12 Bite-Sized Insights From Keith McCullough

08/22/18 12:18PM EDT

12 Bite-Sized Insights From Keith McCullough - 03.28.2017 bull still there cartoon

U.S. ECONOMY

  • More US #GrowthSlowing data for Q3 > July US Architecture Billings Index (ABI) declines to 50.7 from 51.3 in June
  • (Remember the July ISM's slowed in the US as well #data)
  • UST 10yr Yield = 2.83%, down 7 basis points in the last month as the Long Bond and its proxies started to outperform

https://twitter.com/KeithMcCullough/status/1032220277940334592

global markets

  • VOLUME: continued to #decelerate during Day 4 of the US Equity rally

12 Bite-Sized Insights From Keith McCullough - zmak

  • LONDON: stocks open up +0.4%, but the FTSE remains in the red for 2018 YTD as Global Growth slows

  • GERMANY: having a tough time holding it's bounce to lower highs, DAX +0.08% remains Bearish TREND @Hedgeye
  • BRAZIL: no mention by Old Wall Media yesterday, but both its stock market and currency resumed Bearish @Hedgeye TREND ... As the Brazilian 10yr Yield ripped to +12.36% (that's up +136 basis points, in the last month alone)
  • JAPAN: Nikkei +0.6% overnight, closing just inside Hedgeye TREND resistance post SPY failing to making an all-time closing high
  • CHINA: stocks fail to bounce beyond 2 days, resuming the #crash, down -0.7% overnight and -24% since JAN

12 Bite-Sized Insights From Keith McCullough - zchen

commodities

  • OIL: +1.3% on the bounce to for WTI but it remains Bearish TREND @Hedgeye as does our 3-6 month outlook on #InflationSlowing
  • GOLD: +0.1% at $1196 with an immediate-term @Hedgeye Risk Range of $1170-1217/oz (remains Bearish TREND)
  • COPPER: like Chinese Stocks, resuming its #crash this am, -0.6% to $2.69 = Bearish TREND @Hedgeye

12 Bite-Sized Insights From Keith McCullough - hedgeye risk manager

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