McCullough: Our GDP Forecasts Are the Lowest on Wall Street

04/04/18 01:24PM EDT

https://youtu.be/jHER9VY7lpA

Our GDP forecasts were the highest on Wall Street for six straight quarters—we were contrarian and (as the data showed) largely correct.

Hedgeye’s predictive tracking algorithm for quarter-over-quarter U.S. GDP for 1Q 2018 is now the lowest on the Street.

We are at 1.56%.

But Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough says it’s not a reason to panic. “I’m not calling for a crash,” McCullough emphasizes in the above clip.

“Does the U.S. economy, in rate of change space in the next one to two quarters, start to lose its momentum and slow?”

McCullough points to the recent dip in the consumer confidence report as one of several reasons why the top may be in for U.S. GDP.

“At some point we’re going to look back at this level and say, ‘Wow, that was the top,’” he says.

Watch the clip above for more.

McCullough: Our GDP Forecasts Are the Lowest on Wall Street - early look

© 2024 Hedgeye Risk Management, LLC. The information contained herein is the property of Hedgeye, which reserves all rights thereto. Redistribution of any part of this information is prohibited without the express written consent of Hedgeye. Hedgeye is not responsible for any errors in or omissions to this information, or for any consequences that may result from the use of this information.