Takeaway: If the FL law passes, it will fundamentally transform the South's posture towards cannabis, which has traditionally been anti-cannabis

Cannabis Insight | FLORIDA ON THE FOREFRONT, GLASS HOUSE (GLASF) Q&A, GOODNESS & GROWN ROGUE - 2024 01 08 9 45 46

Florida on the Forefront: The Landmark Decision to Let Voters Shape the Future of Cannabis Legalization

On day one of 2Q, the MSOS ETF had its most significant infusion since February 23, amassing $11.2 million in fresh capital. Concurrently, the horizon broadens for Florida, with the adult-use proposition now on the November ballot. Leading the vanguard in the Sunshine State, Trulieve, Verano, AYR, Curaleaf, and Cresco emerge, their ranks ordered by their expansive footprint.

The Florida Supreme Court's decision to allow the Smart & Safe Florida marijuana legalization initiative to appear on the November ballot marks a significant moment in the state's legislative landscape. The Court concluded that the initiative meets the requirements for a single subject and does not violate the federal constitution, thus approving it for the ballot. This ruling and the subsequent campaign for the Smart & Safe Florida initiative could significantly impact the state's cannabis policy, offering over 22 million Americans the possibility to move away from the prohibition of cannabis. The success of this initiative could pave the way for a new era of cannabis regulation and access in Florida, with broader implications for cannabis law reform nationwide. Florida voters will now have the opportunity to decide on legalizing marijuana, a chance previously denied by the Court in 2022 on a different reform measure. If passed (it will require 60% to pass; medical passed with 72% in 2016), the initiative would legalize marijuana possession and commercial sales, fundamentally changing the state's approach to cannabis. 

Specifics of the Initiative:

  • Possession Limits:  Adults 21 and older would be allowed to purchase and possess up to one ounce of cannabis, with a limit of five grams for marijuana concentrate products.
  • Commercial Sales: Existing medical cannabis companies could start selling marijuana to all adults, with the legislature having the authority to approve additional businesses.
  • No Home Cultivation: The initiative does not allow consumers to cultivate homes.
  • Lacks Equity Provisions: Unlike other states' laws, the measure does not include expungements or social equity provisions.

As of January 1, 2024, Florida was the third largest cannabis market behind CA, MI, and IL, generating $1.86 billion in sales and grew 6% in 2023. However, if Florida were to legalize recreational marijuana, it could grow 2x that size, given its population and tourism industry. Here are some factors to consider:

  • Population:  Florida is the third most populous state in the U.S., with an estimated population of over 21 million in 2023. This large population could translate into a significant consumer base for recreational cannabis.

  • Tourism:  Florida is a popular tourist destination, attracting 122.8 million in 2023. Legalizing recreational marijuana could potentially boost cannabis tourism, as has been observed in other states.

  • Market size:  If recreational use were legalized, the market size could grow substantially. For comparison, California, which has 1.7x more people and legalized recreational use in 2016, had a total cannabis market worth $4.5 billion in 2023. Florida's population is more than double that of Michigan and about 1.76 times larger than Illinois. To put this in perspective, if Florida were to legalize recreational cannabis, its potential market would be much larger than those of Michigan and Illinois, both of which have already legalized recreational use. As of 2023, Michigan's recreational cannabis market was worth around $3.0 billion, while Illinois' market was approximately $1.8 billion.

WE WILL BE HOSTING GLASS HOUSE MANAGEMENT ON APRIL 3 @ 2 PM for Q&A

Cannabis Subscribers CLICK HERE for event details

Glass House Brands offers a compelling investment opportunity centered around its significant growth potential within California's cannabis market. The company's strategic and operational enhancements and emphasis on profitability in 2023 further strengthen its position. With its substantial scale, flexibility, and strategically located "unicorn" greenhouse facility, Glass House Brands is well-equipped to navigate the intricacies of California's cannabis industry. These factors position the company to capitalize on the forthcoming wave of industry expansion driven by the advent of interstate commerce.

Please mark your calendars for an exciting event on April 3 at 2 PM as we welcome the distinguished management team of Glasshouse Brands for an in-depth discussion. Our esteemed guests will include Kyle Kazan, Chairman and CEO; Graham Farrar, President; and Mark Vendetti, CFO. With Glasshouse Brands releasing their Q4 & FY2023 last week, this timely conversation will provide invaluable insights into the company's recent performance and strategic outlook for 2024. Join us as we delve into the financial results, explore the company's growth initiatives, and gain a comprehensive understanding of Glasshouse Brands' position in the rapidly evolving cannabis industry.

PLEASE EMAIL ME WITH ANY QUESTIONS YOU MAY HAVE.

Sparking Success: How the Goodness Growth and Grown Rogue Collaboration Ignited Operational Excellence and Fire Product Launches

One of the important elements of the GRUSF story is the collaboration with Goodness Growth Holdings, which we detail below. Grown Rogue supports Goodness Growth in optimizing cannabis flower products and improving the quality and yield of top-grade “A” cannabis flower. The initial markets are Maryland and Minnesota.

We are hosting a GRUSF Black Book on Monday, April 8th at 2 PM

Yesterday, Goodness Growth Holdings reported earnings and highlighted the collaboration with Grown Rogue as a significant strategic move to enhance Goodness Growth's operational efficiencies and product quality. The collaboration with Grown Rogue is a testament to Goodness Growth's strategic focus on leveraging external expertise to drive internal improvements. By focusing on operational excellence, product quality, and market competitiveness, the partnership helped Goodness Growth navigate its challenging financial position and may set the stage for future growth and profitability. While the detailed operational mechanics of how Grown Rogue specifically contributed to the improvements weren't fully disclosed, the partnership's impact can be inferred based on the strategic focuses of the collaboration:

Enhanced Cultivation Practices: Grown Rogue's involvement likely brought specialized cultivation techniques and practices that contributed to improved harvest yields. This could include advanced methodologies in plant care, nutrient management, lighting optimization, and climate control within cultivation facilities.

Quality Enhancement: The collaboration aimed at increasing yield and the quality of cannabis produced; this entails producing a higher percentage of A-grade (top quality) flower, which are more appealing to consumers and can command higher prices in the market.

Expertise and Knowledge Transfer: The partnership with Grown Rogue brought in new talent, infusing new energy and expertise into Goodness Growth's operations. This cross-pollination of ideas and practices from a team experienced in producing high-quality cannabis products was likely instrumental in driving operational excellence.

Cultural and Operational Transformation: The success of the collaboration was attributed not just to the technical and operational inputs from Grown Rogue but also to the cultural shift it fostered within Goodness Growth. Integrating teams and the immediate embrace and collaboration between legacy and new talent created an environment conducive to innovation and continuous improvement.

Product Development and Diversification: With a focus on producing "Fire" cannabis products—high-quality, potent, and consumer-preferred strains and products—Grown Rogue's expertise likely contributed to the development and launch of new product lines and brands that resonated well with the market. This includes optimizing product formulations and introducing market-driven innovations.

Market Readiness and Competitiveness: The operational improvements and focus on product quality prepared Goodness Growth to capitalize on new market opportunities, such as the adult-use market in Maryland. The ability to produce and supply high-quality products consistently positioned the company favorably against competitors and in line with consumer expectations.