The #JobsBomb (a.k.a. the May Non-Farm Payroll number of 38,000) just shocked Old Wall consensus.
How do we know?
Take a look at investor's most recent expectations for a Fed rate hike. Yesterday, markets were predicting a more than 50% chance of a July rate hike. Now, rate hike expectations don't get above 50% until December.
What a difference a day can make...
6/2/2016
6/3/2016
We're not surprised. We've been saying #EmploymentSlowing for a while now.
