Takeaway: We remain Short NVTA in the Hedgeye Health Care Position Monitor.

Overview

Our presentation on Invitae included an analysis of claims data we use to forecast trends intra quarter. Our analysis also looked at volume by diagnosis code and revealed a high percentage of BRCA related testing. Through the most recent update, our analysis continues to show that NVTA will have difficulty hitting their 2019 volume guidance. Given the company's strategy, M&A history, reliance on capital raises, and lack of visibility into volume mix, we expect even a modest disappointment in volume to be a negative catalyst.

NVTA | Claims Analysis and Forecast | Guidance Looks High - NVTA5

NVTA | Claims Analysis and Forecast | Guidance Looks High - NVTA3

NVTA | Claims Analysis and Forecast | Guidance Looks High - NVTA1

NVTA | Claims Analysis and Forecast | Guidance Looks High - NVTA2

Thomas Tobin
Managing Director


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Emily Evans
Managing Director – Health Policy



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