SP500 Risk Management Levels, Refreshed

Today’s intraday decline in the S&P 500 is more evidence that market participants don’t get paid to trust what Fiat Fools say and try to do. Anyone with real-time quotes can just look at romp going on in the Americas and in Europe today as proof that Germany’s decision to ban naked shorts for ten German banks and insurers, as well as naked CDS on Euro area government bonds may not provide the solution it’s intended to provide.

 

In a quick and by no means encompassing roundup, the following equity indices are flashing red on my screens today at the time of writing (Asian markets reflect closing prices): 

  1. S&P 500 (-1.7%)
  2. NASDAQ Composite (-1.9%)
  3. DJ Industrial Average (-1.1%)
  4. Russell 2000 (-2%)
  5. Canada’s TSX (-1.8%)
  6. Brazil Bovespa (-2.2%)
  7. Mexico INMEX (-1.1%)
  8. Fracnce CAC (-2.9%)
  9. Germany DAX (-2.8%)
  10. Spain IBEX (-2.6%)
  11. Switzerland SMI (-1.5%)
  12. Italy FTSE MIB (-3.6%)
  13. Ireland ISEQ (-3.9%)
  14. Portugal PSI 20 (-2.1%)
  15. Iceland OMX (-4.8%)
  16. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (-0.5%)
  17. Shanghai Composite (-0.3%)
  18. Heng Seng (-1.8%) 

That’s a lot of red. Apparently investors around the world don’t like when you take away their ability to hedge.

 

At its current price of 1102, the S&P has 0.5% of further downside risk to our immediate term TRADE line of support at 1097 and 3.4% of upside to our immediate term TRADE level of resistance at 1140. Although today’s global selloff is likely a overreaction to last night’s news out of Germany, we do believe that there are more negative fundamentals to be uncovered that that Germany is trying to protect her banks from. Perhaps more exposure to Greece and Spain that what has been revealed so far? Time will tell.

 

Darius Dale

Analyst

 

SP500 Risk Management Levels, Refreshed - S P


GOLD: A Deep Dive on What’s Next with a Top Commodities Strategist

“If you saved in gold over the past 20 to 25 years rather than any currency anywhere in the world, gold has outperformed all these currencies,” says Stefan Wieler, Vice President of Goldmoney in this edition of Real Conversations.

read more

Exact Sciences Up +24% This Week... What's Next? | $EXAS

We remain long Exact Sciences in the Hedgeye Healthcare Position Monitor.

read more

Inside the Atlanta Fed's Flawed GDP Tracker

"The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNowcast model, while useful at amalgamating investor consensus on one singular GDP estimate for any given quarter, is certainly not the end-all-be-all of forecasting U.S. GDP," writes Hedgeye Senior Macro analyst Darius Dale.

read more

Cartoon of the Day: Acrophobia

"Most people who are making a ton of money right now are focused on growth companies seeing accelerations," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough wrote in today's Early Look. "That’s what happens in Quad 1."

read more

People's Bank of China Spins China’s Bad-Loan Data

PBoC Deputy Governor Yi says China's non-performing loan problem has “pretty much stabilized." "Yi is spinning. China’s bad-debt problem remains serious," write Benn Steil and Emma Smith, Council on Foreign Relations.

read more

UnderArmour: 'I Am Much More Bearish Than I Was 3 Hours Ago'

“The consumer has a short memory.” Yes, Plank actually said this," writes Hedgeye Retail analyst Brian McGough. "Last time I heard such arrogance was Ron Johnson."

read more

Buffalo Wild Wings: Complacency & Lack of Leadership (by Howard Penney)

"Buffalo Wild Wings has been plagued by complacency and a continued lack of adequate leadership," writes Hedgeye Restaurants analyst Howard Penney.

read more

Todd Jordan on Las Vegas Sands Earnings

"The quarter actually beat lowered expectations. Overall, the mass segment performed well although base mass lagging is a concern," writes Hedgeye Gaming, Lodging & Leisure analyst Todd Jordan on Las Vegas Sands.

read more

An Update on Defense Spending by Lt. Gen Emo Gardner

"Congress' FY17 omnibus appropriation will fully fund the Pentagon's original budget request plus $15B of its $30B supplemental request," writes Hedgeye Potomac Defense Policy analyst Lt. Gen Emerson "Emo" Gardner USMC Ret.

read more

Got Process? Zero Hedge Sells Fear, Not Truth

Fear sells. Always has. Look no further than Zero Hedge.

read more

REPLAY: Review of $EXAS Earnings Call (A Hedgeye Best Idea Long)

Our Healthcare Team made a monster call to be long EXAS - hear their updated thoughts.

read more

Capital Brief: 5 Things to Watch Right Now In Washington

Here's a quick look at some key issues investors should keep an eye on from Hedgeye's JT Taylor and our team of Washington Policy analysts in D.C.

read more