• HEDGEYE’S MARKET BRIEF
    Our FREE Investing Newsletter
    Get Exclusive Summer Sale Discounts

    By joining our email marketing list you agree to receive marketing emails from Hedgeye. You may unsubscribe at any time by clicking the unsubscribe link in one of the emails. Not available for current subscribers to that product. Use of Hedgeye and any other products available through hedgeye.com are subject to our Terms Of Service and Privacy Policy New users only.

It's not too early to ask: Would a U.S. economic slowdown mean political hay for Democratic candidates in 2020?

As Hedgeye Demography analyst Neil Howe explains in the clip above, he sees the Republicans playing defense, and Democrats on offense for the marathon campaign heading towards November 2020.

And any sort of economic slowdown would only sharpen those positions.

“The problem for the Republicans is they just got beaten pretty badly in an election…and it’s hard to imagine the economy doing any better than it’s doing now as far as employment and industrial capacity,” Howe explains.

“If the yield curve inverts in the spring, that would be the maximally worst time for the Republican Party just given the expected average amount of time duration between the yield curve inverting and going into a recession. That would happen early in 2020.”

Watch the entire clip for Neil’s full outlook.

Neil Howe: Recession = Bad News for Republicans In 2020 - early look