Takeaway: Takeaway: On today's call, we highlighted regulatory issues and political pressures threatening TikTok's continued operation and growth in

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Highlights:

  • Legislative Landscape:
  • Senate passed the 2023 omnibus spending bill last night and attached to that was a TikTok ban on government owned cell phones; headed to the House this morning
  • First step with where we are headed with TikTok in DC
  • Senator Marco Rubio and Raja Krishnamoorthi in the House introduced a bill to ban TikTok in the U.S.
  • State bans on TikTok growing
  • Regulatory Landscape:
  • CFIUS is the interagency committee that looks at foreign investment for national security risks
  • TikTok has been on their plate for a couple of year snow going back to the Trump administration
  • Prominent FCC commissioner urging app stores to remove TikTok
  • Members of Congress urging FTC to conduct investigations
  • CFIUS is examining TikTok; choice whether to enter mitigation order
  • No flat out guarantee from TikTok that no one in China would have access to U.S. user data
  • Rumors that Treasury Department wants to cut some sort of a mitigation agreement and let TikTok operate subject to national security protocols and restrictions
  • Given public outcry against TikTok, the debate going on in CFIUS could continue well into next year
  • We lean towards the view that a mitigation order is probably the way to go
  • A mitigation order would allow an app that has become incredibly popular to continue to be used
  • An outright ban could run into some legal & political issues
  • Could run into problems with banning a popular app
  • Concerns around retaliation from China
  • We think the path of mitigation is the path of least resistance
  • Q: From an antitrust perspective, how does the government think about TikTok now and competition in the industry? What does this mean for Meta going forward?
  • We don’t think it changes a lot; even though there is an antitrust suit going on right now with Facebook in California, antitrust is not the huge problem for Facebook
  • There is competition and TikTok is an example of that
  • Antitrust is huge with respect to Apple
  • More regulatory hurdles for Facebook
  • Q: Could any other apps be adversely affected by any legislation that comes from this?
  • We’ll see what happens on the legislative front
  • Biden administration is working on an executive order that would address how foreign controlled apps gather user data on Americans and potentially monetize it elsewhere
  • Q: What’s your prediction if this snowballs on the legislative side?
  • There already is a TikTok consent decree with respect to security of children’s data
  • This could be expanded out
  • Could see enforcement actions at the FTC
  • FCC doesn’t have direct authority here
  • Senator Warner has said he wants to see what CFIUS does
  • Q: Is this TikTok issue truly bipartisan?
  • It is a bipartisan issue
  • Seems to be more Republican support around the ban right now
  • There is Democratic support out there
  • This legislation passed unanimously in the Senate which is tough to do
  • Q: What comes out of the CFIUS process? Is it a formal report? Recommendation?
  • We will get an order that lays out the national security findings
  • Also, we will get conditions/mitigation requirements to address these concerns
  • If CFIUS concludes that this works and the companies can agree to this, it doesn’t have to go to President Biden
  • Q: Was CFIUS involved in the FCC ban on telecom devices with Huawei?
  • There is legislation that restricts the ability to have Huawei and ZTE equipment in the networks
  • FCC has implemented this legislation as well as pursued their own policy
  • The U.S. has tried to pressure other allied nations to not use Huawei equipment
  • Process for TikTok is a completely different process than Huawei