JT TAYLOR | GEOPOLITICAL CALL TODAY + Capital Brief

With the Russian invasion of Ukraine entering a new phase with Russian troops and materiel regrouping and now looming over eastern Ukraine, Putin's shifting strategy may usher in an even deadlier and more dangerous chapter as the conflict continues to wreak havoc in the region with ripple effects across the globe. 

Join me again with our geopolitical advisor Col. Jeff McCausland, the former Dean of the U.S. Army War College, as we continue our assessment and outlook for the escalating crisis, Putin's expected next steps as well as new geopolitical factors and developments with NATO, upcoming elections in France and unrest in Pakistan - just to mention a few.

Today, APRIL 19, 2022 AT 10:30AM

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About Dr. Jeffrey McCausland

Dr. McCausland is a retired U.S. Army Colonel who formally served as the Dean of Academics at the U.S. Army War College. During his time in the military he commanded a battalion in combat during the Gulf War in 1990 and 1991. He also served on the National Security Council staff in the White House during the Kosovo crisis. He currently serves as a national security consultant for CBS radio and television. He routinely does analysis for CBS on issues such as Iraq, European security, arms control, or related questions of national security policy. He is currently involved in a project for the National Nuclear Security Administration focused on nuclear weapons in South Asia and proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. Dr. McCausland is also the founder and CEO of Diamond6 Leadership and Strategy, LLC. Diamond6 conducts executive leadership workshops for corporate, public, and non-profit leadership teams across the United States. He recently published a new book, Battle Tested! Gettysburg Leadership Lessons for 21st Century Leaders.

 

In light of the Congressional recess we will forego the legislative update and focus on primaries and special elections taking place over the next two months. Here’s the schedule for May and June, with some notable races highlighted. 

 

• May 3 – Indiana and Ohio
• In the race to replace retiring Ohio Senator Rob Portman (R), the frontrunners in the Republican primary are Josh Mandel, Mike Gibbons, and J.D. Vance.  Rep. Tim Ryan (D) is expected to win the Democratic nomination. 

• May 10 – Nebraska and West Virginia
• In Nebraska’s 1^st Congressional District, voters will choose party candidates on May 10 to run in the November general election, but there will also be a special election on June 28 to replace Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R), who resigned March 31 after his conviction for lying to the FBI about campaign contributions.  The executive committee of each party will select candidates for the special election. In West Virginia, redistricting means that two incumbent House Republicans are facing each other in the redrawn 2^nd Congressional District – Reps. David McKinley and Alex Mooney.   

• May 17 – Idaho, Kentucky, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania
• In Pennsylvania, the race to replace retiring Senator Pat Toomey (R) has sparked spirited contests in both the Republican and Democratic primaries.  On the Republican side, candidates Mehmet Oz and David McCormick are the frontrunners, while Lt. Gov. John Fetterman is leading Rep. Conor Lamb on the Democratic side. 

• May 24 – Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia.  Primary runoff in Texas.  Special primary in Minnesota.  
• In Texas, Rep. Henry Cuellar (D) will face challenger Jessica Cisneros (D) for his 28^th Congressional District seat. In Minnesota, 20 candidates are vying to replace Rep. Jim Hagedorn (R), who died February 17.  Among the 10 candidates on the Republican side is Jennifer Carnahan, Hagedorn’s widow. In the Georgia Senate race, attention has focused on Republican candidate Herschel Walker, the former football star. Walker is expected to finish first in the primary but his opponents hope he will be forced into a June runoff. The Republican candidate will likely face Senator Raphael Warnock (D) in November. 

• June 4 – Special election in Texas
• Two Democrats and two Republicans have filed to fill the seat of Texas Rep. Filemon Vela (D), who resigned March 31. 

• June 7 – California, Iowa, Mississippi, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, South Dakota.  Runoff in special primary to replace Rep. Devin Nunes (R-CA), who resigned January 3 

• June 11 – Special primary election in Alaska
• The special primary to replace Rep. Don Young (R), who died March 18, will be a vote-by-mail election, and all 51 candidates will be on the ballot. Voters will cast their ballot for one person, and the top four candidates will be on the special general election ballot on August 16, the same date as the regular statewide primary election.  The race has drawn national attention due to the candidacy of Sarah Palin. 

• June 14 – Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina
• In Nevada, former Attorney General Adam Laxalt is favored in the Republican Senate primary, with the winner facing Senator Catherine Cortez Masto (D). 

• June 21 – Virginia 

• June 28 – Colorado, Illinois, Maryland, New York, Oklahoma, Utah. Special election in Nebraska for Rep. Fortenberry’s seat.
• In Oklahoma, the Republican primary to replace retiring Senator Jim Inhofe (R) includes former EPA chief Scott Pruitt, Rep. Markwayne Mullin, and Inhofe’s chief of staff, Luke Holland.  Former Rep. Kendra Horn has entered the race on the Democratic side.