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Everyone wants to front-run the market. Get ahead of the crowd. We get it.

But if you don’t have a proven and repeatable risk-management process, you could arrive too early and lose a lot of money.

Take Brazil, for example.

According to our proprietary model, it has a long-term bearish risk. But its equity market has been rising since the summer. Based on that market info, is it time to short Brazil?

Not yet, explains Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough in the above clip from a recent episode of RTA Live.

“You can take two opposing thoughts inside your thick skull and you say, ‘Long term bearish trend, short term bullish trade. Do I short those? Nope,” McCullough explains.

Watch the clip above for more insight.

McCullough: Short Brazil? - early look