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Poll Of The Day: If You Had to Buy-and-Hold ONE ITEM For a Year Which Would You Choose?

What do you think? Cast your vote. Let us know.

 

Poll Of The Day: If You Had to Buy-and-Hold ONE ITEM For a Year Which Would You Choose? - z poll99

 


CHART OF THE DAY: Worst ISM Services Since 2010

Editor's Note: Below is a brief excerpt and chart from today's Early Look written by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough. Click here to learn more. 

 

CHART OF THE DAY: Worst ISM Services Since 2010 - el 09.07.16 chart

 

"...Seriously. That was the worst ISM Services report since 2010 and the largest sequential decline in New Orders (leading indicator) in 104 months and this character at the San Francisco Fed, John Williams, came out intraday saying “the economy is strong” and needs rate hikes.

 

What, precisely, does “the economy is strong” mean? At Hedgeye we deal in real-time and space terms using this thing called the 2nd derivative as a leading indicator for future “levels.” In other words:

 

A)     The economy is either accelerating or

B)      The economy is decelerating

 

It’s not that complicated."


PREMIUM INSIGHT

3 Reasons: Why Las Vegas Sands Is A Buy | $LVS

3 Reasons: Why Las Vegas Sands Is A Buy | $LVS - HE GLL Macau Vegas

This is an excerpt from a recent “Black Book” presentation for institutional investors on Las Vegas Sands (LVS). In this clip, Hedgeye Gaming, Lodging & Leisure analyst Todd Jordan presents three reasons why he added LVS to his Best Ideas Long list.


Hedgeye Statistics

The total percentage of successful long and short trading signals since the inception of Real-Time Alerts in August of 2008.

  • LONG SIGNALS 80.64%
  • SHORT SIGNALS 78.61%

McMonigle: No OPEC ‘Freeze’ Without Iran

In this clip from The Macro Show earlier today, Hedgeye Energy Policy Analyst Joe McMonigle addresses the latest global oil developments and why there will be no OPEC oil freeze without Iran.

 


Cartoon of the Day: Crude Realities

Cartoon of the Day: Crude Realities - Freeze and hike cartoon 09.06.2016

 

Talk is ... how shall we put it ... cheap.


Dear Janet, Are You Really "Data Dependent"?

Takeaway: You may want to stop reading now if you're a “data dependent” hawk.

Dear Janet, Are You Really "Data Dependent"? - Yellen data dependent cartoon 11.18.2015 normal

 

Editor's Note: The excerpt below is from a larger institutional note written by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough.

ISM Services prints worst since 2010. 

 

...Drops -4 pts sequentially with Business Activity and New Orders dropping a remarkable -7.5 pts and -8.9 pts, respectively.  Employment down -0.7 and barely holding positive at 50.7 as well.

 

From potential overheating to flirting with contraction in a single month with New Orders posting its largest sequential decline in 104 months. To review, if you broadly divide the economy into Services & Goods and do the data dependence math for August:

 

  1. GOODS = Contraction
  2. SERVICES = worst print since 2010  

 

If you’re more into data point breadth, here’s a list that “data dependent” hawks should obfuscate or ignore:

 

  1. Chicago PMI = Worse
  2. ISM Services = Worse
  3. ISM manufacturing = Worse
  4. Markit Manufacturing PMI = Worse
  5. Bloomberg Consumer Confidence = Worse
  6. NFP = Worse
  7. Auto Sales = Worse
  8. Labor Market Conditions = Worse

Early Look

daily macro intelligence

Relied upon by big institutional and individual investors across the world, this granular morning newsletter distills the latest and most vital market developments and insures that you are always in the know.

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