Takeaway: The key components underlying the calls that went our way in 2018

Stubbornly High Churn + Near zero Organic Growth + Heavy Balance sheet + Massive future Equity Seller = ADT BEST IDEA SHORT

Equations of Our Year | Best Calls in 2018 - Best of 2018 ADT

Organic Share Gains long Eclipsed + Pivot to buying crap semis + no organic growth for frankenstein analog segment + catalyst of buying a gross roll-up of nonsensical proportions with little Due Diligence + getting lucky on x-Roll-up CEO firing back from the sunset = MCHP BEST IDEA SHORT

 

Equations of Our Year | Best Calls in 2018 - Best of 2018 MCHP

taking price on steady to declining user base + Spending More on CAC but Yielding narrower net aDds + weak Enterprise Strategy + Deaf to Urgency = DBX BEST IDEA SHORT

 

Equations of Our Year | Best Calls in 2018 - Best of 2018 DBX

Cobbled Together Product from M&A + major Culture Problems + Misunderstood market need & penetration = AVLR BEST IDEA SHORT

 

Equations of Our Year | Best Calls in 2018 - Best of 2018 AVLR

Active New Mgt + once in generation shift of material science + strong IP ownership in SiC and GAN + Path to Lighting GM% Improvement + LED raw materials Pivot to WS = CREE BEST IDEA LONG

 

Equations of Our Year | Best Calls in 2018 - CREE Best of 2018

Please call or e-mail with any questions.

Ami Joseph

Managing Director

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Yosef Vaitsblit

Analyst

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