Below is a chart and brief excerpt from today's Early Look written by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough.

CHART OF THE DAY: Old Wall Forecasting → Very Confused - 05.17.2017 economic data cartoon  2

But the Old Wall, in all of its forecasting glory, is confused on that front, very confused:

  1. As you can see in the Chart of The Day, Old Wall Consensus estimates imply EPS ramps to +4-5% in 1H of 2020
  2. I’m assuming that’s because they’re assuming the current guide downs on Q4 to -2% y/y is the “bottom”

Embedded in that Old Wall estimate of +4-5% EPS growth is SALES growth re-accelerating to +4-5% in 1H 2020. Do you know what SP500 SALES growth #slowed to in Q4 of 2015? A: down -4.0% year-over-year for SP500 companies in the aggregate.

CHART OF THE DAY: Old Wall Forecasting → Very Confused - Chart of the Day