Here


    Identify global risks and opportunities with essential macro intel using Hedgeye’s Market Edges.


New Balance makes a major commitment to soccer. Bad for others in Europe. But dollars being diverted away from US is good. Also, thoughts on home delivery, counterfeiting and how NOT to invest in a brand.




New Balance/Warrior Sports to Sponsor U.K.'s Liverpool Soccer Team - Warrior Sports, a unit of New Balance, has reportedly signed a deal worth about $41 million to make uniforms for the Liverpool soccer team. The Times of London said Warrior will replace Adidas and take over production of Liverpool uniforms in time for the 2012-2013 season. The Times of London also said it's the biggest such contract in English soccer history and twice the amount of what Adidas currently pays. The deal would expand the partnership between New Balance and Fenway Sports Group, which owns Liverpool FC, an English Premier League football club, and the Boston Red Sox. New Balance last month became the official footwear and apparel sponsor of the Red Sox. <SportsOneSource>

Hedgeye Retail’s Take: Make no bones about it…this is BIG. A deal of this size is the equivalent of Nike buying the Yankees. The good news here is that it ties up a big piece of New Balance’s sports marketing budget, making it tougher to compete with Nike, Adidas, and UnderArmour for such assets. The bad news is that they’re going heavy into Soccer/Football. They join as another thorn in Adidas’ sand to a lesser extent Nike’s side as a threat to a business that is dominated by such a small number of mammoth brands.  


Wal-Mart Tests Home Delivery - Wal-Mart Stores Inc. is taking on competitive threats from Amazon.com Inc. and other big online retailers by testing out home delivery of groceries. The Bentonville, Ark., retailer launched a new service Saturday in the San Jose, Calif., area called Walmart To Go that allows customers to purchase food, health-and-beauty products, medicine and other basic household goods online and have them delivered to their doorsteps for fees starting at $5. Wal-Mart has begun testing grocery delivery.  A number of other retailers, including Amazon and Sears Holdings Corp., are experimenting with similar sales models, which have become common in Europe and are available in some large U.S. cities, but the business is still largely the domain of smaller retailers in the U.S. Wal-Mart said the home-delivery test was limited to a single market and may not be expanded further, depending on the results. Wal-Mart declined to elaborate. <WallStreetJournal>

Hedgeye Retail’s Take: It’s a stretch to call this a reaction to Amazon. Go to Amazon and check out groceries. You’ll see largely dry goods like Cheerios, bags of salted snacks, and of course, the obligatory helping of Spam. Our sense is that no one will get this model right – ever – under the current food production and packaging system. Many types of food will need very different packaging to space allotted in inbound-Truckloads, warehousing, and ultimate customer-delivery.  Also, the age of inventory becomes even more critical. You can buy a two-year old pair of socks, but not Captain Crunch. We’re not saying that this is destined to fail. In fact, those with the vision and the capital will figure it out.


Borders Said to Be Seeking at Least $50 Million in Additional Financing - Borders Group Inc. (BGP), the bankrupt book chain, is seeking at least $50 million in additional financing as sales trail expectations and publishers demand cash in advance, said two people who have seen the chain’s plans to reorganize. The funds are needed to help Borders emerge from its in- court restructuring, said the people, who declined to be identified because the process isn’t public. The retailer already has a $505 million debtor-in-possession loan, which offers sufficient capital for the next few months, the people said. The retailer may risk liquidation without further investment, easier terms from vendors or a buyer, they said. Some publishers are spurning the reorganization the chain proposed to them privately, said a person familiar with the publishers’ strategy. At least one deems the revenue projections unrealistic because Borders no longer has enough stores to generate those sales, said the person, who declined to be identified because Borders’s presentations aren’t public. <Bloomberg>

Hedgeye Retail’s Take: This is akin to asking Dad for keys to the car a week after you wreck his other one. This is such a textbook example of a company who is being marginalized by content owners, but does not have the power on the distribution side to bridge the gap.

Adidas Announces Deals with Top NFL Prospects - Adidas announced that it had signed endorsement deals with top NFL prospects Von Miller of Texas A&M and Randall Cobb of Kentucky. Miller and Cobb are the latest additions to the Adidas football roster, which includes defensive back Prince Amukamara of Nebraska , running back DeMarco Murray of Oklahoma, wide receiver Titus Young of Boise State, tight end Kyle Rudolph of Notre Dame and wide receiver Jerrel Jernigan of Troy, Eric Berry of the Kansas City Chiefs , C.J. Spiller of the Buffalo Bills , Reggie Bush of the New Orleans Saints, Mario Williams of the Houston Texans and Lawrence Timmons of the Pittsburgh Steelers. <SportsOneSource>

Hedgeye Retail’s Take:  Adidas putting on the pressure in the wake of Nike bidding away the league contract for the 11/12 season. We’ll presume that players are actually doing their jobs by then – though the upcoming season remains unanswered. This is probably the worst time for a star player to be graduating and entering the draft from the player’s perspective – but likely a win for potential endorsers who can probably get them on the cheap.

