Earnings Season Update: Still Coming in Hot!

08/06/18 11:03AM EDT

Editor's Note: Below is an excerpt from a recent institutional research note written by Macro analyst Ben Ryan. To read this entire Macro research note email sales@hedgeye.com.

Here are some key takeaways from 2Q 2018 earnings season:

  • Top-Down Trends: Mirroring Q2 GDP growth, Aggregate year-over-year sales and earnings growth for S&P 500 constituents is running at its hottest pace of what is now 8 consecutive quarters of earnings growth (second derivative acceleration). Sales and earnings growth for the S&P 500 index in aggregate has come in at +10.2% and +27.2%, respectively. 10.2% is the hottest year-over-year rate of top-line growth since Q3 2011, and earnings growth of 27.2% YY is the biggest delta since Q4 2010, both on the back of recessionary comps.
  • Broad-Based Strength: Every sector in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index has reported sales and earnings growth. Should this trend hold, it would be the 4th consecutive quarter of top and bottom line growth for all S&P 500 sectors. 
  • Beat Rates: Our analysis on beat rates looks at reported prints relative to expectations prior the print. Because corporates have become accustomed to managing expectations, we look at beat rates for a given quarter relative to average beat rates over time. On the top-line, S&P 500 companies have beaten estimates by 1.5% so far in Q2 which is the widest beat rate since Q4 2014 (Also 1.5%).

Earnings Season Update: Still Coming in Hot! - earnings11

Earnings Season Update: Still Coming in Hot! - market edges

© 2024 Hedgeye Risk Management, LLC. The information contained herein is the property of Hedgeye, which reserves all rights thereto. Redistribution of any part of this information is prohibited without the express written consent of Hedgeye. Hedgeye is not responsible for any errors in or omissions to this information, or for any consequences that may result from the use of this information.