CALL REPLAY | U.S.-China Talks : What's next? - 03.05.2018 tariff cartoon

After months of frustrating inertia between U.S. and Chinese negotiators (and President Trump's rhetoric as mercurial as ever) investors’ hopes of a trade deal have diminished with Election Day 2020 just a year away.

With no deal in sight, investors are faced with some critical questions:

  • Is Chinese Premier Xi Jinping willing to wait it out?
  • Does the Trump Administration want a deal done before Election Day and is a 'partial deal' viable? 
  • How will the stock market respond to a continuation of the trade war?

We spoke to one of the top China scholars in the world—Derek Scissors from the American Enterprise Institute who discussed his updated views on the U.S.-China trade negotiations resuming this week (October 10-11), where the two countries stand, and what may lie ahead.  

Listen to the replay here.

 

About Derek Scissors:

Derek M. Scissors is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), where he focuses on the Chinese and Indian economies and on US economic relations with Asia. He is concurrently chief economist of the China Beige Book.

Dr. Scissors is the author of the China Global Investment Tracker. In late 2008, he authored a series of papers that chronicled the end of pro-market Chinese reform and predicted economic stagnation in China as a result. He has also written multiple papers on the best course for Indian economic development.

Before joining AEI, Dr. Scissors was a senior research fellow in the Asian Studies Center at the Heritage Foundation and an adjunct professor of economics at George Washington University. He has worked for London-based Intelligence Research Ltd., taught economics at Lingnan University in Hong Kong, and served as an action officer in international economics and energy for the US Department of Defense.

Dr. Scissors has a bachelor’s degree from the University of Michigan, a master’s degree from the University of Chicago, and a doctorate from Stanford University.

 

EXPERIENCE

  • Chief Economist, China Beige Book, 2013–present
  • Adjunct Professor, Department of Economics, George Washington University, 2001–15
  • Senior Research Fellow, Asian Studies Center, Heritage Foundation, 2008–13
  • China Economist, Intelligence Research Ltd., London, 1998–2008
  • Lecturer, Department of Economics, Lingnan University, Hong Kong, 1994–97
  • Action Officer in International Economics and Energy, Office of the Secretary of Defense, US Department of Defense, 1989–90

EDUCATION

Ph.D., international political economy, Stanford University
M.A., economics, University of Chicago
A.B., economics, University of Michigan