• HEDGEYE’S MARKET BRIEF
    Our FREE Investing Newsletter
    Get Exclusive Summer Sale Discounts

    By joining our email marketing list you agree to receive marketing emails from Hedgeye. You may unsubscribe at any time by clicking the unsubscribe link in one of the emails. All Hedgeye products and services are subject to Hedgeye’s Terms of Service available at www.hedgeye.com/terms_of_service

Position: longer, for now.

Maybe now I’ll pretend I am bullish, beg for QE3, and then sell into it.

In all seriousness, the last 48 hours have definitely tested the this market’s immediate term TRADE pain thresholds. I outlined these levels in this morning’s Early Look, but they are worth revisiting - anything sub 1053 would be 2.5 standard deviations oversold on our most immediate term risk management duration (TRADE, which is 3-weeks or less) and 1040 would be a 3 standard deviation event, which rarely occurs.

Fundamentally, we are chaos theorists. Therefore today’s intraday low of 1041 being a point away from the line we’d consider max-immediate-term-pain isn’t entirely surprising. We’ll call today’s action proactively predictable.

My immediate term support and resistance lines for the SP500 are now 1046 and 1074, respectively. Manage risk with a bearish bias around that range.

KM

Keith R. McCullough
Chief Executive Officer

Bear Market Macro: SP500 Levels, Refreshed...  - 1