Below is a chart and brief excerpt from today's Early Look written by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough.
US Equity Futures are currently up +4-4.5%, but the top-end of my Risk Range is +6.5% higher (2924) from yesterday’s close. That market price would be a gift, for those who didn’t sell on CNBC’s “Biden Surge” last week. Selling bounces in a developing bear market is a skill. You need a non-linear process for that. Obviously if you lose -20% of your money in something you need to be up +25% to get back to break-even. Part of why people are forced to sell bounces is a behavioral loss-aversion reality too don’t forget. |