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Below is a brief excerpt transcribed from Thursday's edition of The Macro Show hosted by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough |
Let’s talk about Oil.
It has had multiple attempts to get up. Yet, it can’t even get to 41 never mind 42 on WTI! 42 is Trend duration and 39.5 is Trade duration.
If it blows through 39.5 today, say hello to the probability of 37 in WTI with an even more pronounced rising probability of #Quad 4 in Q4.
That is what the market is telling you today.
When you see Quad 4, what happens? You get Dollar up, Commodities down, Gold down. Take a look at the inverse correlation at -0.87!
That’s right folks, -0.87 is the number on an inverse correlation for both S&P and Gold.
Pay attention to these things. Being diligent when observing inverse correlations helps make you money.