The Ongoing War on Counterfeits - As the industry’s relationship with the Web morphs into one of both loving and loathing, companies are changing tactics in their fight against counterfeiters, who in turn are becoming increasingly sophisticated. Fashion firms recognize they need a vibrant presence on the Web — from e-commerce to social networking — yet also are finding the Internet is now the primary source for counterfeit goods and sites selling fakes that are proliferating as quickly as daffodils in spring. The numbers illustrate the scale of the fight: last year research firm ComScore said U.S. e-commerce sales totaled $227.6 billion. In 2010, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement valued the global counterfeit market at $600 billion.  As a result, the Internet has become a clandestine conduit for piracy, cybersquatting and counterfeiting, all of which can take legitimate sales away from apparel, beauty and retail companies, according to legal experts speaking at Fordham University’s first annual Fashion Law Institute Symposium earlier this month. And with violators working around the world, rather than simply around the block, fashion companies are seeking remedies wherever they can find them. <WWD>

Hedgeye Retail’s Take: One can argue the flip side as well -- that the internet is allowing smart companies to bring transparency to an otherwise opaque part of the business.  Keep in mind that one of the biggest problems with ‘fakes’ are the ‘not fakes.’ For example… Nike orders 250,000 Air Zoom Elite in each of 4 different colorways. The factory fulfills the order, and makes an extra 1,000 pair of each for the house. These practices are tough to police, and the numbers add up. Internet sales of these products would likely be more transparent than nabbing that dude on the street corner with 5 pairs of size 14s.


Columbia, Sorel to Launch E-Commerce in Canada - Columbia Sportswear Co. announced Wednesday plans to expand its e-commerce business to Canada and select European markets in fall ’11. The Portland, Ore.-based company will launch new websites for its flagship Columbia brand and for Sorel. In addition to Canada, the shoes will be available to customers in the U.K., Germany, France, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium, Austria and Spain. When they debut, the websites will offer information about the features and benefits of the products, full-screen zoom capability, product videos, a product comparison tool, ratings and reviews, as well as a list of independent and online retailers that also carry the brands. <WWD>

Hedgeye Retail’s Take:  Ho-hum. Yes, this is probably a good business decision. But can someone explain to me why a brand as good as Sorel is just now entering Canada? After all, Canadian winters are about 20 degrees colder than we see in the US. This is such a great brand that has been allocated such little capital over time.


Tony Duquette Sues J. Crew  - A leopard might not be able to change its spots, but an interior design firm believes those spots can be trademarked.  Design firm Tony Duquette Inc. last week slapped J. Crew Group Inc. with a lawsuit that alleges the retailer’s leopard-print cardigan infringed its trademarks and constituted unfair competition.  Beverly Hills, Calif.-based TDI, which holds the intellectual property rights of the late designer and artist Tony Duquette, claims in its suit, filed in the Southern District of New York, that J. Crew promoted and sold its women’s “Duquette Leopard Print Sweater” without permission.  The complaint alleges that the plaintiff’s marks are now connected to J. Crew’s product at retail, in advertising and in more than 150,000 online searches from various search engines. <WWD>

Hedgeye Retail’s Take: It’s tough to see a) how the leopard print can be trademarked, but more importantly b) how there’s any way that consumers would associate J Crew with super-duper-high-end Tony Duquette. All that said, despite the legal costs, Mickey is probably smiling right now as we see the newsflow on the ‘problem’.


American Apparel Gets $15M Lifeline - Dov Charney has used up one more of his nine lives. The controversial retailer on Thursday finalized a private placement of shares in American Apparel that gives the company breathing room on its burdensome debt and a cash cushion to finance operations. The move averts a potential bankruptcy for the trendy Los Angeles-based company, which has repeatedly warned in filings that it faced an imminent liquidity crisis. A group of investors led by Toronto-based Michael Serruya acquired $15.2 million in shares of American Apparel, at 90 cents each, a 27.4 percent discount to Thursday’s closing price of $1.24. The deal also includes warrants convertible to another $27 million in shares, also at 90 cents each, that are exercisable over the next 180 days. As part of the deal, American Apparel also won a waiver from Bank of America on a covenant breach on a $58.2 million credit facility that could have immediately become due at the end of this month. <WWD>

Hedgeye Retail’s Take: This looks like a good deal investor group. Now they just need to keep Charney on an extraordinarily  tight leash.