Takeaway: Going SHORT foodservice. Taking CHEF from a LONG to a Short and adding SYY and USFD to the Shortlist

Consumer ETF Performance 

RESTAURANT INSIGHTS | Position Monitor Changes, CHEF, SYY, USFD, Seated Diners & Kapp Sales - 2022 01 22 12 13 48

Changes to the Position Monitor

Foodservice is a Short in Quad 4

We are removing CHEF from the LONG list and going SHORT.  In addition, we are adding SYY USFD to the shortlist.  Looking at the numbers from both Black Box and Knapp Track, restaurant industry sales collapsed in December and January will likely get worse.  Casual Dining, as measured by Knapp Track fell 500bps sequentially to 0.5% or down 14.3% on a 2-years basis versus 2019.  Early in 2022, the trends continue to decelerate to the downside, especially for independents are expressed by the decline in Open Table reservations.

RESTAURANT INSIGHTS | Position Monitor Changes, CHEF, SYY, USFD, Seated Diners & Kapp Sales - 2022 01 22 15 16 26

RESTAURANT INSIGHTS | Position Monitor Changes, CHEF, SYY, USFD, Seated Diners & Kapp Sales - 2022 01 22 16 05 38

Open Table Seated Diners 

Open Table is a proxy for how an independent restaurant is doing, which is where the Foodservice industry gets its incremental margin.  

RESTAURANT INSIGHTS | Position Monitor Changes, CHEF, SYY, USFD, Seated Diners & Kapp Sales - 2022 01 22 12 11 54

Knapp Track 2021 Same-Store Sales Trends 

RESTAURANT INSIGHTS | Position Monitor Changes, CHEF, SYY, USFD, Seated Diners & Kapp Sales - 2022 01 22 14 50 55