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The guest commentary below was written by Jesse Felder of The Felder Report. 

‘You Better Be Careful And Keep Your Eyes Open,’ Part Deux - 11 14 2019 9 52 10 AM

Over the past year or so we have seen a number of stocks fall significantly even as the S&P 500 has held up and recently hit a new high.

Until now, these stocks were generally the most economically sensitive sectors in the market such as transportation, industrials, retail, etc. Now, however, we are seeing a shift in which the most popular growth names are also starting to underperform dramatically. 

Most notable of these is the underperformance of this year’s largest IPOs, a class characterized by fast-growing/money-losing venture capital favorites.

‘You Better Be Careful And Keep Your Eyes Open,’ Part Deux - Screen Shot 2019 11 13 at 9.37.28 AM

While the S&P 500 just hit a new high, these stocks are broadly plunging to new lows. Look at the performance of BYND, UBER, LYFT, SDC and WORK (not to mention the failed WeWork IPO) over the past few months and it’s clear a major shift is underway. These stocks are crashing. 

To me, this is the first real sign of the risk aversion that first appeared in the economically sensitive names spreading to other, more popular names. And it could have important implications for the broader stock market.

EDITOR'S NOTE

This is a Hedgeye Guest Contributor piece written by Jesse Felder and reposted from The Felder Report blog. Felder has been managing money for over 20 years. He began his professional career at Bear, Stearns & Co. and later co-founded a multi-billion-dollar hedge fund firm headquartered in Santa Monica, California. Today he lives in Bend, Oregon and publishes The Felder Report. This piece does not necessarily reflect the opinion of Hedgeye.